usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/snow-hunt-three-chances-for-flurry-fests-next-5-days-then-milder/2013/01/31/383734dc-6bd0-11e2-bd36-c0fe61a205f6_blog.html#pagebreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaSnow Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Hope the fish are biting, Wes! See you next fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 Hope the fish are biting, Wes! See you next fall. I'm still here for awhile. I'm also due to a big bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 nice job...seems reasonable...I told Ji yesterday I thought the warmup would only last a couple days, but I am probably being too optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 nice job...seems reasonable...I told Ji yesterday I thought the warmup would only last a couple days, but I am probably being too optimistic I think by the feb 14 or 15 the cold pattern will re-assert itself so I don't think we are too different though I think the pattern will go back towards clipper but at those time ranges who really knows. We're all just guessing. Mean patterns will do decent job of gettting the average temps of the 7 day pattern and also they are Ok with the storm track but at the edges, since they are averages, can be misleading especially when the pattern is in flux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I like the article Wes. Good hedge. I will say that this is the first time in a while there is some bust potential. Not knocking in anyway and I'm sure you know that and also what I'm getting at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 I like the article Wes. Good hedge. I will say that this is the first time in a while there is some bust potential. Not knocking in anyway and I'm sure you know that and also what I'm getting at. I like hedging. Oddly enough in Nate Sliver's book on the pitfalls that can lead to bad forecasts identifies people as hedgehogs and foxes and it is the hedgehogs that don't hedge. They go for the jugular regularly. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Next article should be titled 5 threats in 6 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 Next article should be titled 5 threats in 6 days... I'm not going there, I do think the system for the 6th is interesting as the GFS seems to be slowly converging towards the euro forecast. There is still time for it and the euro to go north or it to go south. The euro looks pretty good for a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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