CAD_Wedge_NC Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... 430 PM EDT UPDATE...BUMPED UP POPS ACROSS THE LOWER NC PIEDMONT AND UPSTATE TO ACCOUNT FOR REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH TRAVERSING UPPER S/W. THE MELTING LAYER IS AROUND 6.5 KFT...SO A BRIGHT BANDING IS INDICATED ON THE DUAL POL IN RELATION TO GRAUPEL AND MELTING SNOW. DONT ANTICIPATE VERY TALL OR LONG LIVED CELLS IN THIS ENVIRONMENT. HOURLY TEMPS HAVE BEEN ADJ DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES MAINLY ACROSS THE UPSTATE AS THE THICK MULTI/LAYERED CLOUDS AND PRECIP DRAG HAS KEPT THINGS COOLER THAN FCST/D. I wonder if Mt Mitchel saw any snow today at 6684 ft. Last I checked it was 39 degrees. I had to make another post since I was at 666. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 I had to make another post since I was at 666. Understandable man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Looking at BUFKIT soundings from the latest GFS solution highlights the possibility of a high elevation(5500 feet +) snowfall in the Monday afternoon/Tuesday morning time frame as an upper level low potentially crosses the mountains of Western N.C. (Confidence is low in this solution since the models have been all over the place in the handling of the upper level low.) Temps around 810 mb drops below freezing with plenty of moisture in place..some snow growth in the clouds and a bit of vertical motion prints out about 0.1" of rain at KAVL which suggests a couple of inches of snow on Mt. Mtichell or even on my mountain top near Waterrock knob. http://www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Waterrock-Knob/forecasts/1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 2, 2013 Author Share Posted May 2, 2013 Mike I would not be surprised at all to see snow in the mountains if this thing tracks just over us. The Euro solution has come in much further south with the cutoff low and the GFS is even more south but we need the center to pass right over us to really get the most out of the cooling in the upper layers. One thing I am sure of is we are going to have a ton of rain out of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 I think this threat is done for for this winter/spring. Hey not a bad year with snowfall coming in at 42.5 inches of snow but it could have been colder. Not one tinme did we dip into the single digits this winter. Actually we got colder last winter than we did this winter but we had much more snow this winter. I give this winter a b-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Just think 1 month ago it was snowing here in Wilkes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Just think 1 month ago it was snowing here in Wilkes! Nice yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Mt. Leconte did end up with some snow during this latest event along with some mixed wet snow falling at the very top of the Beech/Sugar Mtn areas yesterday morning. http://www.highonleconte.com/1/post/2013/05/may1.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 7, 2013 Author Share Posted May 7, 2013 Mt. Leconte did end up with some snow during this latest event along with some mixed wet snow falling at the very top of the Beech/Sugar Mtn areas yesterday morning. http://www.highonleconte.com/1/post/2013/05/may1.html Wow crazy for this time of the year. Ya I think I may have spoken to soon about the snow threat ending. Looks like we could have soem upslope out of this next cold snap this coming weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted May 7, 2013 Share Posted May 7, 2013 Wow crazy for this time of the year. Ya I think I may have spoken to soon about the snow threat ending. Looks like we could have soem upslope out of this next cold snap this coming weekend. This came out on Twitter for Mt. Mitchell at 2 PM EDT. "Mt Mitchell State Pk @MtMitchellStPk 12m 42 degrees - rain/ sleet near office 38 degrees - sleet/snow mix at summit" Quick look at radar shows some nice convective returns around the Summit that are nearly stationary or drifting off to the South. 850 mb temps are at a rather mild 7 C but steep low-level lapse rates in the order of 8 C/KM suggests snow possible in convective elements. The reference to "sleet" is likely incorrect..it is probably graupel. Here's a link to pic of the snow in the Grandfather Mtn area: https://www.facebook.com/#!/Beech.Mountain.Resort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 8, 2013 Author Share Posted May 8, 2013 This came out on Twitter for Mt. Mitchell at 2 PM EDT. "Mt Mitchell State Pk @MtMitchellStPk 12m 42 degrees - rain/ sleet near office 38 degrees - sleet/snow mix at summit" Quick look at radar shows some nice convective returns around the Summit that are nearly stationary or drifting off to the South. 850 mb temps are at a rather mild 7 C but steep low-level lapse rates in the order of 8 C/KM suggests snow possible in convective elements. The reference to "sleet" is likely incorrect..it is probably graupel. Here's a link to pic of the snow in the Grandfather Mtn area: https://www.facebook.com/#!/Beech.Mountain.Resort Thanks Mike. Ya interesting weather to say the least in the mountains. It has been staight up cold the past several days and a late killing frost looks possible at the end of the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted May 8, 2013 Share Posted May 8, 2013 Thanks Mike. Ya interesting weather to say the least in the mountains. It has been staight up cold the past several days and a late killing frost looks possible at the end of the weekend. There was some mixed snow reported in the Plotts right on the Haywood/Jackson county line yesterday afternoon at 6130 feet..and that likely marks the end of the snow season. The next surge of cold air likely isn't going to be cold enough or moist enough to generate upslope so we are looking at October before the flakes fly again. Perhaps in the meantime, should start a mountain convection thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 8, 2013 Author Share Posted May 8, 2013 There was some mixed snow reported in the Plotts right on the Haywood/Jackson county line yesterday afternoon at 6130 feet..and that likely marks the end of the snow season. The next surge of cold air likely isn't going to be cold enough or moist enough to generate upslope so we are looking at October before the flakes fly again. Perhaps in the meantime, should start a mountain convection thread? Ya we could start another thread for daytime convection in the mountains. They do make there own weather and man get underneath one of those storms and you can have major hail high winds and flash flooding in now time. Ya we had a low yesterday morning of 37 degrees so the reports would be pretty accurate if had to bet on it. The next surge of cold I think will be plenty cold but the lack of moisture like you said wil just not be there. Hey time spring finally I recon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted May 8, 2013 Share Posted May 8, 2013 Ya we could start another thread for daytime convection in the mountains. They do make there own weather and man get underneath one of those storms and you can have major hail high winds and flash flooding in now time. Ya we had a low yesterday morning of 37 degrees so the reports would be pretty accurate if had to bet on it. The next surge of cold I think will be plenty cold but the lack of moisture like you said wil just not be there. Hey time spring finally I recon. You aren't kidding. Just in the last few years..summer winds have blown a storage shed on the mountain top at my location into the next county, destroyed an observation tower and knocked down a Ham radio tower. (Microbursts and winds associated with squall lines.) The storms like to form on the SW side of the Plotts and sometimes anchor in place on the ridge top creating some rather spectacular flash floods over a small area. Small hail is very frequent. Regarding the next cold wave, GFS..shows it cold enough but no moisture and weak upslope flow. (No surprise as the Great Lakes are very cold vs temps aloft and aren't generating much moisture compared to the Winter.) Euro is even worse. I would think a cold upper level low situation would have a better chance of producing high elevation snow going forward at least at my location since upslope isn't nearly as signficant as compared to points closer to the TN line and further North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 3, 2013 Author Share Posted June 3, 2013 I came across this intersting article about NWFE if any of you mountain folk are interested. http://www.theweatherprediction.com/weatherpapers/045/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Soco Gap pics! This was taken on Tuesday afternoon and I only had daughter #3 with me. The 2nd pic is of me on Monday evening in what was blizzard like conditions.Ilyssa soco gap.jpgJoe soco gap.jpg Bump for metal man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Bump for metal man!Nice. That happened pretty late in the year. How much was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 I think it was around 15 inches, it's hard to measure with the drifts. Some drifts were really deep, the first pic my wife was with me but with the below 0 wind chill she stayed in the truck for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 Nice. That happened pretty late in the year. How much was that? Probably a foot or more. I know we had like 8 inches that week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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