NavarreDon Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I never have faith in late season upslope events until they happen. I haven't looked at any models yet but what you posted doesn't sound good. We will see tonight I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 GSPs earlier update was still confident this morning, but they may pull back this afternoon... "Aforementioned impulse crosses the mountains overnight. Model soundings show a low level moist layer arriving tonight. Precipitation is mainly expected in the NC mountains bordering Tennessee in upslope flow...but the strength of the upper system may allow precipitation to spread into the foothills...and perhaps into the SC Piedmont under the track of the upper system. The top of the moist layer will initially be cold enough at its top to support ice nucleation and snow near the Tennessee border. Warm advection aloft and a lowering of the top of the moist layer will end ice nucleation overnight...and by Friday morning the top of the moist layer will be above freezing. This will support a rapid transition from snow to freezing rain in the NC mountains bordering Tennessee. Areas between the Tennessee border region and the NC foothills and Georgia and SC mountains may see precipitation start as rain or snow... depending on the timing of warming aloft...then will see all rain or freezing rain...depending on surface temperatures and how early the rain ends" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 It looks like the best lift will be in the southern mtns. But its gonna be very like. Looks like met 85will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I never have faith in late season upslope events until they happen. I haven't looked at any models yet but what you posted doesn't sound good. We will see tonight I guess. I don't think that falls under the faith umbrella. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I don't think that falls under the faith umbrella. Yeah - that's categorically more in the "snow atheist" column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Well we got a whole bunch of nothing last night!.....I am ready for some warmer temp. Bring on Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Well we got a whole bunch of nothing last night!.....I am ready for some warmer temp. Bring on Spring. Lol Don that was pretty pathetic. Oh well onto the next system which looks to be coming in here around the 20th. Right now looks like we could have a little upslope event. Nothing great but flakes flying in the air will be nice. After that around the 23rd things look real interesting with the AO just dropping out the bottom. I really have never seen anything like it if this comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Lol Don that was pretty pathetic. Oh well onto the next system which looks to be coming in here around the 20th. Right now looks like we could have a little upslope event. Nothing great but flakes flying in the air will be nice. After that around the 23rd things look real interesting with the AO just dropping out the bottom. I really have never seen anything like it if this comes to fruition. No,no,no,no!!! I am going to go out of my skull if we get our biggest storm in 2 yrs while I am at the beach for spring break. It needs to be warm so I can fish & not freak out about what is happening at home. I am kidding of course.......I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 No,no,no,no!!! I am going to go out of my skull if we get our biggest storm in 2 yrs while I am at the beach for spring break. It needs to be warm so I can fish & not freak out about what is happening at home. I am kidding of course.......I think lol... Don, you need to plan these trips after March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 lol... Don, you need to plan these trips after March. If I had my way it would be the 1st or 2nd week of April but in Buncombe Countys infinite wisdom. They thin the kids should have the week before & not after Easter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 lol... Don, you need to plan these trips after March. Forget planning them in March, just plan them in January or February anymore and you will be "golden".................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 6Z GFS showing a wintry mix for the mtns Wed. night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 6Z GFS showing a wintry mix for the mtns Wed. night? Looks like it. Maybe soem snow coming in Wed night. Whats the old saying if you hear thunder in the winter there will be snow on the ground within a week. Well looks like we will be seeing several chances for snow over the course of a week or two and maybe some decent upslope events at that. Pretty neat to see how low our averages will be from now until the end of the month. Maybe 20 to 30 degrees below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 20, 2013 Share Posted March 20, 2013 Since the main threats are gone for this weekend...Is our NWFS event still on for Mon/Tue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 837 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062-210915- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN 837 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER... TEMPERATURES WILL DROP THIS EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BEHIND A COLD FRONT...AND WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MEANWHILE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES. THE SHOWERS WILL FALL AS SNOW ALONG RIDGETOPS AND MOUNTAIN PASSES... AND WILL EVEN CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW IN VALLEY LOCATIONS BEFORE TAPERING OFF EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AN ACCUMULATION OF AN INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY AT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THIS COULD LEAD TO POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS...WHICH MIGHT CATCH SOME PEOPLE OFF GUARD GIVEN THE RECENT WARM WEATHER. SOME PATCHES OF BLACK ICE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY. CONDITIONS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 And just like that it is snowing on the first day of spring!.....gotta love the Mnts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Snowing like crazy outside some good sized flakes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Huge flakes really coming down lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Wow!....snowing pretty good here & starting to lay on elevated surfaces.....pics coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Just came from Asheville and was doing nothing. Hit Canton and I thought it was snowing hard. Got home it is like blizzard conditions. Roads are white and we have an inch and a half on the ground. Crazy outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Just came from Asheville and was doing nothing. Hit Canton and I thought it was snowing hard. Got home it is like blizzard conditions. Roads are white and we have an inch and a half on the ground. Crazy outside. was wonder about your obs, hope we can all cash in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 was wonder about your obs, hope we can all cash in! Ya it is crazy out there. Whiteout conditions still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 For an event that was really lacking in forcing and qpf its really coming down with big flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Two and a half to three inches on the ground and just pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Wow what a great early spring treat for us mountain snow nerds. Lovin' these big flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Well this is a surprise! Ground is completely white. Kinda stunned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 2" on the ground and now 17 degrees. Winter is back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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