burgertime Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 I hear the euro control run is showing not one,not two, but three coastal's. Can anyone confirm any of them are any benefit to the southeast? I see two. One at 210 which still has the Miller B but there is a coastal. On the control run it would be all rain for everyone east of AR. The second one is at 316 and is a classic Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 I see two. One at 210 which still has the Miller B but there is a coastal. On the control run it would be all rain for everyone east of AR. The second one is at 316 and is a classic Miller A.how do the ensembles look for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Looks like it is trending with more precip and further south. This could get interesting Friday morning. Most likely this will just be a minor event, but I think any CAD setup is fascinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Allan's site is so frustrating sometimes. How do the Euro ENS look for blocking, PNA, etc. In the LR? I get Page Cannot Be Displayed, which is not an uncommon occurrence over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Allan's site is so frustrating sometimes. How do the Euro ENS look for blocking, PNA, etc. In the LR? I get Page Cannot Be Displayed, which is not an uncommon occurrence over there. From the free Euro site looks good, blocking with ridging in the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 From the free Euro site looks good, blocking with ridging in the west. Thanks man. I'll take a look at the Euro site...sounds good, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 is the March 3 and 4 storm still there? know its a long way off but is there cold air to go with the miller a if its still showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Per the 12Z Tue 2/19 GFS and Euro ensemble runs and thanks to impressive higher latitude blocking, much of the SE could easily be cold enough for wintry precip. if we were to get a good tracking Miller A in early March. The Euro ens. is actually the colder of the two. It has KATL at ~8 C (14 F) colder than normal at 850 for the period 3/2-6 or -2C! That is about 4 C below the average for mid January and would be significantly colder than any five day averaged 850's for this winter to date! Bottom line: There's no reason to fret about cold air at this point assuming a Miller A were to occur in early March since we've got about the best setup this winter being progged on the model consensus. We'll see what actually verifies, but the cold and potential storminess would be well supported by the analogs. I'm getting ready for my daily walk. Later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 is the March 3 and 4 storm still there? know its a long way off but is there cold air to go with the miller a if its still showing? The first week of March is loaded with potential. That's really all that matters at this point. We'll work out the details later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 18Z Goofy very far south Miller A 3/3-4. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 18Z Goofy very far south Miller A 3/3-4. Wow! Yeah, it suppresses the hell out of the 2/28 system, as well. This is a GFS bias, though, isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 18Z Goofy very far south Miller A 3/3-4. Wow! That's the look we want to see right now. The question will be can the goofy be consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Yeah, it suppresses the hell out of the 2/28 system, as well. This is a GFS bias, though, isn't it? Wow!!! Historic very far south snowstorm 3/5-6!!!!! So, two far south Miller A's 3/3-6! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Wow!!! Historic very far south snowstorm 3/5-6!!!!! So, two far south Miller A's 3/3-6! That would be 2-4 for ATL....4-8 for SAV....and 4-8 for all of NC/SC..If that happens I'll eat a shoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 That's THREE Miller As in a week span at the beginning of March, for those keeping track at home. Talk about potential..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 That's THREE Miller As in a week span, for those keeping track at home. Talk about potential..... It's also the GFS past 200 hours. I'm as optimistic as they get but I'll believe that look when we're 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Ok, guys....somebody post a map or two for those unfortunate souls who have to be at the NC State/FSU game and don't have access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 It sounds like individual Ensemble members should be fun to look at from the 18 Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nraleigh Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 On his video this morning JB says around March 3 to the fifth or so, he thinks there will be a huge East Coast storm, he said he thinks it could be a big winter storm for NC and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 It sounds like individual Ensemble members should be fun to look at from the 18 Z GFSsub 980 lows running up 95! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 Wow!!! Historic very far south snowstorm 3/5-6!!!!! So, two far south Miller A's 3/3-6! ???? Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 That's THREE Miller As in a week span at the beginning of March, for those keeping track at home. Talk about potential..... March 1960!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 March 1960!!! lol Yep, and that analog is showing up on the ensembles, along with Feb 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 can someone post a map of this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 19, 2013 Share Posted February 19, 2013 That's THREE Miller As in a week span at the beginning of March, for those keeping track at home. Talk about potential..... More bust potential than a 12 year old Dolly Parton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The potential looks promising, but can it wait until after the 10th? If a historic storm hits while I'm on my cruise the first week of March I may lose it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 That's THREE Miller As in a week span at the beginning of March, for those keeping track at home. Talk about potential..... More bust potential than a 12 year old Dolly Parton. Pure Distilled Win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I'll take some fantasy land flakes in north Fla. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I don't see any thing. Someone post a map of the historic storm it shows. Edit: Nevermind. Ha even I get some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 18z verbatim isn't great but there is no way those storms stay that suppressed. Potential is the descriptive word I would use and leave it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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