tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Post possible threats in here. As we get closer to the event, we will put them in its own thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 The possible clipper (which reminds me of 1/11/1997) is only about 60 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 what happens 16th-28th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:21 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: what happens 16th-28th? I guess he only wanted to jinx half the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:21 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: what happens 16th-28th? Adam rejoices in his tooooooooooooorrrrrrrrrrccccccchhhhhhhhh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2013 Author Share Posted January 29, 2013 the gfs/nam/sref/gem are enthused about friday for another inch or two. While the euro is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I just like the sound of this thread, any word on the Euro Ens for Tuesday possible event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2013 Author Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:38 PM, Porsche said: I just like the sound of this thread, any word on the Euro Ens for Tuesday possible event? from the maps on raliegh weather, the 24 hr increments, it looks like it supports the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:14 PM, famartin said: The possible clipper (which reminds me of 1/11/1997) is only about 60 hours away... I was thinking the same system earlier today too, that one was not forecast well at all, I remember they had SE NJ with a chance for some snow but not NYC/LI and we saw 3-4 inches in some places. Both sort of want to form at the base of a front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:49 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I was thinking the same system earlier today too, that one was not forecast well at all, I remember they had SE NJ with a chance for some snow but not NYC/LI and we saw 3-4 inches in some places. Both sort of want to form at the base of a front. Yeah, that was a pleasant surprise 2.5" back home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2013 Author Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:51 PM, famartin said: Yeah, that was a pleasant surprise 2.5" back home. so lock up 2-4 for your early call for ttn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:52 PM, tombo82685 said: so lock up 2-4 for your early call for ttn I didn't say that! Bad mod, bad! It was a relatively narrow band so I wouldn't call anything yet, but there's potential for some good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 so after reading all the posts, 1-4" locked, thanks pro's and met's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:56 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: so after reading all the posts, 1-4" locked, thanks pro's and met's Good thing I didn't mention 12/29/93 because that one popped up in my head too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:49 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I was thinking the same system earlier today too, that one was not forecast well at all, I remember they had SE NJ with a chance for some snow but not NYC/LI and we saw 3-4 inches in some places. Both sort of want to form at the base of a front. I was thinking of this system as well, but in the Baltimore suburbs it was forcasted pretty well. Very quick hitter. Ended up with close to 3. Interesting part of the system was that it started out as a very wet snow and ended as a very dry snow which is pretty impressive for a storm that only lasted about 3 hours. It was cold for a couple days afterward but the following weekend was frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:57 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Good thing I didn't mention 12/29/93 because that one popped up in my head too. On 1/29/2013 at 11:14 PM, famartin said: The possible clipper (which reminds me of 1/11/1997) is only about 60 hours away... This one came to my mind. I remember it was forecasted right up till the snow was falling to be relatively minor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:49 AM, tombo82685 said: This one came to my mind. I remember it was forecasted right up till the snow was falling to be relatively minor. Okay, thanks for the Middletown final call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:13 PM, tombo82685 said: Post possible threats in here. As we get closer to the event, we will put them in its own thread. Liking the new thread idea. I assume that non-specific-event discussion re things like the Round go in the medium term thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Good to see Tom forecasting 2-5" for South Jersey. Let me check to make sure my snowblower is working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:52 AM, snowlurker said: Liking the new thread idea. I assume that non-specific-event discussion re things like the Round go in the medium term thread? Yea, just keep this thread for snow threats in the time frame.. The long term stuff like patterns and things influencing the pattern in the medium/long range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:52 AM, RowanBrandon said: Good to see Tom forecasting 2-5" for South Jersey. Let me check to make sure my snowblower is working. Lol well some of the non reliable srefs have it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/29/2013 at 11:54 PM, famartin said: I didn't say that! Bad mod, bad! It was a relatively narrow band so I wouldn't call anything yet, but there's potential for some good luck. This one was a perfect example of the Monmouth Co. snow machine. Thanks for the image Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:49 AM, tombo82685 said: This one came to my mind. I remember it was forecasted right up till the snow was falling to be relatively minor. This one was "convective". Forecaster who missed this was rather steamed. Went back and looked at what went wrong because it looked like a simple clipper. If something like this has a chance (I'm not back til the weekend) and anyone has Bufkit look for a neutral change of theta e with height in the low levels, hopefully across a couple of models. The nam and some sref members we know can get "excitable". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:52 AM, RowanBrandon said: Good to see Tom forecasting 2-5" for South Jersey. Let me check to make sure my snowblower is working. Mine still has pizza boxes on top of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 On 1/30/2013 at 12:38 PM, Rainshadow said: Mine still has pizza boxes on top of it. Tony, u better get new fuel since its been sitting for 2 years! Oh wait, just checked out model runs, new fuel cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 0z euro ens dont look particularly bad for this time frame: actually looks like it trended south with the SLP compared to 12z. just trough going off of 24hr increments. 0z 144 12z 168 0z 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 12Z NAM a miss to the south for Friday for most of area, maybe up to .2 for Delmarva, pretty small precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 NAM looks juicier for the Sunday event than for the Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Gfs is meh for both events. Might be some light snow in the Delmarva area friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 gfs notta for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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