jumpers61 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I am Joe. Fox43. From PA most of my life but returning from a stint in the Deep South so brushing up on this winter forecasting stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I am Joe. Fox43. From PA most of my life but returning from a stint in the Deep South so brushing up on this winter forecasting stuff! Hey Joe Welcome aboard, we heard rumors you may join our group! Its always great having another red tager.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 If I had to guess higher elev. along and south if turnpike will do the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jumpers61 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Happy to be here from time to time! My name is Jeff Jumper. We're expanding our morning show to 5 hours...which means less time for me to forecast We'll see how it pans out. New NWS map in the past 10 mins. Broadbrushing with a look similar to the QPF contours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Welcome Jeff. As others have mentioned, great to have another expert on here. Even better to have one from our neck of the woods on the southern tier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Joe welcome!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 New map looks reasonable. i guess the $100 question will be how much or what we lose to rain right? not an expert but this appears to be pretty cut and dry rain/snow, little to no chance of sleet or frzn correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jumpers61 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah, I'm seeing melting possible only in the boundry layer. Doesn't look like a shot at up/zr. Always looking for input. I may have a degree and some experience, but forecasting is a trade. Always learning! Plus I have to juggle the TV vs. science world too, which sometimes can be tough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 New map looks reasonable. i guess the $100 question will be how much or what we lose to rain right? not an expert but this appears to be pretty cut and dry rain/snow, little to no chance of sleet or frzn correct? Yeah, should be rain to snow. I'm not too enthused about it...temps in the mid 40s tomorrow isn't usually a good set up down here unless it is a dynamic system. We shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Also...I want to jump all in for the weekend, but the Euro just will not budge. Disheartening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Also...I want to jump all in for the weekend, but the Euro just will not budge. Disheartening. yeah i'm with ya, but i jumped all in and i'm playing all my chips. however, i may be like the capt. of that cruise ship............drifting at sea...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol we my as well go all in on that one...we cant punt everything. Chips are on the table baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Happy to be here from time to time! My name is Jeff Jumper. We're expanding our morning show to 5 hours...which means less time for me to forecast We'll see how it pans out. New NWS map in the past 10 mins. Broadbrushing with a look similar to the QPF contours... This lines up well with LWX's thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Some guy in the NYC thread is still complaining about getting dry slotted last Friday night. He received 19"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 If South-Central PA (Bedford, Fulton, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Franklin and Adams) and the LSV could cash in on this, then everybody will be able to say they got "theirs". I think we should hope for that. Good way to look at it. I am Joe. Fox43. From PA most of my life but returning from a stint in the Deep South so brushing up on this winter forecasting stuff! Hi Joe. I'm originally from York, grew up there (right near Kiwanis Lake just off Parkway Blvd). Welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Some guy in the NYC thread is still complaining about getting dry slotted last Friday night. He received 19"... Lol...unreal. There would be a week long celebration for anything 10+ here haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 9z sref mean shows .1 line straddles unv to ipt and .25 rides right along maryland border. Didnt get a look at 3z so not sure which way it went lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 9z sref mean shows .1 line straddles unv to ipt and .25 rides right along maryland border. Didnt get a look at 3z so not sure which way it went lol. South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol...unreal. There would be a week long celebration for anything 10+ here haha. Unreal is right. This is what I was talking about....this subforum doesn't have anything like that. You're right, we would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah, I'm seeing melting possible only in the boundry layer. Doesn't look like a shot at up/zr. Always looking for input. I may have a degree and some experience, but forecasting is a trade. Always learning! Plus I have to juggle the TV vs. science world too, which sometimes can be tough! Being able to correctly depict what is going on in the crazy atmosphere and present it so that the "Average Joe" can understand it is a science in itself! Good to see you on here, man. Though we are from competing stations in the SQV, I think it's important that we keep the dialogue open. For this system, I would tend to agree with your call of lower amounts than what CTP is showing. I still think it's advisory level for most of our viewing area, but exactly how much QPF can go as snow is the main question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Welcome, Joe! Recent trend of every model moving south isn't making me very happy. Every 0z model nudged south. Grr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I really couldnt believe my eyes lol, thats half of our yearly total he received in one storm. I have a feeling we get a regionwide, heavy wet storm before the end of the season. 4 to 6 type storm. As for wednesday...between boundary temps and mod. precip at best I have concerns for s. pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Welcome, Joe! Recent trend of every model moving south isn't making me very happy. Every 0z model nudged south. Grr. It's Matt Moore, but thanks! The recent trend is disheartening, but there can be shifts late in the game to the north as well. HPC goes with a GFS/Ukie blend which painted a 1-4" type snow across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 First Call IPT: 0" UNV: T MDT: 1" HGR: 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Though we are from competing stations in the SQV, I think it's important that we keep the dialogue open. Keep the dialogue open? You're television "weathermen" (sorry, I would hate hearing that term, if I were you) not Israelies and Palestinians. I would hope that reality isn't like "Anchorman" where if the two of you were to meet somewhere in the street it would be "bum fights, volume 200". Although, I'd like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Big X-Factor is the changeover time which appears to be right around the evening rush hour. When you have precipitation changing like this you get those big wet flakes plus precipitation fog which sets the stage for an interesting few hours. Would not be surprised to see a Winter Weather Advisory for 1" - 4" of snow for MD Tier counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Keep the dialogue open? You're television "weathermen" (sorry, I would hate hearing that term, if I were you) not Israelies and Palestinians. I would hope that reality isn't like "Anchorman" where if the two of you were to meet somewhere in the street it would be "bum fights, volume 200". Although, I'd like that. You'd be surprised. A lot of TV mets completely shut down any communication once it's realized that they are talking to another TV met in the same market. It's like we'd be spreading top secret weather info or something along those lines. It's completely ludicrous, but it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Big X-Factor is the changeover time which appears to be right around the evening rush hour. When you have precipitation changing like this you get those big wet flakes plus precipitation fog which sets the stage for an interesting few hours. Would not be surprised to see a Winter Weather Advisory for 1" - 4" of snow for MD Tier counties. You're right, Matt. Rush hour and big heavy wet flakes can slushy roads and nasty travel conditions for the evening rush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Keep the dialogue open? You're television "weathermen" (sorry, I would hate hearing that term, if I were you) not Israelies and Palestinians. I would hope that reality isn't like "Anchorman" where if the two of you were to meet somewhere in the street it would be "bum fights, volume 200". Although, I'd like that. Hahahahaha post of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I can see a fight over something like set jealousy or who's doppler 9,000 is "moar powerful" or whatever. Maybe your noon weathergirl is hotter or your picture of "sunshine" has cooler sunglasses than the other. I now want this fight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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