JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You guys need to keep in mind for a lot of those NE guys 1' snow is somewhat routine. So when they were looking at an epic 2.5-3' monster and then get a "once every three or so year storm" it stings for sure. It'd be like us LSV guys going from 1' to 4-6". While it does have some excellent mets and good folks, that subforum also has some adult-sized five year olds. That's a factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Leaving tonight at 12 for RI looks like. If anyone wants to go email me [email protected] Be safe, have fun and please come back to posts your videos and photos. And maybe stick around our forum when you do return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's cool. I think after reading that they may have something similar to the blizzard of 1888 but maybe not on that scale - I mean a storm that starts off with rain and meh and turns into a beast. Through 36, the NAM looks okay for advisory snow here. And the NAM is going all HULK SMASH on NYC right now at hour 39. HM said NYC and N NJ could see a major, major storm. When he barks like that, something's going on. I'm not a good NAM reader; do you have access to how it looks for our region back this way? Also radar's blowing up nicely in the SE and Gulf now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Widespread QPF .25"+ with the .50" line closing in on IPT it appears. I think at this point, this is the best we can hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HM said NYC and N NJ could see a major, major storm. When he barks like that, something's going on. I'm not a good NAM reader; do you have access to how it looks for our region back this way? Also radar's blowing up nicely in the SE and Gulf now. Amen. HM's like a shrewd junkyard dog that way. Widespread QPF .25"+ with the .50" line closing in on IPT it appears. I think at this point, this is the best we can hope for. Looks colder too. Not sure tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HM said NYC and N NJ could see a major, major storm. When he barks like that, something's going on. I'm not a good NAM reader; do you have access to how it looks for our region back this way? Also radar's blowing up nicely in the SE and Gulf now. On the NAM, it appears that you get like .3 of snow Friday night with seemingly good rates. Based on text output on AccuWx pro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Widespread QPF .25"+ with the .50" line closing in on IPT it appears. I think at this point, this is the best we can hope for. i can't remember, maybe the GFS when i looked this am, had the most qbf for mdt at .24. that is if i read it correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's cool. I think after reading that they may have something similar to the blizzard of 1888 but maybe not on that scale - I mean a storm that starts off with rain and meh and turns into a beast. Through 36, the NAM looks okay for advisory snow here. And the NAM is going all HULK SMASH on NYC right now at hour 39. If the NAM snow map is even remotely correct, warning critera a possibility in Schuylkill County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the NAM snow map is even remotely correct. Someone brought his funny today. How you feeling, man? I read you're suffering from stones this morning. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HM said NYC and N NJ could see a major, major storm. When he barks like that, something's going on. I'm not a good NAM reader; do you have access to how it looks for our region back this way? Also radar's blowing up nicely in the SE and Gulf now. From what I am looking at based on NAM it is rain to snow for philly/NJ... boundary layer issues early with a strong jet streak on the north east edge of the coastal low pulling in some warmer air initially until it begins to rapidly strengthen and gain latitude. However, the NAM often struggles with temperature profile with cold air damming scenario prior to a storm system's arrival... sometimes it is accurate and sometimes it pushes out the cold air too quickly... afternoon temperatures will be worth watching tomorrow to see if they do indeed climb as the models are currently projecting... if the cold air wins we may remain nearly all frozen. What I fear is if we do have any rain initially late tomorrow afternoon that the ground is still frozen and we could have ice issues before a changeover to all snow... QPF 12z NAM: MDT - .39" IPT - .62" UNV - .41" PHL - 1.74" ACY - 3.05" LNS - .56" THV - .31" AOO - .26" FIG - .40" NYC - 3.01" BOS - 2.56" (not complete yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Someone brought his funny today. How you feeling, man? I read you're suffering from stones this morning. :/ Must be the morphine I got from the ER doc last night... Better than I was last night. The stone lodged in a different location from my normal episodes, so I initially thought I was having an appendicitis attack. Wost stone pain (and I've had quite a few) that I've ever experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 From what I am looking at based on NAM it is rain to snow for philly/NJ... boundary layer issues early with a strong jet streak on the north east edge of the coastal low pulling in some warmer air initially until it begins to rapidly strengthen and gain latitude. However, the NAM often struggles with temperature profile with cold air damming scenario prior to a storm system's arrival... sometimes it is accurate and sometimes it pushes out the cold air too quickly... afternoon temperatures will be worth watching tomorrow to see if they do indeed climb as the models are currently projecting... if the cold air wins we may remain nearly all frozen. What I fear is if we do have any rain initially late tomorrow afternoon that the ground is still frozen and we could have ice issues before a changeover to all snow... QPF 12z NAM: MDT - .39" IPT - .62" UNV - .41" PHL - 1.74" ACY - 3.05" LNS - .56" THV - .31" AOO - .26" FIG - .40" NYC - 3.01" BOS - 2.56" (not complete yet) thats wetter then yesterday right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 thats wetter then yesterday right? From what I recall yes, not as much of a dryslot between the two lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So is this storm going to be a Miller A or a Miller B......Originally it was a B. And is the track staying true or doing a wiggle west?? Zack we like pictures!!! Have fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 SREF plume viewer says mean of 5" at LNS, 6" at RDG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 SREF plume viewer says mean of 5" at LNS, 6" at RDG What about UNV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What about UNV? doesn't have UNV, but PSB is just shy of 5" http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20130207&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=PSB&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=9&mLAT=40.74283831173559&mLON=-77.65453017578125&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 doesn't have UNV, but PSB is just shy of 5" http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20130207&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=PSB&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=9&mLAT=40.74283831173559&mLON=-77.65453017578125&mTYP=roadmap Thanks! FYI to UNV people, I think PSB is at a higher elevation and might not be good to use for peeps right in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 PAGING WMSPTWX.....REPEAT.....PAGING WMSPTWX.... congrats URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013PAZ010>012-041-045-046-049>053-058-072300-/O.EXA.KCTP.WS.A.0001.130208T1200Z-130209T1200Z/ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...POTTSVILLE1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGHSATURDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGHSATURDAY MORNING.* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES.* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAYTUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHERINFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSOBE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 PAGING WMSPTWX.....REPEAT.....PAGING WMSPTWX.... congrats URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013 PAZ010>012-041-045-046-049>053-058-072300- /O.EXA.KCTP.WS.A.0001.130208T1200Z-130209T1200Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- SCHUYLKILL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM... RENOVO...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE... DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...POTTSVILLE 1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && Sounding a little better....thanks Jamie! Now we get you in there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NYC forum saying GFS should come west too. MDT might maybe be able to pull off 2" after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 PAGING WMSPTWX.....REPEAT.....PAGING WMSPTWX.... congrats URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013PAZ010>012-041-045-046-049>053-058-072300-/O.EXA.KCTP.WS.A.0001.130208T1200Z-130209T1200Z/ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...POTTSVILLE1035 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGHSATURDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGHSATURDAY MORNING.* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES.* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAYTUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHERINFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSOBE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.&& well, i think he should be hosting a snow party?? Serving chicken wings and brew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 sauss we should go snow chase in .... Williamsport! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 sauss we should go snow chase in .... Williamsport! not a good idea, that's the biggest screw-zone in the state according to past posts from residents in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 So...3-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 sauss we should go snow chase in .... Williamsport! not a good idea, that's the biggest screw-zone in the state according to past posts from residents in the area lol that's funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Will be going live tomorrow on my channel. Stay tuned to our HWPC FB page for details on when. FB page: www.facebook.com/hwpcwx Ustream live channel: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/hwpc-live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Will be going live tomorrow on my channel. Stay tuned to our HWPC FB page for details on when. FB page: www.facebook.com/hwpcwx Ustream live channel: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/hwpc-live Rock on! Maybe look more to Worchester than RI though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Rock on! Maybe look more to Worchester than RI though. I refuse to go into MA. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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