canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Canderson was that the time it thundersnowed? It is. That storm was pretty crazy, iirc we ended with 6.5" of insanely heavy, wet snow. Caused a ton of tree damage and of course the power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 They dropped the numbers due to the presence of above freezing air robbing the frozen stuff. While 2-4" of snow may fall from the sky, their map shows what they think will actually stick. Our snowfall map is somewhat close to this, although we go 1-3 generally... That makes sense and I can see their call verifying, I just don't know why they originally had them higher a few hours earlier when the temps were still going to be questionable. Not that it really matters anyway. Lol, this winter has gotten to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 All I know is if people are worried about an end of winter, come to Cambria county. It always finds a way to snow past mid March. I've seen a few April snows and even one in May before Mother's day. The funny thing is the one winter we had 45 degrees on Christmas, followed by a white easter. Easter was i think in mid April that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I think that's pretty good. 1-2 for most, 3 on the ridges/hilltops. Looks like this will be alot like these small sytems all winter with being up on the hill have and inch and nothing down in Columbia just a mile or two away. Just the last one I acutally got an inch out of it and went into columbia and barly anything. Not sure what u got out out of that didn't head north that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Looks like this will be alot like these small sytems all winter with being up on the hill have and inch and nothing down in Columbia just a mile or two away. Just the last one I acutally got an inch out of it and went into columbia and barly anything. Not sure what u got out out of that didn't head north that day. I'd say about half of what you had. I am not feeling this tomorrow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 yea didn't mean the amount just some elevation drifference. just a little early turnover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 3-6" still looks good to me. GFS is still good and 18z nam bumped north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol we may have to wait until 12z tmrw for this to get sorted out. Something is going to give big time at 0z. Be there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 All I know is if people are worried about an end of winter, come to Cambria county. It always finds a way to snow past mid March. I've seen a few April snows and even one in May before Mother's day. The funny thing is the one winter we had 45 degrees on Christmas, followed by a white easter. Easter was i think in mid April that year. 2007? That was crazy. 4-5" of freaking fluff in mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol we may have to wait until 12z tmrw for this to get sorted out. Something is going to give big time at 0z. Be there! I'm too old. I'll be sleeping. Maybe next week we all cash in..maybe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Haha I do now that you bring it up, yeah that was definitely a bust. Last really good storm I remember was rain to snow March 2011. Definition of high impact event...great memories. Like Wmsptwx the last best storm I saw was March 2011. I was home for that one...rain -> heavy sleet -> CCB heavy thundersnow thump that left 5" in 3 hours between about 1 and 4am. 9-10 here and the forecast was for 1-2" That morning my Twitter feed was filled with people talking about how spring was finally here because it was warm that morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah it was mid 50s the previous day and up until the afternoon. Then the cold front came through and that started the changeovers in motion. On second thought, can't remember if we got 4 or 5 inches of snow. But it did fall fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah jamie 10.5 here in that storm. Wrecks were everywhere on the way home to work. I couldnt see 200 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 2007? That was crazy. 4-5" of freaking fluff in mid April. I think it was 2007. I wasn't sure. That weekend we would wake up to an inch or two before it melted some during the day. It was freaking 27 that Sunday morning. Minus some melting we ended up with about the same as you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Like Wmsptwx the last best storm I saw was March 2011. I was home for that one...rain -> heavy sleet -> CCB heavy thundersnow thump that left 5" in 3 hours between about 1 and 4am. I don't think this winter's been terrible, but the one thing that does bother me is that the last time I saw 6" from one storm was back home just north of Atlanta in Jan 2011...just about as good as you could get down there with temps in the low/mid 20s. Missed out on the nice storm this year because of winter break, so still waiting on a nice warning event. GFS doesn't look too bad though, at least gives us an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I think it was 2007. I wasn't sure. That weekend we would wake up to an inch or two before it melted some during the day. It was freaking 27 that Sunday morning. Minus some melting we ended up with about the same as you. The second half of the 06-07 winter was very active.. after a completely dead on arrival start through about mid-January. It really ramped up in Feb, starting with the V-day storm. There was also snow events on March 7 and then on March 16 (nor'easter). I do recall there being snow on the ground for Easter, which was April 8th that year apparently. There was then the mid April nor'easter the weekend after that was a significant elevation sensitive snowstorm for the Laurels and Poconos. Probably was the deepest storm of the year (968mb off from NYC). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 If you are on edge of precip IPT, UNV...hope for a little snow, but expect none. Best to go that route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'm at that point of day and time of year where I kinda just go "blah" on these things. If it snows, if it doesn't, whatever. I'm taking a few days here at the end of this week and just drinking a shatload of brew. Whatever happens, happens, but a nice snowfall for SC-PA and LSV would be nice. So would the weekend storm, but I'm starting to not feel it. I have the opposite feeling as a few others here, I feel like we're done. No scientific evidence to that whatsoever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Same here late feb. is good either way with me...as long as no cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 If you are on edge of precip IPT, UNV...hope for a little snow, but expect none. Best to go that route. I've definitely learned that one over the past few years here!! So much easier to deal with these things if you keep your expectations LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Went with this forecast this evening. I feel a lot of the QPF will be "wasted" by plain rain or a marginal BL that, while it may be snowing by 7pm tomorrow, it looks it'll have a hard time sticking due to the surfaces being above freezing. Wild card: If we radiationally cool more than expected tonight (possible -- high pressure, clear night, light winds) and cloud up faster than expected (has anyone seen the IR imagery? Looks pretty quick to me), than we could potentially see cooler surface temps. It's not the 850's I'm worried about here in the SQV, it's the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Wild card: If we radiationally cool more than expected tonight (possible -- high pressure, clear night, light winds) and cloud up faster than expected (has anyone seen the IR imagery? Looks pretty quick to me), than we could potentially see cooler surface temps. It's not the 850's I'm worried about here in the SQV, it's the surface. Of course, still time to adjust the map. These numbers/colors may not be final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Went with this forecast this evening. I feel a lot of the QPF will be "wasted" by plain rain or a marginal BL that, while it may be snowing by 7pm tomorrow, it looks it'll have a hard time sticking due to the surfaces being above freezing. Capture.JPG Wild card: If we radiationally cool more than expected tonight (possible -- high pressure, clear night, light winds) and cloud up faster than expected (has anyone seen the IR imagery? Looks pretty quick to me), than we could potentially see cooler surface temps. It's not the 850's I'm worried about here in the SQV, it's the surface. I think this is a good guide for the public. I think here in the southern elevation areas it will be a 2-4 event. It will be like paste so it will compress down fast after it stops and settles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Went with this forecast this evening. I feel a lot of the QPF will be "wasted" by plain rain or a marginal BL that, while it may be snowing by 7pm tomorrow, it looks it'll have a hard time sticking due to the surfaces being above freezing. Capture.JPG Wild card: If we radiationally cool more than expected tonight (possible -- high pressure, clear night, light winds) and cloud up faster than expected (has anyone seen the IR imagery? Looks pretty quick to me), than we could potentially see cooler surface temps. It's not the 850's I'm worried about here in the SQV, it's the surface. Interesting comment on the radiational cooling. I've watched my temp here drop 10 degrees in the last 2 1/2 hours. The radiational cooling has been exceptional so far this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Down to 37 already in Ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Down to 37 already in Ship. In the low 30's here in the valley regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 29f here on the mmts dew is 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Went with this forecast this evening. I feel a lot of the QPF will be "wasted" by plain rain or a marginal BL that, while it may be snowing by 7pm tomorrow, it looks it'll have a hard time sticking due to the surfaces being above freezing. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89742'>Capture.JPG Wild card: If we radiationally cool more than expected tonight (possible -- high pressure, clear night, light winds) and cloud up faster than expected (has anyone seen the IR imagery? Looks pretty quick to me), than we could potentially see cooler surface temps. It's not the 850's I'm worried about here in the SQV, it's the surface. So glad you've joined us! One thought - not being critical! - for this type of map I always find it much easier to read if you put a dot for each city represented. I can never precisely see where many are. Not attacking this wonderful map itself - many, many maps at this angle don't have them and I find them difficult to navigate, ESP on TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Sref looks ok for you guys..nyc is in good precip. again :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 So glad you've joined us! One thought - not being critical! - for this type of map I always find it much easier to read if you put a dot for each city represented. I can never precisely see where many are. Not attacking this wonderful map itself - many, many maps at this angle don't have them and I find them difficult to navigate, ESP on TV. No worries! Yeah, I find it difficult as well, but unfortunately, we had these graphics pre-built for us...and the towns may be slightly off location for a particular reason (maybe to fit the words in correctly when another label is nearby). We have to keep these uniform with the rest of the graphics, but I agree some more pin-pointing would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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