The_Global_Warmer Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Looks like Beau's neck of the woods is on deck next. There wasn't even much discussion about it, regardless of bust potential. It's very possible that they missed the unstable layer on the model soundings this morning and thought the guidance was overdoing it. Even the GFS was showing a deep moist neutral layer earlier today. The real giveaway (besides the unstable layer across the DGZ and the compact vort) was the way the models were handling the QPF fields. Didn't look stratiform at all to me. There's a bit of bright banding to the southwest of the city, but almost all of that is convectively enhanced snow. I wasn't kidding about 2"-3" in/hr. METAR KSTL 05:51Z 02/03/13 KSTL 030551Z 00000KT 1/2SM R30R/3000V3500FT SN FZFG VV008 M01/M02 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP187 SNINCR 2/2 4/002 P0008 60012 T10061022 10022 21006 400721011 58014 Getting some quarter sized flakes mixed in with some silver dollar whoppers for the grand finale. Dead calm outside. Even though it's all about to melt. It was still an amazing little event. As far under 5 inch clipper events it was a basic tie with 2005 in March for me. We had a 2 hour Wet Snow fest and had 4-5 inches then too with thunder I believe. In March of 2010 like the 24th or something we had 6 hours or so of heavy snow but only 4 inches, would of been 10 easy with January Sun. Still gonna be a very warm winter overall, even Feb will likely be well above normal, but damn that was nice the other night. And is gonna stop us from torching today, we would hit 55F today otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 This storm should put me solidly over the seasonal snow total from 2011-2012, and we still have at least another month/month and a half to add on. To be honest with you it feels like we already had twice as much snow as we ever got last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Feels good to be in the I-94 corridor this past week or so, usually this is the dreaded "rain/snow/sleet/ice" line. Nice fat flakes floating around out right now and accumulating pretty quickly. Its not even so much that, its just in past winters we hear "I-94" in hopes of a LES band forming from a westerly flow. Ive seen a 94 band before, though not every winter, but cant recall this setup. For 5 days straight now, everything lake and synoptic is following Michigans 2nd row of counties like a train on a track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Even though it's all about to melt. It was still an amazing little event. As far under 5 inch clipper events it was a basic tie with 2005 in March for me. We had a 2 hour Wet Snow fest and had 4-5 inches then too with thunder I believe. In March of 2010 like the 24th or something we had 6 hours or so of heavy snow but only 4 inches, would of been 10 easy with January Sun. Still gonna be a very warm winter overall, even Feb will likely be well above normal, but damn that was nice the other night. And is gonna stop us from torching today, we would hit 55F today otherwise. You guys go such long stretches without snow... probably tons of accidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Everything is so Damn wintery outside.. It's awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not a single street was plowed this morning. My condo complex's parking lot and sidewalk was immaculate, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Everything is so Damn wintery outside.. It's awesome Ann Arbor has been doing great lately, Enjoy! Nice bands setting up. Very light snow here in macomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 Clipper 1...Trace Clipper 2...Trace Clipper 3...0 Best winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Clipper 1...Trace Clipper 2...Trace Clipper 3...0 Best winter ever hugs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 The roads are so bad right now, especially the surface roads, they are slick as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not a flake here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not a flake here. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 First time I've seen Dubuque underperform in a long time. They only received 0.6". Thought 2-3" was a lock for them. That still bumps them up to 28.6" for the season vs DVN's 9.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not a flake here. Sorry to hear this. Suckage to the extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 +SN here adding up fast. Cant get much better than the last 4-5 days around here. Minus the deadly i75 crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Sorry to hear this. Suckage to the extreme. Outside of Michigan this system was sort of a bust for some reason. I really expected some nice banding combined with high ratios to dump on at least the north side of Chicago. This time yesterday I would have bet $200 that Geos would get at least 4". Wonder if the DGZ ended up being more shallow than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 A fine misty snow coming down now. About 1.8". Was expecting at least 4" from this system! That's what I'm thinking Cyclone. Lack of DGZ depth. The snow is denser than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Outside of Michigan this system was sort of a bust for some reason. I really expected some nice banding combined with high ratios to dump on at least the north side of Chicago. This time yesterday I would have bet $200 that Geos would get at least 4". Wonder if the DGZ ended up being more shallow than forecast. Last night's GFS and NAM were pretty much spot on after being too bullish at times in past runs. They both showed a max of around 0.15-0.20" QPF, when combined with lower ratios than the last storm, it added up to the top totals being in the 2-4" range. I think Janesville was the WI/IL winner with 4.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 A fine misty snow coming down now. About 1.8". Was expecting at least 4" from this system! That's what I'm thinking Cyclone. Lack of DGZ depth. The snow is denser than I expected. Well at least the denser snow will allow it to stick around as long as it would have if it had been a "fluffier" 4-5" I guess lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Snowing beautifully outside. Feathery flakes, calm wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Snowing beautifully outside. Feathery flakes, calm wind Nice! Looks like a snow globe out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Well at least the denser snow will allow it to stick around as long as it would have if it had been a "fluffier" 4-5" I guess lol. Lol, yeah that's true. Really can't complain about having 5" on the ground. Wish the event would have topped Friday nights Clipper. Really nice photos as always - Snowfreak! Looks like cotton balls stuck in the bushes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 +SN here adding up fast. Cant get much better than the last 4-5 days around here. Minus the deadly i75 crash. MI has been solid but that's a pretty low bar considering zero warning criteria events during that period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Thanks guys...its very cottony and fluffy outside. Very high ratios, as has been the case all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 MI has been solid but that's a pretty low bar considering zero warning criteria events during that period It can definitely be better (see Feb 2011, Feb 2010, Jan 1999, etc) for magnitude. And actually the snowstorm of Dec 26 was definitely better, as was the snowcover deeper, but its literally been snowing almost nonstop for 5 days now, so if you like to see snow falling, it doesnt really get that much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Looks like a 2-4" event tomorrow/night for SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I know. And it is accumulating fast. Can NEVER remember such a stretch of I-94 goodness. Its been like a snowmagnet this week. I live and work within a stone's throw of I-94 too. Lots of LES action this winter around here. Mostly 1-2" events and no winter storm warning events (although 12/26 should have been IMO) but when these happen every day to every other day, it adds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I live and work within a stone's throw of I-94 too. Lots of LES action this winter around here. Mostly 1-2" events and no winter storm warning events (although 12/26 should have been IMO) but when these happen every day to every other day, it adds up. I forgot that 12/26 was an advisory not a warning. It was a 5-8" storm, thats a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Really lining up nicely along I-94. Rip city. http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/706/misny.jpg/'> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not a flake here. Same here. Though we have some virga...which is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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