Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 did n't they have one for the October 2010 storm? or was that an Advisory? If you are referring the October 2011 storm you are incorrect, here is the, Winter Storm Watch: http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=WSWCTP&e=201110280612 -AND THE- Winter Storm Warning: http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=WSWCTP&e=201110281708 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 well if the 18z runs trend toward the euro then that would cap off a very disappointing winter. Any updates on the weekend storm? Wouldn't count on it. 18z runs are just reinitialized runs using much of the same data that 12z uses since there aren't 6hr upper air observations...only 12. 18z's will likely look close to the 12's...it's the 00z's you should look for with newer data. I'm in for Doug Allen tonight, poor guy has come down with a bug of some kind, so I'll be lurking and I'll let you know what our RPM shows when I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Even down here jaimie, i anticpate snow to early April April 7th '03 we had 4" , March 16 '04 we had 4", March 6-7 '11 we had 4" Just some quick peek at my notes to name a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 October 2011 could be right wow.....just plain incredible if thats the case. Honestly, this period of time without accumulating significant snow is plain insane. Growing up was so different than today's winter weather. Let's hope something changes for the weekend we are so overdue. I was born in 1967 and lived through the 71-72 until 76-77 winters. Sucked for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 If you are referring the October 2011 storm you are incorrect, here is the, Winter Storm Watch: http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=WSWCTP&e=201110280612 -AND THE- Winter Storm Warning: http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=WSWCTP&e=201110281708 Yes, i was talking about 2011. I corrected myself right after i posted that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Wouldn't count on it. 18z runs are just reinitialized runs using much of the same data that 12z uses since there aren't 6hr upper air observations...only 12. 18z's will likely look close to the 12's...it's the 00z's you should look for with newer data. I'm in for Doug Allen tonight, poor guy has come down with a bug of some kind, so I'll be lurking and I'll let you know what our RPM shows when I can. thanks! Dont forget to give Cashtown a shout out on air . lol I always have weather world to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol are you guys talking about verified warnings? I had a warning for Friday but got an inch of snow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 hopefully for s. pa euro is out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 we had 18 inches on march 13 of 1993 6" march 2, 2009 7" march 16 2007 7" march 14 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 For those in the LSV, lancaster area specifically, this link has every snowfall date and amount recorded since 1926: http://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wic/climo/snowstorms.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 March can be great...not sure for La Nina years though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Latest CTP snow map is loltastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Whats it showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol are you guys talking about verified warnings? I had a warning for Friday but got an inch of snow lol. I think they meant for down there in LSV. I think we had a warning last year for some icy storm that never happened - do you recall that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Whats it showing? You don't want to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Whats it showing? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Latest CTP snow map is loltastic. Yep, looks like they only looked at one model. Not sure why they reduced it from what they had as the Euro just remained consistent with it's previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 the bottom half looks like the opposite of the previous map: southcentral is in the 1-2" zone while points east and west are in the 2+ zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 CTP's forecast for HBG Wednesday A slight chance of rain and snow between 10am and 1pm, then rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Wednesday Night Periods of snow before 1am. Low around 30. East wind 6 to 10 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yall will at least get 2 inches out of this....they change the forecast every 2 hours anymore lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lots going on this weekend, I am working as part of the production crew for our athletics streaming King's College. Anyway, the weather makes our schedule a mess. Back to weather, I just can't get the feeling that we are getting a big storm out of my head. Is it wishfull thinking? I am not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Rick, I have it too man. Like a big 12 to 20 type event. I have no basis for this obviously, just a strong hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I think they meant for down there in LSV. I think we had a warning last year for some icy storm that never happened - do you recall that? Haha I do now that you bring it up, yeah that was definitely a bust. Last really good storm I remember was rain to snow March 2011. Definition of high impact event...great memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I think the CTP call of 1 to 2 looks pretty good based on temps and expected intensity. Not sure why some are so critical...we have underachieved all winter down this way. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Last big storm we had was Halloween 2011. Cantore was two blocks from my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Canderson was that the time it thundersnowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 Like Wmsptwx the last best storm I saw was March 2011. I was home for that one...rain -> heavy sleet -> CCB heavy thundersnow thump that left 5" in 3 hours between about 1 and 4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yep, looks like they only looked at one model. Not sure why they reduced it from what they had as the Euro just remained consistent with it's previous runs. They dropped the numbers due to the presence of above freezing air robbing the frozen stuff. While 2-4" of snow may fall from the sky, their map shows what they think will actually stick. Our snowfall map is somewhat close to this, although we go 1-3 generally... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 They dropped the numbers due to the presence of above freezing air robbing the frozen stuff. While 2-4" of snow may fall from the sky, their map shows what they think will actually stick. Our snowfall map is somewhat close to this, although we go 1-3 generally... I think that's pretty good. 1-2 for most, 3 on the ridges/hilltops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I am thinking 1-2 for UNV is a solid call right now. If the Euro whiffs on this event I feel it increases hope for PD III storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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