Met1985 Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 From Morristown... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN342 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013Winter Storm WatchA MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE FROM LATESUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNSET TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHERTERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...AS WELL AS THE SMOKY ANDNORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF EAST TENNESSEE.* EVENT...SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND PASSAGE OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ABOVE 3500 FEET BY LATE TUESDAY. Nice Joe!!! Man I am still trying to get my head around this being the end of March and we are going to get a good wollop of snow! Just Awsome! Keeps us posted up there Joe. This is going to be fun. Were are all the mountain peeps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 That's a pretty impressive snow total for this season, SnoJoe! 57.5 inches already with much more to come in the next few days. I think you've got a good chance to make a run at 70 inches before the season is done...and that would be 7000% of the snow that I've gotten this winter. You do have many advantages to the rest of us, though: 4000+ feet in elevation and lots of orographic lift capabilities, for starters. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Nice Joe!!! Man I am still trying to get my head around this being the end of March and we are going to get a good wollop of snow! Just Awsome! Keeps us posted up there Joe. This is going to be fun. Were are all the mountain peeps! We are here man lurking in the Buncombe co. snow shadows. That sounds awesome but I can't get too excited down here in the valley. 2200' is whole different world but maybe we can squeak out an inch or two! I am just happy to see snow in March. Good luck to everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 GSP .......ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD REMAIN PRIMARILY IN THE 6Z MON UNTIL 22Z TUES WINDOW. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7INCHES WITH AROUND 9 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE SWAIN LINE...WE WILLPOST A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE FAVOR NWFS AREAS ALONG THE TN LINE. Ive must have been sleeping on these boards, havent seen the Sno Joe in some time. Nice total this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 KGSP Storm Total Forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 KGSP Storm Total Forecast Nice! Looks like Haywood and northern Jackson good get hit hard with this one. Never now about these NWFE. They can surprise you or disappointment you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Another mtn peep here getting ready for the winter storm! Seasoned locust stacked and ready to burn, milk and bread run made, generator gased up, and hatches battened down..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Another mtn peep here getting ready for the winter storm! Seasoned locust stacked and ready to burn, milk and bread run made, generator gased up, and hatches battened down..... Lol batten down the hatches is right. Come Sunday morning things are going to be full force I believe. The models are still trendind in our favor and I do believe GSP may have to increase there totals and may have to increase the Warning into at least Wed morning. This is going to be awsome for this time of the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Raysweather is going with : Above 4000 feet. http://averyweather.com/Forecast/Beech+Mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 NWS GSP has pulled back the snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Baldwin in Ashe Co is reporting 1.5" of snow via Bard P twitter post. 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 AVERY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE1059 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013...A LIGHT WINTRY MIX MAY CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERNNORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THIS MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHINGFRONT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTHCAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY AS WARM AS THEYWILL GET TODAY...AND MAY COOL SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOONHOURS...BEFORE COOLING SHARPLY THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVESTHROUGH. THE RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY MIX WITH LIGHT SNOW ORLIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AT TIMES THROUGH THEAFTERNOON HOURS. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION ISEXPECTED IN MOST AREAS...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONSAND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE MAY SEE VERY LIGHT ICING OR SNOWACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED SURFACES OR GRASSY SURFACES. THEPRECIPITATION WILL RAPIDLY SWITCH OVER TO ALL SNOW SHOWERS THISEVENING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS FROM THEWEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Good looking Miller B setting up on visibile... Seen again on SPC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Beech gets a foot+ by the end of Thursday. Sent from my droid RAZR m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 GSP Afternoon AFD Update EAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 3 PM EDT...THE COLD AIR DAMMING LAYER CONTINUES TO GET PINCHED LATE THIS AFTN BETWEEN LOW PRES OVER WRN KY AND COASTAL LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS. THIS IS KEEPING LIGHT UPGLIDE DRIZZLE GOING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE FAR NRN TIER. SOME COOLING OF THE PROFILES IS EXPECTED TO WORK SWD ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH MORE OF A TRANSITION TO MIXED PTYPES THERE. MEANWHILE...THE H5 LOW PRES SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY LATE TODAY WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE VIRGINIAS THROUGH MON. UPPER DIVERGENCE AND SHEARED VORTICITY WILL CROSS MAINLY THE NC PART OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...AS THE SFC OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES THROUGH AS WELL TO BEGIN SCOURING THE WEDGE. WILL TRANSITION EVENING POPS BACK TOWARD THE WRN MTNS. IN ADDITION...SFC BASED CAPE VALUES SHOULD REACH A FEW HUNDRED J/KG IN THE SW NC MTNS...WARRANTING AN ISOLD TO SCT TSTM MENTION THERE. THE REST OF THE MTNS...AND AREAS IN THE CAD EAST OF THE MTNS...SHOULD REMAIN TOO STABLE FOR ANY TSTM MENTION WITH SHOWERS ALONG THE FROPA. THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH OVERLAP OF SFC BASED INSTABILITY AND SFC TO 3 KM SHEAR FOR SOME BRIEF ORGANIZATION JUST W OF THE MTNS...WITH PERHAPS SOME GUSTY WINDS REACHING THE SMOKIES AREA WITH ANY SHOWERS/TSTMS THIS EVENING. WILL ALSO NEED TO POST A FREEZE WARNING FOR MUCH OF THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AFTER FROPA TONIGHT. MORE RAPID COOLING OF PROFILES WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME DEGREE OF WESTERLY UPSLOPE MOISTURE INTO MONDAY MORNING...BUT DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SURGE INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY ALONG WITH IMPROVING UPSLOPE FLOW AS WINDS TURN MORE WNW WITH TIME. SNOW SHOWER CHANCES WILL STEADILY INCREASE ALONG THE SPINE...AS WELL AS ACCUMULATIONS IN THE IMPROVING LAPSE RATES. DEEPER MIXING ALONG WITH THE STOUT WESTERLY FLOW IN THE TIGHT GRADIENT BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL REQUIRE WIND ADVISORIES AS WELL FOR MONDAY FOR ALL BUT THE NE PART. WILL START THE NRN MTN WINTER STORM WARNING THIS EVENING IN ORDER TO CAPTURE MIXED PTYPE LIGHT ICING THERE BEFORE THE TRANSITION TO SNOW. A SPLIT ELEVATION WARNING/ADVISORY WILL BE POSTED STARTING AT 06Z FOR THE SW MTNS. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 310 PM SUNDAY...MONDAY EVENING...SFC CYCLONE WILL TRACK NE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND SHORE AS A MID LEVEL TROF RIPPLES ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE TROF AXIS WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION DURING THE NIGHT...MOVING OVER THE REGION BY 12Z TUESDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE TROF INDICATE THAT LLVL FLOW WILL VEER NW AND THE DEPTH OF SATURATED CONDITIONS WILL DEEPEN...REACHING H4 DURING TUESDAY MORNING. THE CLOUD LAYER IS EXPECTED TO FALL WELL WITHIN THE OPTIMAL SNOW GROWTH TEMPERATURE RANGE OF -12 TO -18C. HOWEVER...AS THE SFC LOW DEPARTS NORTHEAST...H85 WINDS WILL DECREASE FROM 40 TO 45 KTS AT 0Z TUES TO 25 TO 30 KTS AT 12Z TUES. GIVEN THE PASSING WAVE AND VORT MAX...ABUNDANT MOISTURE...AND ORTHOGONAL FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SHSN ACROSS THE WESTERN UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE NC MTNS THROUGH MID DAY TUES. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE NRN MTNS...WITH 8 TO 9 INCHES ALONG THE TN LINE. AREAS FROM MADISON TO GRAHAM COULD SEE 4 TO 6 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS WITH 7 TO 9 INCHES ACROSS THE RIDGES...WITH A FOOT OF SN POSSIBLE ALONG THE SWAIN/NC LINE. TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MOISTURE ACROSS THE MTNS WILL BEGIN TO DRY FROM THE TOP DOWN AND LLVL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO BACK AND WEAKEN. ACCUMULATING SNOW MAY REMAIN ALONG THE TN BORDER THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...THEN END AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT H85 TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW 0C ACROSS THE CWA...WITH MOST AREAS BELOW -5C. ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN THICK ACROSS THE REGION...LLVL THICKNESSES AND PROFILES SUPPORT FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION. BASED ON A BLEND OF ECMWF AND MET TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE...MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD FAVOR THE U20S TO NEAR 30 ACROSS THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...WITH L30S ACROSS THE UPSTATE AND NE GA. WE WILL HIGHLIGHT THE TEMPERATURES WITH A FREEZE WATCH. TUES HIGHS MAY RANGE FROM NEAR 40 ACROSS THE MTNS VALLEYS TO L50S EAST OF THE MTNS. TUESDAY NIGHT...SHSN AND CLOUDS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE TN LINE FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. EAST...SKY MAY SLOW CLEAR AND COOL LLVL THICKNESSES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CWA WITH NW FLOW. MIN TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT ARE FORECAST TO COOL A COUPLE OF DEGREES FROM MON NIGHT VALUES. ON WEDNESDAY...PRECIP SHOULD END AND SKY COVER MAY SLOW DECREASE. LLVL TEMPERATURE PROFILES AND THICKNESSES SHOULD REMAIN SIMILAR TO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...INCREASED INSOLATION MAY PROVIDE A 3 TO 4 DEGREE WARM UP FROM TUESDAY HIGH TEMPERATURE VALUES. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 GSP went heavier again in afternoon Storm Total Snowfall Graphic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Crewe, VA Very Heavy Snow 32F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Crewe, VA Very Heavy Snow 32F Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE 400 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY BELOW 3500 FEET... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING ABOVE 3500 FEET FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BELOW 3500 FEET HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BELOW 3500 FEET FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM MADISON SOUTHWEST TO GRAHAM. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED WITHIN THE VALLEYS. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ARE FORECAST TO RECEIVE 5 TO 8 INCHES...AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED 10 INCHES ALONG THE STATE LINE BORDERING SWAIN COUNTY. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS... BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. HIGH ELEVATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE LINE MAY SEE DEEP SNOW DRIFTS ACROSS ROADS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF MILE IN SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES. * WINDS...WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. HIGH ELEVATIONS MAY REMAIN IN THE LOW 20S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 I think you are right Moto. Big totals on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 NWS GSP has cut back on the snow totals again in the grids as of Monday Morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Woke up this morning with an inch of snow on the ground and still snowing, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 26o light snow with 1" on the ground....radar returns looking good to the west...looks like a more westward flow right now....waiting for the enhancement tonight from NWly flow hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Pouring down and 2 inches up here in Big Stone Gap, VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 I had about a half inch at the house when I left this morning. Still light snow falling here at my office on 441. I am headed to soco gap late this afternoon early evening. Anyone else thinking of heading that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 31o on/off snow showers with 3" on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 31o on/off snow showers with 3" on the ground Got a little over 4 here with 26.1. Should crank up overnight into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Latest GSP Storm Snow Total Forecast Graphic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 It just came one of the best snow squalls I've ever seen. Blue sky to almost 1 inch in 10 minutes. Now the sun is back out and the snow is melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Crazy squall just came through Boone about 25 minutes ago. Here's some footage: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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