famartin Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Here's how to be happy: Expect a coating. If you get it, you're satisfied. If you get more, you're ecstatic. See how easy that was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 wosw au hole inch. did u even break 10 for the year lol. i cracked 20 , all pathetic amounts 20 incheson 2/1 has to be above normal for you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Got home from work at 10 pm to find we got a nice coating of snow up here today. Currently getting a mod. snow shower blowing through. 16.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 GFS, no inverted trough but has coastal closer with .10 for the coast including city. The cape gets into .25 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 20 incheson 2/1 has to be above normal for you... i average about 40 . probably near avg through 2/1 . though 8 of that came in november(2 storms) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Here's how to be happy: Expect a coating. If you get it, you're satisfied. If you get more, you're ecstatic. See how easy that was? have you considered starting a famartin counseling thread? people can bring you their psychological weather issues and you can talk them thru it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 have you considered starting a famartin counseling thread? people can bring you their psychological weather issues and you can talk them thru it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 He's right though. Weather is weather and no matter how much someone doesn't like what's going on, it's going to turn out how it is. We witnessed a superstorm and a snowstorm within two weeks. Followed by several high winds and light snows. We even got the coldest weather we've seen in two years. Besides not having alot of snow, I'd still consider this winter pretty active, and the past 4-6 months have been amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Even if February ends up above normal temperature wise and I think it will albeit slightly despite the cold start, it's clearly going to get more active. The southern stream actually starts coming to life in the long range and although we'll likely have warm and rain at times, the cold air will still be around from time to time increasing the temperature gradient and leading to more stormy conditions. The pacific doesn't look bad and although we may never see a true Greenland block, we could still some sort of blocking that will aid in slowing down the storm and blowing it up. The long range gfs shows both the warmth and rain and the cold and snow as a trough eventually gets carved in the east again. At this point all I'm looking at is a stormy pattern to set up with an active southern stream because then you the chance at a real snow event even if you alternate with warm and rain periods. No matter what anyone says about winter being supposedly over, it's still February (far from over) and anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 10 hours of light snow on the RGEM http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html That's what I think we're more likely to see, with maybe some embedded heavier snow showers given the energized trough. The inverted trough/norlun is unlikely in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 That's what I think we're more likely to see, with maybe some embedded heavier snow showers given the energized trough. The inverted trough/norlun is unlikely in my opinion. Euro still has it but judging by wunderground maps its meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Here's how to be happy: Expect a coating. If you get it, you're satisfied. If you get more, you're ecstatic. See how easy that was? To go from 2010 to nothing has been tough. It's rather upsetting that at this point an inch of snow would be shocking. It's funny how fast we become spoiled. I absolutely hate having two straight seasons of practically no snow, but considering how amazing the 2010 season was, I feel as though that makes up for 2-3 straight years of crap we have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 To go from 2010 to nothing has been tough. It's rather upsetting that at this point an inch of snow would be shocking. It's funny how fast we become spoiled. I absolutely hate having two straight seasons of practically no snow, but considering how amazing the 2010 season was, I feel as though that makes up for 2-3 straight years of crap we have had. To be fair we are at 147 percent of our average snowfall to date, just seems so bad because almost half of that came in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Upton still has 1-2 inches areawide. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Nam still has over .10 for the area with the norlun on NYC. RGEM is similiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 6z GFS and GEFS is a little more wetter than the previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 6z GFS and GEFS is a little more wetter than the previous runs. 06Z RGEM has a norlun crush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 06Z RGEM has a norlun crush Yes, I saw that. The GEFS is slightly wetter for our area and a lot more wetter for the SNE area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 6z RGEM isn't bad for most interests. Heres accumulated snowfall in mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 SREF came in wetter. .25 touches central LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 .10+ for NYC and LI on the nam. Norlun over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 .10+ for NYC and LI on the nam. Norlun over the area. NAM is really zeroing in on the IVT area....could be a fun day tomorrow in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Wow, NAM is focusing this thing right at NYC and Northern NJ, Western Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 The NAM has nearly 0.25" to the city...kissing the south shore of Long Island extending towards Sandy Hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 .16 at Sussex .19 at Islip .19 at Andover .19 at Caldwell .19 at Morristown .20 at Somerset .20 at Laguardia .20 at NYC .21 at Newark .22 at JFK .26 at Asbury Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 There could really be some 3 inch amounts from Monmouth County throught the 5 boroughs and onto Long Island based off the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Congrats Noreaster27? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 What type of ratios should be used for this storm? NYC has 850 level at -10 to -12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Serious question here. Given the unpredictability of Norlun formation, how useful are model progs of such things? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 What type of ratios should be used for this storm? NYC has 850 level at -10 to -12 it doesn't go by the 850mb its the 700mb temps.. they are around -15 id say around 15:1 maybe a little higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Serious question here. Given the unpredictability of Norlun formation, how useful are model progs of such things? Serious question here. Given the unpredictability of Norlun formation, how useful are model progs of such things? You said it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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