WidreMann Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The Euro shows N-S precip for this same time period. Not a lot, but it's cold enough to be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Well, it's good to see something back in the picture again after some terrible runs earlier today. We'll see what the Doc and others have to say tonight, but it's encouraging to me. The NAM may be the real winner with the V-Day system. It's been pretty consistent for awhile with a Apps Runner/Miller B-type system while the other modeling has been waffling here and there. The GFS definitely trended towards the NAM tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I think the big issue is timing...we kind of get our wish with that cold air but it's such a press it's gonna squash anything out side of a little frontal moisture...of course if we can get the phase I just don't believe that in a pattern with an active subtropical stream as we head towards spring that we won't get something out of this pattern. Our problem in late February is almost never lack of precipitation. That's more typical of January. I think that if we have cold air around, we'll have some sort of wintry event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 And look at that CAD setup at 180! Of course, every run after this one will be awful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I give you your clown snow map for your eyes' enjoyment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS showing what I'd say is a major ice storm for the cad areas of NC for later next week (276 or so). TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Good run,the 0z isnt no longer putting out the 850's to S/FL,also,that would be doomsday almost for the SE.We really want this trailing system to dig more in the OV and further W,we are almost close to a triple phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Good run,the 0z isnt no longer putting out the 850's to S/FL,also,that would be doomsday almost for the SE.We really want this trailing system to dig more in the OV and further W,we are almost close to a triple phase I see three pieces of energy but the timing isn't close and I also don't think that would be a triple phase even if all three pieces interacted with one another. Jmo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I give you your clown snow map for your eyes' enjoyment. I don't think the *clown* map is too far off. It is within our 7 day forecast now this could be a legit snowfall for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I see three pieces of energy but the timing isn't close and I also don't think that would be a triple phase even if all three pieces interacted with one another. Jmo. Look closely there are four pieces of energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS showing what I'd say is a major ice storm for the cad areas of NC for later next week (276 or so). TW 11.5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Snow across WNC @138 if that energy were just a little more amped and the phase could get there just a tad early this could be a good one. Congrats. You have managed to put 60% of the SE winter weather doomed to fail words in one sentence. IMpressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Lets take it and run call it a great winter. 132ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS showing what I'd say is a major ice storm for the cad areas of NC for later next week (276 or so). TW I'm not familiar too much with NC's weather, but aren't major ice storms pretty rare in Late February and March ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Lots of improvement at 500 on the over night runs. Hopefully this will continue for the storm chance this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Lol 6 gfs has a phased bomb. This is for the weekend storm. That storm then heads ne and creates confluence so the storm next week should stay suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Congrats. You have managed to put 60% of the SE winter weather doomed to fail words in one sentence. IMpressive Hey if ifs and buts were snow and Ice we'd all have 100 inches by now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Guys/gals, when you see an inappropriate post, please don't respond....and much less quote it. When you do that, then we have to delete more posts. Just report it and we will do the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 has the weekend storm that was showing a few days ago come back or am I looking at it wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 has the weekend storm that was showing a few days ago come back or am I looking at it wrong? Well, it's back on the GFS. The Euro didn't have it last night, though. The problem is that it was an Apps Runner on the 6z, LOL... We can work with that, though. At least a storm is showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Well, it's back on the GFS. The Euro didn't have it last night, though. The problem is that it was an Apps Runner on the 6z, LOL... We can work with that, though. At least a storm is showing up. Here is are the changes form 6z and 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Have heard many say that the models become unsettled after a big storm goes through. Have they had enough time to calm down and could that be the reason the GFS is picking up some energy again? Or do they need more time to catch the trend? I've got three weeks of a community theater group in for a show. Should I be nervous about next week-end? Edit: Sorry that is a little weenie..ish ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Giving there is so many pieces of energy around the next few days might get interesting. The pattern is loaded just need the timing (as usual)! Euro, the next few days will lead the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Have heard many say that the models become unsettled after a big storm goes through. Have they had enough time to calm down and could that be the reason the GFS is picking up some energy again? Or do they need more time to catch the trend? I've got three weeks of a community theater group in for a show. Should I be nervous about next week-end? Edit: Sorry that is a little weenie..ish ... No, you should be fine as the models are showing either App runners or just storms developing and intensifying when they get up North but nothing really in the SE. Latest GFS shows some part of Ky, and Va. getting some light snow in the next 5-10 days but that is about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 If this weekend storm fails I would say it is pretty much over at that point for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Well, it's back on the GFS. The Euro didn't have it last night, though. The problem is that it was an Apps Runner on the 6z, LOL... We can work with that, though. At least a storm is showing up. I sure wish something would start cooking for the weekend storm, like trend south and a big storm. looks like the cold air will be here if that storm will dig a little more it would go south and east of us and is the track we need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 12z GFS looks more like 0z than 6z run through 87 hours. Not as much digging. Still early in system's evolution, though, so we'll see how it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Trough not as sharp as 6z at 105 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Trough not as sharp as 6z at 105 hours. Very close @114! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Very close @114! Still positive tilt but might work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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