rduwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Latest GGEM That's what I'm looking to see out of the models. Even though it is not a snowstorm imby "verbatim" it's nice see a miller A showing up on a model. :-)EDIT: Thanks packbacker for posting. I'm at work and couldn't check the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhamwx205 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 That should be about perfect for bama... track wise lol too bad its the ggem LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Is the difference between the GGEM and the GFS is it kicks that low in the lakes northeast into New England? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 That's what I'm looking to see out of the models. Even though it is not a snowstorm imby "verbatim" it's nice see a miller A showing up on a model. :-) EDIT: Thanks packbacker for posting. I'm at work and couldn't check the GGEM. I was thinking about you and our earlier conversation when he posted that! I am at work and can view the GGEM, but I don't know where to go to get the 240 images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nogaps is setting up for some glory at 180! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Is it my imagination, or are the 0, 6 and 12 Z GFS, and the O Z Euro, trending a bit warmer for this system than yesterday's runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nogaps is setting up for some glory at 180! Yes, I know it's stupid being long range AND the Nogaps, but post the map brother. I think there will be a couple of minor opportunities after the pattern change, and probably something BIG right before the pattern breaks. All speculation of course, but it's not like it's not happened before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nogaps is setting up for some glory at 180! Keep em coming! LOL. I would really like to see something on the 12z euro this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yes, I know it's stupid being long range AND the Nogaps, but post the map brother. I think there will be a couple of minor opportunities after the pattern change, and probably something BIG right before the pattern breaks. All speculation of course, but it's not like it's not happened before. I would man, but I'm only on BB and can't post. I live off the crumbs of other people's maps throughout the day...and the ones on Allan's site and ewall. I'll try to describe it to you. If it were to be extrapolated, it would probably be another 36 hrs before getting to the SE. It has a nice -NAO building in, trapping a PV just south of Maine. It has a weird positively tilted PNA ridge out west with a closed low over SW AZ, moving east. Northern stream energy is moving down ahead of it and 80% of the US is blow 0C at 850, including the northern half of GA, all of TN and NC, and virtually all of SC. Man, that was a lot of work for the 180 Nogaps. It's probably going to get suppressed anyway. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
featherwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Umm, did an overzealous mod delete tonight/tomorrow morning's storm thread? It's not exactly a non-event for some of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Umm, did an overzealous mod delete tonight/tomorrow morning's storm thread? It's not exactly a non-event for some of the area Yeah, it's gone. What the heck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Umm, did an overzealous mod delete tonight/tomorrow morning's storm thread? It's not exactly a non-event for some of the area Not intentionally, I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I do like the Euro at day 6 better than previous runs, it's getting that vort over the lakes further NE, now there is some energy digging back in Tx, it will probably cut this run but it's 6+ days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Euro will have a storm this run. Much more separation with the follow up wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I do like the Euro at day 6 better than previous runs, it's getting that vort over the lakes further NE, now there is some energy digging back in Tx, it will probably cut this run but it's 6+ days away. I think it cut in prior runs, and it's the period after this that is worth watching. I could be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I think it cut in prior runs, and it's the period after this that is worth watching. I could be wrong though. It actually might show a TN special, let's see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Ugggh, if that stupid day 5 vort would get moving there is a 1040 high that wants to drop down over the lakes. This is day 6-7 on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The energy got washed out with that northern vort. Completely different look on the 12z than the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 It actually might show a TN special, let's see. Blocking FTW hopefully. I just want everyone to be "in" the game. Should be an interesting couple of weeks with the blocking showing up along with ridging on the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 12z Canadian Global for archiving sake since this likely the only time we will see a run like this. Pure deep south snow clobber. Sorry TN (except far east TN). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Euro ended up having a very weak low off the SC coast day 7/8 that shows very little precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Sounds like the Euro is setting up to be "TOO STRONG" of a block FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Sounds like the Euro is setting up to be "TOO STRONG" of a block FTL. Definitely, but if a storm does get going with this blocking it would be crazy. Crazy run of the Euro for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I still think we need to keep an eye on the storm for next Tuesday...Euro continues to drop a wedge east of the mountains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Gotta love the euro. New solution every time it runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Can someone with access comment on the last several runs of the Euro irt the trough and ridge placement? Is the western ridge trending west or east of previous runs (trending larger or smaller also?) and how is the trough axis in the east trending? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmundie Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Can someone with access comment on the last several runs of the Euro irt the trough and ridge placement? Is the western ridge trending west or east of previous runs (trending larger or smaller also?) and how is the trough axis in the east trending? TIA You can roll through the past 10 days of euro runs at the ewall site. Just click on euro to 240, then click on a time and it will have links to that time period back to when it first showed up on houor 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 ^^ the ridge on the Euro looks just a little too far east for my liking...but you really can't sweat that stuff so far out. +PNA and -NAO continue to show up well. So that is good. I wish we had a split flow to go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I thought the euro run was a huge improvement over the ladt few. And the look at 168 is not too bad. Needs a little work but the setup has great potential! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 You have to remember the only 4 drops from Winter RECON made it into the 00Z suite ~vs~ all drops in the 12Z output. Also the HPC has added additional WSR from Anchorage. WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.1210 PM EST THU 21 FEBRUARY 2013SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z FEBRUARY 2013 WSPOD NUMBER.....12-083I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49 -- A. P23/ DROP 8 (47.0N 175.0W)/ 23/0000Z B NOAA9 16WSC TRACK23 C. 22/1930Z D. 18 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHED E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 23/0600Z 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE TRACK 23 A. P-23/ DROP 8 (47.0N 175.0W)/ 24/0000) 3. REMARKS: THE TRACK FOR TODAY'S MISSION HAS BEEN CHANGED FROM TRACK 22 TO TRACK 8. DETAILS BELOW: A. P-8/ DROP 7(47.3N 172.0W)/ 22/0000Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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