MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm hoping we end up being in the game at least some but I just can't get too enthused about watching NYC cash in on another storm. Call it what you want, but that's just how I feel right now. The thing that I really love is I remember about this time last week there was dismay over the euro weeklies "canceling winter" mid Feb on and just the general grief about nothing working out all winter and whatnot. And BANG, some folks in SNE are staring 24-30+" in the face inside of 60 hours out of a pattern that would seemingly be a jesus miracle if it pulled off a run of the mill coastal storm. Only in the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 winter storm watches are up for northern pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 New England but I know what he means. We struggle at getting the home run storm here(North Central Pa), but living here we should know that and take whatever falls. Also, before I get called negative that is not. We get a lot of moderate storms and I am very thankful for that.We clearly just dont specialize in getting huge events...climatologically. Well said...North central Pa sits in a nice spot that while it doesn't bear the brunt often, its usually in the game...and while those to the northeast look to be in the bullseye, I'd rather be in a spot that is less on the edge and at least guaranteed something. Next week sounds like one that may be like the "good ole days". Sure hope so. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 DT's map a big FU to the LSV. Hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 New England but I know what he means. We struggle at getting the home run storm here(North Central Pa), but living here we should know that and take whatever falls. Also, before I get called negative that is not. We get a lot of moderate storms and I am very thankful for that.We clearly just dont specialize in getting huge events...climatologically. Just remember that while we all miss the ridiculous stuff you still are likely the best positioned regular in our subforum to at least pull off several inches with this event. Although I guess if you go with Zack, you will really be in good shape haha. I still would choose Worcester or the Boston suburbs in between cuz it is further northeast and more likely to get lingering heavy deform longer as the low winds up. At the same time it is inland enough that it will be a cold storm and likely >10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yea mag thanks, Sref showed ok precip amounts. I really want to go..it would be amazing man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Sorry guys, my pissy litle rant is over lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Dude youre fine lol, plus that was no rant..plus you make me laugh my arse off most of the time. Now when I did it, it was pretty annoying I must even admit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 New England but I know what he means. We struggle at getting the home run storm here(North Central Pa), but living here we should know that and take whatever falls. Also, before I get called negative that is not. We get a lot of moderate storms and I am very thankful for that.We clearly just dont specialize in getting huge events...climatologically. Williamsport is in a bad spot, worse than UNV. We do get some coastals that miss you. Speaking of coastals, they never used to be this common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Here is the latest snowfall forecast map. " it changed some from the one I posted this morning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Sorry guys, my pissy litle rant is over lol. Hopefully we get something out of the favorable period second half of Feb. Seriously, though, if I were in NYC I'd be a bit nervous. UNV has about .10 less than LGA on the latest NAM. GFS has them getting a lot of rain. These types of storms always totally **** someone, could be them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Williamsport is in a bad spot, worse than UNV. We do get some coastals that miss you. Speaking of coastals, they never used to be this common. God clearly hates I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Everyone check out the 0z NAM for eastern Mass. Feet upon feet of snow and a deform band for the ages. 975.4 mb at 66 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Unreal dude. I feel like we should go lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If I didn't have a board meeting Friday, I'd be with you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Unreal dude. I feel like we should go lol. Ha!!! You could be a week getting unburied. Would be neat to see that much snow. Everyone check out the 0z NAM for eastern Mass. Feet upon feet of snow and a deform band for the ages. 975.4 mb at 66 hrs. Wow look at that low. 975.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 -Curses schoolwork and two weekend shifts of work work- -Curses schoolwork and two weekend shifts of work work- -Curses schoolwork and two weekend shifts of work work- -Okay I'll stop- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Unreal dude. I feel like we should go lol. I have plans Friday and Saturday or I'd go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 In terms of our area NAM continues to have all rain as ptype all the way up IPT's fanny, which is probably too warm. New 21z SREF plumes looked better QPF and snow wise. IPT's 21 member mean is about 5-6 inches with a 15 inch max. The rest of the area has a mean of generally about 3-4 inches. Like the NAM they still have members bumping up plain rain probs in places where I would bet against it. This is new source for SREF data I got from others posting it. Here is State College's for example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 PSB? " NCEP SREF plume for Total-SNO at PSB from 20130206/21 UTC run." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 PSB? "NCEP SREF plume for Total-SNO at PSB from 20130206/21 UTC run." Yea i dunno what that abbreviation stands for.. the location for that plume is west of State College where the doppler radar is located. I dunno why UNV wouldn't be a choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Dang man...thought 850s looked colder on NAM..yikes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 btw, noticed that E-wall doesn't have the 0z NAM out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM is so warm it gives parts of CT a foot in sleet. It is an absolutely God-awful model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM is so warm it gives parts of CT a foot in sleet. It is an absolutely God-awful model. That might be interesting to see happen, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM is so warm it gives parts of CT a foot in sleet. It is an absolutely God-awful model. A foot of sleet would last on the ground till May haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ha! That it would. I feel we had about that in the VD2007 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM is so warm it gives parts of CT a foot in sleet. It is an absolutely God-awful model. lol with QPF at nearly 1" for 2 consecutive 6 hour intervals for that area I think precip rates will be heavy enough to keep it all snow inland... coastal areas may see some issues, especially if it were to track a little west... Boston QPF on 0z NAM is sitting at roughly 3.35"... insane if somewhere near there ends up all snow at ratios of just 10:1 let alone anything greater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 A foot of sleet would last on the ground till May of 2015. FIFY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HWO just posted for the CTP counties without a headline. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHTINTO FRIDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION ANDLIGHT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND LIGHT TOMODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH. AT THIS TIME... THEGREATEST RISK OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS OVER THE NORTH CENTRALMOUNTAINS...WHILE FREEZING RAIN IS MORE LIKELY OVER SOUTH CENTRALPENNSYLVANIA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GREATER THAN 6 INCHES APPEARUNLIKELY AT THIS TIME OVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...BUT THIS MAYCHANGE WITH LATER FORECASTS AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS...SO CHECK THEFORECAST REGULARLY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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