CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Mixing on the coast? Coast means places like BOS and PYM, not seal island in Chatham. I'd be shocked if BOS mixed because the storm would have to be far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I don't see how anyone sees less than one inch. Plus we have to figure out where norlun sets up In that case, most will barely get an inch. You know how those inv troughs work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Did the rodent see his shadow? I wish that thing would come out foaming at the mouth and maul that idiot in the top hat.Cantore was boozing big time down there. No jokePhil did not see his shadow. Big big winter incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Cantore was boozing big time down there. No joke Phil did not see his shadow. Big big winter incoming Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Coast means places like BOS and PYM, not seal island in Chatham. I'd be shocked if BOS mixed because the storm would have to be far west. Just trying to bring out the Noyes-rage in you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 SREFs are pretty robust over E regions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Just trying to bring out the Noyes-rage in you Nah it's fine. There's stuff I know that many don't that's all. Hopefully I can grab an inch or two. The thing with this storm is that tr western comma head will be robust. I know that. However where will it cross? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 Nah it's fine. There's stuff I know that many don't that's all. Hopefully I can grab an inch or two. The thing with this storm is that tr western comma head will be robust. I know that. However where will it cross? I agree Scot, the comma head will be robust, where it goes is the million dollar question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 SREFs are pretty robust over E regions Not falling for this again (RE: MLK Day disaster) - wait through 12z and 18z. Still going for a dusting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 0.50" QPF line tickles CHH on the 9z SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 SREFs are pretty robust over E regions Not falling for this again (RE: MLK Day disaster) - wait through 12z and 18z. Still going for a dusting here. It probably just means there are a couple of members amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 I think robust might be the way to go with this system Phil. All the other storms I agree I was a little too amped up, but this time it seems for real. The energy flowing through my veins is like no other, I think this system is for real. Lol, I know thats not scientific, or its borderline wishcasting, but there is something to it. Energy like this I haven't experienced since the blizzard. There are hunches good and bad, this seems like a good one. I never liked the Feb 5-6th storm and now models are on my side with just a little weak shortwave passing through the flow. This system buckles the flow, if we can get it to where the storm is 980mbs just east of us I think we can see feet of snow, but that will take a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 12z NAM seems to be digging more with the second (arctic) shortwave and the lead shortwave is moving away quickly and not involved with the cyclogenesis, if this is the case storm will come closer to the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I think robust might be the way to go with this system Phil. All the other storms I agree I was a little too amped up, but this time it seems for real. The energy flowing through my veins is like no other, I think this system is for real. Lol, I know thats not scientific, or its borderline wishcasting, but there is something to it. Energy like this I haven't experienced since the blizzard. There are hunches good and bad, this seems like a good one. I never liked the Feb 5-6th storm and now models are on my side with just a little weak shortwave passing through the flow. This system buckles the flow, if we can get it to where the storm is 980mbs just east of us I think we can see feet of snow, but that will take a miracle. Your passion for snow is awesome.........I hope you get clobbered brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 Surface isobars show that at hour 24 on the NAM that the low pressure system might want to escape seaward or northeastward instead of northward. Time will tell, but I also think that there is more digging with the second and third shortwaves within the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 Your passion for snow is awesome.........I hope you get clobbered brother. Thanks I hope you do as well at some point this winter, no matter how many times you are let down by mother nature, it is better to be optimistic then negative. Negativity just wears on you and I think you can pin point a storm's flaws a lot easier, because you are willing to see what went wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 The NAM was ridiculously out to sea at 6z so its no surprise its coming in a little closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 I think NAM might be suffering from convective feedback some, as deep convection develops offshore and to the southeast of the main surface low the low gets drawn nearest the high latent heat release and thats in the form of thunderstorms off the coast. Explosive cyclogenesis will likely ensue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 The NAM was ridiculously out to sea at 6z so its no surprise its coming in a little closer. 00z run was ridiculously out to sea, 6z was a lot closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Your user name suggests maybe you possess some powers to push this one a little closer to the coast for all to enjoy. If you think 6z was nice, just wait till 12. ;o) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I'm pulling for the GFS solution. NAM is still a big whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 impressive digging of shortwave energies on the NAM, almost brings the flow to S to N over the eastern US coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 At least the snow showers will move over the cape on sw winds. Elsewhere, very meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Nam not on board for much anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Something seems "odd" about the 12Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Nam not on board for much anywherelook at the sim radar, close to getting you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Throw out the models and sing Kumbaya. If we all think positive thoughts we can pull this NW...or so I heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 The NAM seems to be focusing the storm about 500 miles it to sea. Its cuckoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Throw out the models and sing Kumbaya. If we all think positive thoughts we can pull this NW...or so I heard. I would throw out the NAM... even if it was showing a big hit for me... ...maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 BUF with a nice 0.06 mile visibility +SN ob this morning... maybe the clipper is over-performing? Oh wait... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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