RowanBrandon Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 See no changes with 18z NAM compared to its 12z run so it should likely show a storm again . It's still insisting on shooting the low up to our west. This time it tracks over Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It's still insisting on shooting the low up to our west. This time it tracks over Pittsburgh. Still wayyyyyy too far out for the NAM to be "useful". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro ensembles agree with Euro for both Wednesday night and also this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 12z Euro ensemble mean for next weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steinweather Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 "*** ALERT *** 12Z EURO ENSEMBLE MUCH MORE " BULLISH " THAN REGULAR ECMWF ... REGARDING ON THREAT FOR MAJOR EAST COAST SNOWSTORM FEB 16 -17 " DT wxrisk.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Still wayyyyyy too far out for the NAM to be "useful". Oh I know but I'm sitting here on a Sunday afternoon with nothing better to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 12z Euro ensemble mean for next weekend.. Although, that looks nice, the low level warmth not shown is the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Although, that looks nice, the low level warmth not shown is the issue. DT and other people are saying this will be a snowstorm for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 DT and other people are saying this will be a snowstorm for everyone. it very well may be.I'm just going off the operational run which has a low off the east coast. It also has highs in the mid 50s on fridAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 it very well may be.I'm just going off the operational run which has a low off the east coast. It also has highs in the mid 50s on fridAY Hopefully this storm pans out and crushes everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Hopefully this storm pans out and crushes everyone. Unlike the last one, I could fly home for this EC one. So I hope NJ jackpots with 20" at my parents house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Oh I know but I'm sitting here on a Sunday afternoon with nothing better to do. Lol. It's always interesting looking at the nonsensical solutions it provides at 84 hours. I'm pretty sure mike2010 would take them as scripture,though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The Euro ensemble mean for next weekend looks a lot more threatening for NE than the MA due to the weak low at our latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The Euro ensemble mean for next weekend looks a lot more threatening for NE than the MA due to the weak low at our latitude I agree with this. We also have some serious warmth just prior to the storm....it would have to bomb out well to our South for anything meaningful here imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 NAM stands out on its lonesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 18z GFS is more sheared and weaker for wed. Trending to the other globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 18z GFS is more sheared and weaker for wed. Trending to the other globals. All the precip is rain to. Bl ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 not sure if the models are in the "lose a big storm" timeframe, if such one exists, but it seems like we're loosing a MIller A threat. ( for the President't day storm). What i mean is i'm not seeing any shortwaves dropping into the base of the trough, no STJ at play being shown? Looks like some northern stream disturbance digging, but not getting going quickly enough for VA-PA to be in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 not sure if the models are in the "lose a big storm" timeframe, if such one exists, but it seems like we're loosing a MIller A threat. ( for the President't day storm). Big signal on the euro mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 Big signal on the euro mean it's more a miller b signal...hand off from the northern stream to my eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It's a B...and someone will get screwed it does develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It's a B...and someone will get screwed it does develop. Blizzard ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Read post on main forum, the PDIII storm could be legit it fits into the "timing" of the longwave pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Blizzard ? or b**ch to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 or b**ch to forecast. I think that last storm was near the top of the "b**ch to forecast" list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The Wxsim with 18z data has 0.34" of precip falling as frozen before 7am tomorrow morning in NW Chesco very likely overdone....but something to keep in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Temps are pretty warm up here in Berks...I expect to see all rain. It seems these events usually don't pan out and we don't really have much snow left to cool things down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I think that last storm was near the top of the "b**ch to forecast" list. you aren't kidding and i'm now forecaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 LOLNam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iverson3 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS coming in more amplified through hr 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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