Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Hrrr really hits PYM/Cape hard this evening. Geez Phil what a bit;h of a forecast. HRRR in general continues to ramp up every run. We will need to see this band erupt next hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Ne flow pretty clearly starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Hrrr really hits PYM/Cape hard this evening. Geez Phil what a bit;h of a forecast. HRRR in general continues to ramp up every run. We will need to see this band erupt next hour or so Yeah the area east of cape Ann is the place to watch for development and a shift S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Mood flakes the last 2 hours 0" new accum Might go skiing later Congrats--a coup for the Hubb. Sun still shining through what has become mostly cloudy. 22.5/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Blizzard conditions lol. Steady light snow out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 euro actually has a little qpf after 00z on the cape tonight - that, to me, is it picking up on some of this stuff E of Bos strengthening and rotating south this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 beverly mass reading of 35 is off lol. saw it in peabody posters sig. i was like hmm there is a Cf setting up lol. 27 in BVY 26 in BOS. light snow continues here in wakefield half inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 cool. going to give myself a "NB" for this one: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 euro actually has a little qpf after 00z on the cape tonight - that, to me, is it picking up on some of this stuff E of Bos strengthening and rotating south this evening. Yeah. RGEM was probably first on this closely followed by the NAM and then the GFS. Euro last to the party. I'm just as interested in the area that's actually a bit inland developing towards Bob and venting NW...must be some winds in there that are NW above or below the NE flow developing at 8h. Same goes for the band right on the coast. Kind of hoping we have some enhancement right at that intersection later between the pure NE flow and whatever that is drawing precip NW. Agreed precip east of Cape Ann is among the most interesting. Overall this could dump 2-4 maybe more if it really came together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 cool. going to give myself a "NB" for this one: satellite_02_03_13.jpg Check out the base velocity. LOL, pretty cool circulations out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Yeah. RGEM was probably first on this closely followed by the NAM and then the GFS. Euro last to the party. I'm just as interested in the area that's actually a bit inland developing towards Bob and venting NW...must be some winds in there that are NW above or below the NE flow developing at 8h. Same goes for the band right on the coast. Kind of hoping we have some enhancement right at that intersection later between the pure NE flow and whatever that is drawing precip NW. Agreed precip east of Cape Ann is among the most interesting. Overall this could dump 2-4 maybe more if it really came together. yeah i think it's coming. i just don't know how strong it will be. one of these deals, unfortunately, where you really won't know until it's overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 yeah i think it's coming. i just don't know how strong it will be. one of these deals, unfortunately, where you really won't know until it's overhead. Awesome visible imagery and base velocity. So based on that first one moving west of Ptown now it probably comes down to my east, between you and I and that's the one that kind of opens the flood gates to whatever is going to develop (which is the 2nd spin behind it). HRR DEV not as robust, 1-2" type of deal here maybe 2-3" towards you. Primary is 1-3 type of deal. I can see some snow falling over the water already even ahead of the radar, and even that first spin is starting to generate some decent returns as it drops down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 from box: MAJOR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBLE COASTAL FRONT SET UP LATER TODAY. ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS DO NOT REALLY INDICATE ANYTHING AT THIS TIME...UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOWS POSSIBLE CONVERGENCE. EVEN LOOKING AT THE SURFACE NH WINDS ARE DUE NORTH WHILE IN KBED AND KOWD...NW WINDS. COASTAL FRONT SET WILL ALLOW FOR MORE ENHANCE AND THEREFOREMORE SNOW THEN ORIGINALLY FORECAST. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. I didn't see this until now. It's a real close call. Could go either way. If it gets going it'll probably be fairly impressive, but until I see it flaking my thought is it may miss to my east a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 BOX on the bus, now it just needs to happen: How much has fallen on the north shore? NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE TO EFFECT THE NORTH SHORE REGIONALL THE WAY INTO MHT AND GROTON MASS. THESE SNOW SHOWERS AREREDUCING VSBYS DOWN TO 2 SM WHICH MAY CAUSE HAZARDS DRIVINGCONDITIONS. EASTERLY WINDS AT 925 & 850 MB WILL KEEP THE OCEANEFFECT SNOW GOING DUE TO COLDER AIRMASS OVER THE WARM WATER. HAVEUPDATED SNOW AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO INCHES OVER THIS REGION. STILLMONITORING FOR POTENTIAL ENHANCEMENT FROM A WEAK COASTALFRONT...BUT SURFACE WINDS ARE STILL TO NORTHERLY ALONG THE COAST.BELIEVE COASTAL FRONT MAY SET-UP LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WILL NEED TOSTILL MONITOR. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MAJOR CHANGES ARE IN STORE FOR TODAYS FORECAST. UPPER LEVELSHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE REGION TODAY PUSHING AN OCEANLOW OUT PAST THE BENCHMARK. THIS LOW WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESISTODAY...HOWEVER THE BEST LIFT/ENERGY/MOISTURE WILL MISS SNE ANDSTAY OUT TO SEA. HOWEVER THIS LOW HAS CAUSED FOR GOOD NORTHERLYNORTHWESTERLY WINDS RIGHT NOW YET ALOFT AT 925 MB VWP SHOWERSEASTERLY WINDS. BELIEVE THESE EASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHMOST OF THE DAY. WITH A COLD AIRMASS OVER RELATIVELY WARMOCEAN...OCEAN EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THEMORNING INTO MID-DAY. UNCERTAIN ON WHEN IT WILL SHUT OFF AS UPPERLEVEL WINDS ARE SLOWLY SHIFTING TO THE SE.LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A GOOD BAND OF OCEAN EFFECT SNOW OVERMETRO BOSTON REACHING INTO METROWEST...DOWN TO NORWOOD AND EVEN UPTO GLOUCESTER...PER SPOTTER REPORTS. THIS BAND WILL REDUCE VSBYSAND WILL DROP NO MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF SNOW. OCEAN EFFECT SNOWSWILL ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...ALTHOUGH NOT ASPRONOUNCED. BELIEVE A DUSTING UP TO AN INCH FOR THE DAY...MORELATER THIS EVENING.MAJOR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBLE COASTAL FRONT SET UP LATER TODAY.ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS DO NOT REALLY INDICATE ANYTHING AT THISTIME...UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOWS POSSIBLE CONVERGENCE. EVEN LOOKINGAT THE SURFACE NH WINDS ARE DUE NORTH WHILE IN KBED AND KOWD...NWWINDS. COASTAL FRONT SET WILL ALLOW FOR MORE ENHANCE AND THEREFOREMORESNOW THEN ORIGINALLY FORECAST. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORPOSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT.ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST...MAY SEE A DUSTING BUT BELIEVE THE BESTREGION TO WATCH IS ACROSS THE EAST COAST OCEAN EFFECT SNOW MAKER.SEEMS THAT THE NAM MODEL HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON CURRENT CONDITIONSPER QPF AND POPS. TRENDED TEMPS TO MORE OF THE HIRES MODELS. STAYTUNED FOR THE LATEST UP DATES ON THIS CURRENT SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 i got about .6 here in wakefield center, been snowing since i 9am at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Nice light snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 UKMet not a bad look for 144 hours out. It's east but I like the HP to the north and west of the sfc low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Wonder if as that band if snow to our west hits the NE flow overhead if we see that stuff blossom as it heads east. Seems like that's happening now over ENY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 radar expanding nw of boston in response to flow moving inland with precip pulse off cape ann. pretty impressive now in andover. I didn't see this until now. It's a real close call. Could go either way. If it gets going it'll probably be fairly impressive, but until I see it flaking my thought is it may miss to my east a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 radar expanding nw of boston in response to flow moving inland with precip pulse off cape ann. pretty impressive now in andover. That may actually be the surprise jackpot area. Right now we're having a hard time getting the returns south down along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 radar expanding nw of boston in response to flow moving inland with precip pulse off cape ann. pretty impressive now in andover. That may actually be the surprise jackpot area. Right now we're having a hard time getting the returns south down along the coast. We might be waiting til late afternoon / evening if the short -term models are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 funny how good nam was in catching this @ 12z. radar simulation clearly developed what is now happening. pretty nice coup for the meso model in the short term forecast. That may actually be the surprise jackpot area. Right now we're having a hard time getting the returns south down along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Somebody from BOS NW to the MA/NH line must be passing 1" out of this - any reports from folks up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Somebody from BOS NW to the MA/NH line must be passing 1" out of this - any reports from folks up there? I hate waiting in these situations because once the band starts moving it doesn't stop and I'm not sure I'll be able to cash in. I think you're fine, liking my prospects less. Expected more SW movement by now, it's having a hard time getting passed Plymouth Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Still light snow, a coating in west Peabody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 just a coating so far in lowell, so far the steadiest snow of the day .. probably still 1 mi + sn- though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Somebody from BOS NW to the MA/NH line must be passing 1" out of this - any reports from folks up there? I hate waiting in these situations because once the band starts moving it doesn't stop and I'm not sure I'll be able to cash in. I think you're fine, liking my prospects less. Expected more SW movement by now, it's having a hard time getting passed Plymouth Harbor. I think it's the slowly developing stuff up NE toward PVC that's ours. Not the stuff trying to come S from the south shore. But I know what you mean about the movement once it's going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I think it's the slowly developing stuff up NE toward PVC that's ours. Not the stuff trying to come S from the south shore. But I know what you mean about the movement once it's going. I think you'll be fine, I may get scraped...what else is new. Hopefully another dusting, I think I'm going to miss most of it. Funny situation..precip expanding into NH and Maine steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 hmm, Going to have to watch those echoes that are to my SE and blossoming over the GOM as they move inland NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I think you'll be fine, I may get scraped...what else is new. Hopefully another dusting, I think I'm going to miss most of it. Funny situation..precip expanding into NH and Maine steadily. Yeah, Was not expecting anything here, Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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