griteater Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Just wow at the GFS. Couple thoughts....one, the V-Day storm squashes the SE ridge there over and east of Florida...the more it squashes that SE ridge, the more receptive the setup will be for digging of the trough...and obviously, we want to see strong ridging there behind the wave to force it to dig south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainsStr8cashhomey Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 in the bulls-eye on day 7 I love gigantic pieces of energy that cut-off, even if we do have a long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Lol too bad this is 7 days out. That gfs setup is probably the best possible setup for a snowstorm you can get in the carolinas. Would no doubt be historical. It will prob' go poof, but its fun to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What time does the next run come out? Sorry, I know that sounds incredibly ignorant, but the times have always confused me for some reason. >.< Euro comes out at 1am but by the time it gets to hr 192 or so you're looking at 1:30am. I've got a cold and just took some Nyquil so I'm done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GGEM for Vday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What time does the next run come out? Sorry, I know that sounds incredibly ignorant, but the times have always confused me for some reason. >.< You really just suck at finding information on the internet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Lots of potential and different potential. Snow to start early as Wednesday so already made the thread for TN/high country and will update from there. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39265-jan-1314-winter-weather-event/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You really just suck at finding information on the internet. Americanwx is the internet. I found the information by asking the question. And look, I got an answer. No need for the hostility. Back to the weather... I'll sure be up waiting for it, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 0z Canadian, ~1005 just east of Cape Canaveral at 192, <980 east of the VA Capes at 204, maybe 100 miles east. Models appear to be picking up on a pretty strong signal tonight. Best guess is we're going to have to get the V Day system out of the way before any sense of continuity forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) 2/9/13 0:20 Pretty good for 8-days worth of accumulations from GFS, only Chicago is left out. Active/snowy pattern http://pic.twitter.com/XHm3vanB https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/300111988976152576/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Here's the 00z GFS Ensemble mean. Much better than 18z and slightly better than 12z http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/89/gefs.gif/'> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Frank Strait Fan Club34 minutes agoOh and the next one next weekend could be a doozy. #wintersreallynotover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Well I said 18z would be the best run of the year for my area, but 00z was even better, probably been since 1996 that so much of Tennessee saw a storm of that magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You really just suck at finding information on the internet. The Jerkstore called, they ran out of you. It's not always obvious when models come out. For example, the GFS is behind the NAM even though they are the same hour, and the Euro is sometimes after that. The GFS Ensemble Members usually aren't available until about 3 hours after the GFS op has run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This looks dreamy, not one but TWO setups for TN in the next 8 days. There's been good consistency on both storms with the GFS lately contrary to what certain people will say (who get screwed out of snow on this). Mind you, it continues to snow after 192h for the east half of TN, etc. but that's at a lower resolution so you don't get a good idea of what the model is generating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You really just suck at finding information on the internet. Someone else already answered his question so there was no need for this. I guess you do have a point though. His research skills and your social skills seem to be on the same level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You really just suck at finding information on the internet. The sad part is..he has nothing better to do than bash someone on a weather board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Someone else already answered his question so there was no need for this. I guess you do have a point though. His research skills and your social skills seem to be on the same level. He posted a question in OT a few days ago asking which department the NWS was under. Even Don S responded a bit curtly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Also a friendly neighborhood reminder, the totals I posted for 192h also include snow from the previous storm. There doesn't seem to be a lot of melting of the snow between the 14th and the next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Euro shows no love for TN for the 14th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Euro shows no love for TN for the 14th storm. details?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 He posted a question in OT a few days ago asking which department the NWS was under. Even Don S responded a bit curtly. Do what you want, but I usually give someone who is a member less than 2 months with less than 100 posts some slack in the question department. Even inane questions posed by a newbie are orders of magnitude better than those that charge in making pronouncements and starting threads from almost their first day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 details?? Checking the earlier runs on the EURO it never showed it either. NWS must be going w/ the GFS on their special weather statements out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 details?? System just stays suppressed. Light precip makes it into NC by hour 114...850s are cold enough for northern NC but sfc temps aren't there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Euro shows no love for TN for the 14th storm. I don't think this is something the Euro can handle well. It didn't handle the last two clippers we had a weekend ago either until they were right on top of us. This seems like an ULL on the back end of a front or something - pardon my ignorance but it doesn't look like something the Euro can handle. Remember earlier this year the Euro missed an ULL when the GFS had it, then the GFS lost it, and the NAM was dead on accurate and the GFS and Euro eventually caved into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I don't think this is something the Euro can handle well. It didn't handle the last two clippers we had a weekend ago either until they were right on top of us. This seems like an ULL on the back end of a front or something - pardon my ignorance but it doesn't look like something the Euro can handle. Remember earlier this year the Euro missed an ULL when the GFS had it, then the GFS lost it, and the NAM was dead on accurate and the GFS and Euro eventually caved into it. I think this one is a little different but I guess time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I think this one is a little different but I guess time will tell. I'd rather see it suppressed at this point, anyways, though if surface temps aren't there it may not matter. If the storm were to get amped up a little more, perhaps it could pull down some more cold air like the GGEM does? I really don't know as I can only see the free maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Well Euro is out to 180 and needless to say it doesn't look like it will copy the 12z tonight. Guess I'm just bad luck for PBP on the Euro at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Well if Dr No says no, it probably will mean no storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Euro looks a little more believable tonight. Still really cold 850's in the SE but brings a clipper down. Just strong enough to give RDU a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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