BeastFromTheEast Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Now I can lock in about 0.4", as you were about 4 times as bullish with the last storm.Are you looking at the same radar I am!?!? Look upstream man, we are golden for at least 2".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Snowing at a pretty good clip here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 DTX goes with a WWA for the lower 2 tiers of counties for a quick 2-3" during rush hour. I wonder if the gridlocked commutes of recent days have anything to do with that. Though this should be a steady light snow instead of the blinding squalls. After lowballing accum forecasts all week I say this time they are too high...its looking more like an inch, though I hope Im wrong. Tuesdays clipper now looks more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wonder if the gridlocked commutes of recent days have anything to do with that. Though this should be a steady light snow instead of the blinding squalls. After lowballing accum forecasts all week I say this time they are too high...its looking more like an inch, though I hope Im wrong. Tuesdays clipper now looks more interesting. Agreez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 We've had -SN at Valpo for the last 30 minutes or so. Really fine flakes. Already enough to coat the street and the (very few) sidewalks that were plowed after Saturday's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Are you looking at the same radar I am!?!? Look upstream man, we are golden for at least 2".. Upstream looks good, but I'm almost expecting the snow in EC Minnesota and WC Wisconsin to dry up before it gets here. Look how hard it is for Milwaukee County to saturate. I was proven wrong in my pessimism with Friday night's clipper, so I will shut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Flakes are steadily getting bigger here. Nice glittery dusting already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wonder if the gridlocked commutes of recent days have anything to do with that. Though this should be a steady light snow instead of the blinding squalls. After lowballing accum forecasts all week I say this time they are too high...its looking more like an inch, though I hope Im wrong. Tuesdays clipper now looks more interesting. I think we will get more.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Banding over far northeast Iowa starting to get more pronounced as the vort max approaches. Most of the models intensify the precip from this area on southeast after midnight. The main show in northeast IL, including Chicago should be in the 3-7am time frame. Still looks like some isolated 6-7" potential over the northeast corner of IL to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 00z GFS has a tenth of an inch of qpf here. I think it's by itself though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 RAP really showing that LES. Might be overdoing the intensity though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 RAP really showing that LES. Might be overdoing the intensity though. The main limiting factor would be marginal delta T's. Everything else looks good enough, but it's late in the season for LES now, and since we've been so cold (most of) these past two weeks, we have lake SSTs that are hovering in the mid 30s, not the low 40s like they were recently. That doesn't mean I'm cancelling the band, but it's just something to bear in mind as a limiting factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Unfortunately it looks like the La Crosse radar **** the bed. Someone must have tripped over a cord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 1/4" down as of midnight. Hopefully the flake size increases pretty soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 ORD with 0.3" off 0.03" of liquid through midnight. 0.6" here off 0.05" of liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Over an inch in Madison, .05" liquid. It's coming down good, best band so far pushing in. Back edge is still in Minnesota so this could get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Very lightly snowing here already, I wasn't expecting this quite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Flake size is increasing here. 0.4" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Best snow is in a band from Prairie Du Chien to Waukegan. Lots of virga to the south of that line and reflectivity decreases towards the north, the sweetspot is fairly wide at least. This will be a good snow for Janesiville, Monroe, Rockford, and a large swath of Chicago. Less intense but significant snowfall in Madison and Milwaukee, good to be north of the line since dry air is killing ratios to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Best snow is in a band from Prairie Du Chien to Waukegan. Lots of virga to the south of that line and reflectivity decreases towards the north, the sweetspot is fairly wide at least. This will be a good snow for Janesiville, Monroe, Rockford, and a large swath of Chicago. Less intense but significant snowfall in Madison and Milwaukee, good to be north of the line since dry air is killing ratios to the south. I sure am not seeing much here either. Dry air is probably more an issue here than to the south, and I am not surprised one bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I sure am not seeing much here either. Dry air is probably more an issue here than to the south, and I am not surprised one bit. Flake size isn't great here but dry air is literally killing the snow to the south, its confined above 2000 ft just south of Chicago, classic virga radar holes at DVN and LOT. Chicago itself is in the precip fortunately, but I bet the flakes are puny and dilapidated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Flake size isn't great here but dry air is literally killing the snow to the south, its confined above 2000 ft just south of Chicago, classic virga radar holes at DVN and LOT. Chicago itself is in the precip fortunately, but I bet the flakes are puny and dilapidated. I guess I meant in the south portion of the band, the lighter overall returns are in the northern half of the band. I looked out, and I will say it was snowing better than I thought, and than the returns showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I guess I meant in the south portion of the band, the lighter overall returns are in the northern half of the band. I looked out, and I will say it was snowing better than I thought, and than the returns showed. Remember LOT's radar is being a piece of crud right now, so any composite regional imagery is going to exaggerate reflectivity towards Chicago. I'm sticking to DVN and MKX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 20-25 dBZ reflectivity max popped up just NW of Madison and is moving in quickly. Looks like we're about to get trained on considering the band stretches upstream all the way to Minnesota. Also a decent band well to the north between Baraboo and Sheboygan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Very light snow falling here now... looking good with around 1-3" expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 And the flakes begin, at least IMBY.Here's to freshening up the ol' pack a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 2 and change down and snowing at a decent but not impressive clip...going to need LE to pull through to hit my call, otherwise this is yet another in a long line of busts high for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 2 and change down and snowing at a decent but not impressive clip...going to need LE to pull through to hit my call, otherwise this is yet another in a long line of busts high for me. Some banding on LOT radar with several mores hours of snow to go. With or without LES, think you guys should at least approach 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 3 inches and falling steadily here in Elgin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 3 inches and falling steadily here in Elgin. you might be the winner...screw hole over WI/IL border right where we all thought heaviest totals would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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