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February 2-3rd 2013 Clipper/Redeveloper


USCAPEWEATHERAF

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ya we are getting a hvy dusting this am

 

HRRR kind of like the NAM in that it keeps ramping this up later.  Now puts 2-3" amounts on the cape by mid evening tonight (right dead in the middle of the cape towards east sandwich and Barnstable) as of the 13z run.

 

Will have to see, definitely has potential.

 

I like that you're able to get decent snows on just 8h winds up there.  That should bode well down this way later Cpick.  Maybe somebody pulls a 4 spot out of this?

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Man, was just checking out the VT snow mobile trails and current conditions, outside higher terrain in the northeast kingdom they are impassabe.........MRG main mountain closed.  

 

Boston might get back to back winters of less than 20 inches of snow for the first time ever, along with NYC receiving single digit seasons back to back.

 

This two year period is giving the 80s a run for the money

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Man, was just checking out the VT snow mobile trails and current conditions, outside higher terrain in the northeast kingdom they are impassabe.........MRG main mountain closed.  

 

Boston might get back to back winters of less than 20 inches of snow for the first time ever, along with NYC receiving single digit seasons back to back.

 

This two year period is giving the 80s a run for the money

 

There were a LOT of people pros and amateurs that thought Boston was well on their way when the pattern changed 1/20.  I'll be amazed if Boston even gets to 25", but we'll see.

 

HRRR shows the fine line tonight.  If the band makes it onshore could be a lot of fun for some, if not...meh.  Could also technically save some forecasts even though the OES wasn't really being discussed much.

post-3232-0-27122000-1359908967_thumb.jp

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pickin up in wakefiled ma (right exactly in/under where the "hump" in 128 is just east of 93.

 

Reason I'm a little optimistic later for the Cape and maybe coastal PYM.....  you're getting that snow on the backs of flat surface winds and pretty short 8h winds as you can see.

Later today we lose a few c aloft, but we've got some pretty good onshore flow albeit not consistent and against surface winds.

the bottom image is now...top is about 4pm.  Notice the snow east of Cape Ann is starting to expand as the winds start to turn NE...also, hoping that little back edge running NW to SE is the later back edge, would be good for many of us. 

post-3232-0-30917200-1359909670_thumb.jp

post-3232-0-43484100-1359909674_thumb.jp

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Flurries have mostly stopped here for now, sun angle > flurries though so it was just mood snows that were melting. Hope some of that stuff up north will rotate down as the day goes on.

Matt where are you? Total sun here but clouds started rotating south again the last fifteen minutes.

Beyond the actual band that forms hoping there's some pseudo convergence kind of like we are seeing now on the north shore on the sw edge later. IE even if the main band is offshore a bit where the ne inflow meets land and the increasing low level NW winds maybe we can generate some decent snows.

Time will tell.

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thanks for this! might explain a lot as the afternoon goes on. light to occasionally moderate still in andover. these meso events are great sometime. anybody remember back in the 80's(90's?) when, i think it was reading mass that got 30" or so while most others(i was in bedford ma at the time) got less than 5". norlun event?

Reason I'm a little optimistic later for the Cape and maybe coastal PYM.....  you're getting that snow on the backs of flat surface winds and pretty short 8h winds as you can see.


Later today we lose a few c aloft, but we've got some pretty good onshore flow albeit not consistent and against surface winds.


the bottom image is now...top is about 4pm.  Notice the snow east of Cape Ann is starting to expand as the winds start to turn NE...also, hoping that little back edge running NW to SE is the later back edge, would be good for many of us. 

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Clouds very rapidly regenerating out over the water down here with patchy snow showers already under a few of them.

 

14z HRR has a couple 1-2, maybe 3 inches on the PYM coast into Barnstable county later. 

 

RAP not as robust, no idea if either/both are on the right path.  Off to run and get ready for a bunch of guests.  It's got serious potential but so has a lot of other stuff that turned into nada this year.

 

 

 

 

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from box:

 

 

MAJOR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBLE COASTAL FRONT SET UP LATER TODAY.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS DO NOT REALLY INDICATE ANYTHING AT THIS
TIME...UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOWS POSSIBLE CONVERGENCE. EVEN LOOKING
AT THE SURFACE NH WINDS ARE DUE NORTH WHILE IN KBED AND KOWD...NW
WINDS. COASTAL FRONT SET WILL ALLOW FOR MORE ENHANCE AND THEREFOREMORE
SNOW THEN ORIGINALLY FORECAST. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR
POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT.

 

 

 

.Going to be close. Should see regeneration after 2 or 230 as it starts to dive south.

Models have winds flat right now at 8h...thru about 3pm then in an instant it picks back up. Of correct radar should expand very rapidly and suddenly in the next 2-3 hours

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