burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 lol here comes truncation and BOOM goes the GFS with heavy snow across WNC....also E TN gets in on the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 lol 204 would be the MA's dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Day After Tomorrow the sequel for the NE. In a 10 day span the NE could get 6 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I give this run of the GFS about a 1% chance of actually verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm actually excited about this one. The euro and gfs are both showing a storm during this time and they're both showing it could be a strong storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Warning criteria snow in florida................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Don't let Brick see this...GFS puts RDU in the screw zone on the GFS SFC maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 992 smack dab middle of NC at 192hrs, good thing it's the GFS, hopefully the Euro is offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Very close to being sn in N/FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 992 smack dab middle of NC at 192hrs, good thing it's the GFS, hopefully the Euro is offshorebeen a long time since I have saw that. Western nc wet dream track there. At least for us west of Asheville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Don't let Brick see this...GFS puts RDU in the screw zone on the GFS SFC maps.Orlando is -3C at 850, DC +3, oddPensacola -9, NYC 0 (Lake Placid -3) , weird run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Shades of '93 TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Orlando is -3C at 850, DC +3, odd Yea the whole look just is odd especially once it gets to 192. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 12z euro at 216 has certainly peaked my interest...wowwww looks like its going to be cold lol GFS. Jeez it has the LPS explode going up the coast. in fact, why does it have it strengthen that quickly? does that happen often? 192-204 has it go from 995mb to 978, centered in NC to centered on NYC. then from 204-216 it only moves a little bit. I am just curious about what causes that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 992 smack dab middle of NC at 192hrs, good thing it's the GFS, hopefully the Euro is offshore +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Shades of '93 TW far from it right now,but shades yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Not sure if BL temps are there, but 850s are good enough for some accumulating snowfall in the FL panhandle. Meanwhile, quite a few degrees of latitude north, we in NC bask in a cold rain. Oh, yes, weenie suicides would be in order if such a setup came to fruition. Thankfully, it likely won't happen as modeled. EDIT: Yeah, surface temps aren't even close for FL, verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Shades of '93 TW I'm glad you said that first because I was about to say it myself. This storm starts bombing out over North Carolina en route to the Northeast. Anybody west of the track would have crashing temps and big time snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Woah http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbvort192.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Don't let Brick see this...GFS puts RDU in the screw zone on the GFS SFC maps. Well it's going to be tough for RDU to get snow with any upcoming event but for the mid-south and W-NC it could be large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Still need more digging for all of SE to get in on the act. Need that cold air to sweep around the east side of the Apps, lest it be chasing moisture for the Carolinas. However, it certainly seems to be our most promising look this winter. Like that SOMETHING is showing up run after run. Hopefully Euro (rhymes with NO) doesn't lose it tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Woah http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbvort192.gif Interestingly enough 850's are even weirder @192 on this run. It's cold enough in CLT...but looks on edge in HKY. Would that be a case of the GFS just seeing dynamic cooling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Woah http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbvort192.gif Looks Euro"ish", i guess we now have something sizeable to follow. Hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Still need more digging for all of SE to get in on the act. Need that cold air to sweep around the east side of the Apps, lest it be chasing moisture for the Carolinas. However, it certainly seems to be our most promising look this winter. Like that SOMETHING is showing up run after run. Hopefully Euro (rhymes with NO) doesn't lose it tonight. I'm actually tempted to stay up for it though I know that's probably folly. What the heck though I'm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What will we know one week from now? I tell you what if the VD storm materializes along with a MECS next weekend then playing hindsight with the MJO for this 7 day period is going to be very telling. We will have had 3 major east coast storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Interestingly enough 850's are even weirder @192 on this run. It's cold enough in CLT...but looks on edge in HKY. Would that be a case of the GFS just seeing dynamic cooling? ULL is still a baby when it crosses the SE, maturation starts right at truncation, cold pool is still lagging when it crosses us, rather than directly overhead with passing. Also the reason we don't see a developed band on the NW side, conveyer type, that happen into the MA, moisture is mostly loaded on the warm side for us, good thing we have 8 days to sort this out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 -10 in n/florida is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Never thought I would call a <528 UL crossing the SE a baby, but I just did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Never thought I would call a <528 UL crossing the SE a baby, but I just did. It's really is good to have you back around. I always learn when you post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm actually tempted to stay up for it though I know that's probably folly. What the heck though I'm down. What time does the next run come out? Sorry, I know that sounds incredibly ignorant, but the times have always confused me for some reason. >.< Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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