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Contest: February 1-7, 2013 Total Snowfall At ORD


Chicago WX

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  On 2/5/2013 at 9:07 PM, baum001 said:

I'm thinking 1-2 falls before changeover at ORD on Thursday. Puts me right in the mix(no pun intended). Or is this where someone posts next system is not part of the clipper train,and therefore does not count?

EDIT: wow right on cue.

Note it is titled through 2/7/13

I'm trying to win a contest here. :P Of course I may already be out depending how much fell at ORD today.

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Quad Cities ends the debate:

 

THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED
NIGHT/THURSDAY. THE EARLY EVENING OF WED NIGHT WILL BE DRY BUT BY
MID TO LATE EVENING CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS COLLAPSE AS
FORCING INCREASES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CWFA. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.... :nerdsmiley:  :)

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  On 2/5/2013 at 9:25 PM, baum001 said:

Quad Cities ends the debate:

 

THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED

NIGHT/THURSDAY. THE EARLY EVENING OF WED NIGHT WILL BE DRY BUT BY

MID TO LATE EVENING CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS COLLAPSE AS

FORCING INCREASES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CWFA. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN

OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.... :nerdsmiley:  :)

 

Thursday is the 7th dude. :)

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  On 2/5/2013 at 9:35 PM, Hoosier said:

I could buy that this is a hybrid, but it's a stretch to call it a classic Alberta clipper. Look at how it evolves. Regardless, Tim set the rules with a cutoff date and not about what kind of system it is.

Yeah it is a hybrid not a classic clipper.

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  On 2/5/2013 at 4:20 AM, Chicago WX said:

5.4" the number now. Models don't look like much falls tomorrow, but we'll see.

 

The number was reduced to 5.2" before today, for whatever reason. Anyway, 0.5" today through 4:00pm. So we're at 5.7"...unless they change it again.

 

EDIT: or maybe I saw an additional 0.2" that wasn't there. Pretty confident on 5.7" right now.

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  On 2/5/2013 at 10:34 PM, Chicago WX said:

The number was reduced to 5.2" before today, for whatever reason. Anyway, 0.5" today through 4:00pm. So we're at 5.7"...unless they change it again.

 

EDIT: or maybe I saw an additional 0.2" that wasn't there. Pretty confident on 5.7" right now.

It was never changed. :unsure:

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  On 2/5/2013 at 10:34 PM, Chicago WX said:

The number was reduced to 5.2" before today, for whatever reason. Anyway, 0.5" today through 4:00pm. So we're at 5.7"...unless they change it again.

EDIT: or maybe I saw an additional 0.2" that wasn't there.

Pretty confident on 5.7" right now.

Looked back at LSR'S and didn't see the additional .2" anywhere so it looks like 5.7" is what we're going with for the month so far.

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  On 2/7/2013 at 12:30 AM, Minnesota Meso said:

I can see that most of the regular poster's are out of the competition, as this has been bery, bery quiet.  I think the most likely winner is between the two highest forecast amounts/

 

.

OHweather: 5.9"

huronicane: 6.2"

Minnesota Meso: 6.3"

dmc76: 6.7"

baum001: 7.3"

 

If it over performs a bit tomorrow, then I could see BowMe being closer.

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you very well be right,  I had to go back a bit to find these..

 

BowMeHunter: 8.4"

Luftfeuchtigkeit: 8.5"

KokomoWX: 10.5"

 

it will be interesting as any frozen precip is counted as measured on the snow board, then take into account any compaction that occurs during the 6 hrs measurements, that leads me to think that either one of these two will win out.

 

dmc76: 6.7"

baum001: 7.3"

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  On 2/7/2013 at 1:00 AM, Minnesota Meso said:

you very well be right,  I had to go back a bit to find these..

 

BowMeHunter: 8.4"

Luftfeuchtigkeit: 8.5"

KokomoWX: 10.5"

 

it will be interesting as any frozen precip is counted as measured on the snow board, then take into account any compaction that occurs during the 6 hrs measurements, that leads me to think that either one of these two will win out.

 

dmc76: 6.7"

baum001: 7.3"

 

I'd take those two picks also.

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  On 2/8/2013 at 1:28 AM, Chicago WX said:

6.6" through 6pm tonight. Time is running thin. Guesses in the neighborhood below. dmc76 looks good.

 

cyclone77: 5.9"

OHweather: 5.9"

huronicane: 6.2"

Minnesota Meso: 6.3"

dmc76: 6.7"

baum001: 7.3"

 

plenty of snow moving from the west. Baum's total might be right on target

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  On 1/31/2013 at 8:24 PM, baum001 said:

7.3 as winter peaks over the next 7-10 days. This is at ORD. Other locales in chitown:

Aleking. .6

Geos 12.2

Thunder snow .7 but that trace will be accompanied by thunder and lightning so it will be well worth it.

The best thing about this call is how my discrepancy between ORD and Geos panned out. Who would have thought my Geos call would be way under?
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  On 2/8/2013 at 6:28 AM, Geos said:

ORD got another 0.9" since 6pm. So we are at 7.5". Baum was almost spot on!

 

0.5" additional, not 0.9".

 

1200 AM     SNOW             OHARE AIRPORT           41.98N 87.90W02/08/2013  M0.5 INCH        COOK               IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS            MEASURED 0.5 INCHES FROM 600 PM TO MIDNIGHT. STORM TOTAL

1.4 INCHES. 

 

7.1" is the final number, which doesn't change the results. Congrats Baum. :)

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  On 2/1/2013 at 1:10 PM, Chicago WX said:

Median: 4.3"

Mean: 4.6"

 

SchaumburgStormer: T

B-Rent: 1.6"

buckeye: 1.8"

Roger Smith: 2.2"

TimChgo9: 2.3"

SpartyOn: 2.5"

Chicago Storm: 2.7"

nwburbschaser: 3.1"

Alek: 3.3"

DAFF: 3.3"

snowstormcanuck: 3.5"

Andy: 3.6"

Stebo: 3.7"

IWXwx: 3.9"

Thunder Road: 3.9"

Central Illinois: 4.1"

BeastFromtheEast: 4.2"

hm8: 4.2"

Toronto4: 4.2"

michsnowfreak: 4.3"

wisconsinwx: 4.8"

Chicago WX: 5.0"

mnweather: 5.0"

Thundersnow12: 5.1"

Geos: 5.3"

Chargers09: 5.4"

Hoosier: 5.5"

Harry: 5.7"

Brewers: 5.8"

cyclone77: 5.9"

OHweather: 5.9"

huronicane: 6.2"

Minnesota Meso: 6.3"

dmc76: 6.7"

baum001: 7.3"

BowMeHunter: 8.4"

Luftfeuchtigkeit: 8.5"

KokomoWX: 10.5"

 

Our group think sucked balls too (mean and median calls).  Bunch of DDs.  :P

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