tombo82685 Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 Why isn't the Sunday event getting much play? Looks like a widespread couple of inches to my old and tired eyes. It is, an obs thread will be started tomorrow probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 It is, an obs thread will be started tomorrow probably I think you prevented a jinx for today by not giving it its own individual discussion thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 It is, an obs thread will be started tomorrow probably Whomever does, start it with a sub title of "maybe someone can get 3". "Maybe 2"" on today's OBS thread was good for 6+ today in some places so what would "maybe 3"" be good for, a foot? I'm seeing a multipart precip event if you try to put together a consensus of the models. A "thump" overnite tomorrow that looks to be where our area would get the bulk of our accumulations. Then light snow during the daylight hours that will likely be difficult to accumulate on roadways would be my guess. Followed by a Norlun event later in the day that looks to be better for North Jersey/NYC/LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 0Z GFS has a dry day sunday after some snowshowers saturday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 An inch or two for most of us...Monmouth and Ocean could probably jackpot. High res has jackpotted them with 3" for a couple of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 The 12Z NAM is fairly dry for Saturday/Sunday for the area. Will be interesting to see if the short range models put out more than the GFS and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 An inch or two for most of us...Monmouth and Ocean could probably jackpot. High res has jackpotted them with 3" for a couple of runs. #2012climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 is that blossoming snow over Lancaster making it to the ground?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 is that blossoming snow over Lancaster making it to the ground?? Nothing at this point,...............yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Hmmm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 It's becoming obvious the big storm 7-8 days out is going to be a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Hmmm! It's virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 HM, With "your" storm do you think there is a chance that as the PV catches up it crushes the initial low, stalls out the front and allows a new low to form on it a few days later? I've noticed that on some of the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 It's becoming obvious the big storm 7-8 days out is going to be a cutter Could be what we need. After that gets interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 No it's not. I have very light snow here in Tamaqua. Just started about 10 minutes ago. Hmmm!It's virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Euro/gfs less bullish for this eve than NAM/SREF. I'd go with coating to 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Can we include President's Day weekend in this thread? 12Z GFS - President's Day - Lock It In - LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ago4snow Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 A picture tells a thousand words as far as our snow potential over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Coating to 2" is my guess for TTN tonight into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Coating to 2" is my guess for TTN tonight into Sunday. Thanks Ray. Nothing better than a little snow, Super Bowl, your favorite beverage and food, and good company. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 A picture tells a thousand words as far as our snow potential over the next few weeks. Few weeks??? That is a 6-10 day map. We have chances for the upcoming week before a warm-up, and it looks to be brief, then back to at least seasonal if not below at times. There will be chances second half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mookiemike Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Well, saw a huge amount of flakes...... but that was at breakfast in my cereal bowl, corn flakes to be exact Waiting to see the first of the outside frozen variety, as my radar shows a dome over South Philadelphia. Snow please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ago4snow Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 A picture tells a thousand words as far as our snow potential over the next few weeks. Few weeks??? That is a 6-10 day map. We have chances for the upcoming week before a warm-up, and it looks to be brief, then back to at least seasonal if not below at times. There will be chances second half of the month. Yes, a few weeks. We all know that we have the chance of a clipper or two early this week that may drop a few inches. The period I specified begins after the clipper potential (6-10 days from now). If it will make you happy, here is the 8-14 day forecast which continues well above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 isnt that weather advisory that has been issued for Central Jersey contingent on at least 3 inches...wow thats quite bullish....3-4 inch amounts...what is their reason for thinking this much snow will fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 isnt that weather advisory that has been issued for Central Jersey contingent on at least 3 inches...wow thats quite bullish....3-4 inch amounts...what is their reason for thinking this much snow will fall? It's pretty much contingent on the formation of the inverted trough and high ratio's, 20 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I dont think winter is over at all. While the day 7-8 storm should def cut the long range ensembles and OP still offer some potential from mid month on. While the AO looks to be up in the air Im starting to see a pretty strong +PNA. Im personally a bigger fan of late feb/march snowstorms than others. I hate cold unless its snowing, The snow doesnt stick around as long which I dont mind. Plus the wave lengths change and closed off lows (my fav) are possible. I mentioned this to HM earlier today, but I think the day 8 storm may have a stalled front which might allow for a secondary low to form. You can see the possibility showing up on the ensembles. Todays EURO actually showed this happening but the initial front stalled too far west. I believe a storm which developed a secondary storm from a stalled front was March 2009 though Im not home so cant check it exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I'm surprised Irishbri hasn't posted the HRRRRRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I'm surprised Irishbri hasn't posted the HRRRRRRR. It wasn't too impressive. And besides, i was shopping for new golf clubs this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Yes, a few weeks. We all know that we have the chance of a clipper or two early this week that may drop a few inches. The period I specified begins after the clipper potential (6-10 days from now). If it will make you happy, here is the 8-14 day forecast which continues well above normal. Those maps together are valid for the period 2/8 through 2/16. That period is not a few weeks by my math lol. And there are some indications that the warm-up may be short lived, Those outlooks are continuously "adjustable". Not etched in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Yea CAPE I believe that map is skewed because of the quick warmup well have ahead of the inland runner. After that is anyones guess and Im leaning towards a good pattern forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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