snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 First week of February nuisance snow. Per models look like 2-3 shots of -SN by way of little clipper type storms. No point in posting maps as the timing and location has been erratic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Parts of Northern Illinois, Cent Indiana and Ohio could get up to 2" of clipper snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I'm going to expect this to fail once again for most, though some in Wisconsin, Michigan, Northern Indiana, Ontario, etc. will get in on some action I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Nice. It looks like much of the Great Lakes area is going to share the wealth. The upcoming period looks to be one of the most promising times for clippers this season. There is finally some moisture along with the cool temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Nice. It looks like much of the Great Lakes area is going to share the wealth. The upcoming period looks to be one of the most promising times for clippers this season. There is finally some moisture along with the cool temps. Lots of clippers with no moisture awesome love those events that take 12-15 hrs to get 1.5" of snow. I see your overly positive this AM? Is that the LES your supposed to get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Mildly interested in Feb 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Mildly interested in Feb 2. 2 year anniversary of GHD? Maybe it's meant to be to get our region out of this hex on that day. 2 years of busting storms and weak winters and convection for weather weenies in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Mildly interested in Feb 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Mildly interested in Feb 2. Soundings have a very deep DGZ up that way and temps won't be an issue this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 Feb 5th clipper is the one that has the best chance at inflicting some modest damage here. The two preceding ones look like...here we go...DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Soundings have a very deep DGZ up that way and temps won't be an issue this time. definite event of the winter candidate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 So should we all just ride the GFS for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 So should we all just ride the GFS for this one? why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 So should we all just ride the GFS for this one? Probably. Been most consistent showing it for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 So should we all just ride the GFS for this one? I haven't had much luck praying for fantasy synoptic events this year. It seems they are shy this year, too much attention and pressure from weenies leads to under-performance. I just want to be pleasantly surprised for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Always a few surprises when you get a 400mb deep DGZ for a nice duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Not going to get excited about this first one until I have radar backup! Been too many model failures lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 0z NAM a grazer for here with round #1. Looks decent enough for the QC to ORD to FWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 0z NAM a grazer for here with round #1. Looks decent enough for the QC to ORD to FWA. NAM gives us like .2...I'd take it, slippery roads and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 NAM gives us like .2...I'd take it, slippery roads and all. Standard 12:1=2.5"? Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 The NAM showing quite a bit of love for LAF and N IN. 0.25" area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Models and ensembles all over the place with numerous clippers timing, placement, and strength...but early signs are that this clipper express will not fail as the last one did. The one actual clipper we got last time (Jan 25) was an overperformer as well. Not to mention these type of storms usually have very high ratio snow. Im sure someone will be in the screwzone, but hopefully all cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Lots of clippers with no moisture awesome love those events that take 12-15 hrs to get 1.5" of snow. I see your overly positive this AM? Is that the LES your supposed to get? Haha...maybe a little...I sure wasn't happy to lose it all yesterday. I just felt like being positive and encouraging. I am really not usually THAT whiny...but this winter pushed me over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Gfs has 30 hrs of continuous light measurable snow starting at 60 hrs. For a large part of Ohio and lower lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Gfs has 30 hrs of continuous light measurable snow starting at 60 hrs. For a large part of Ohio and lower lakes These are the type of events that scream overperformer. (I better not have jinxed it). Looks like OH will do better than MI perhaps, but as long as my snowcover returns Ill be happy. Im one of those people who doesnt mind missing the jackpot...but I BETTER have snow on the ground! I have had 20" to Chicago's 3" this season, and yet I was a bit jealous that their torch ended with a fresh coating of snow and mine didnt. Yes, Im that selfish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 This current air mass isn't going to nearly be as dry as the last one was, I would expect the clippers to have a better potential to yield especially since they aren't going to get absolutely crushed by a strong polar vortex this time around. I actually really like the potential with the clipper at the end of the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 This current air mass isn't going to nearly be as dry as the last one was, I would expect the clippers to have a better potential to yield especially since they aren't going to get absolutely crushed by a strong polar vortex this time around. I actually really like the potential with the clipper at the end of the weekend. I would too agree. The last arctic airmass was almost desert cold dry.... I have a feeling salt might be more difficult to buy in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 0z EURO seems about right. All the clippers crushed to my south. Virtually zero qpf through D7. Winter, you diabolical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 0z Euro was probably the best run of the winter for Chicago, through day 7. Consistent clipper/snow threats, every other day basically. If we imagine favorable ratios, season futility might be sweating a bit. Alas, one op run from one model... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 lots of clippers but they all looks pretty weak and have little oppurtunity for becoming much more. 1-4" is probably the best call for the whole 2-4 system period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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