Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 This may still clip eastern areas with something. Very close call but not off the table yet. 6z gfs is a pasting of hvy wet snow out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 This may still clip eastern areas with something. Very close call but not off the table yet. 6z gfs is a pasting of hvy wet snow out here 06z is interesting, but I dunno...I don't buy it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Models clearly seeing the gulfstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 This may still clip eastern areas with something. Very close call but not off the table yet. 6z gfs is a pasting of hvy wet snow out here 06z is interesting, but I dunno...I don't buy it yet. I'm not quite on the 6z train but think I may get scraped by some better stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 This may still clip eastern areas with something. Very close call but not off the table yet. 6z gfs is a pasting of hvy wet snow out here If anyone in SNE should have any optimism, it is you. Fortunatley for the mental health of us out here, we can't have any let-down over missing something that was never in the cards anyway. Models clearly seeing the gulfstream. LOL--this will never get old. 9.3/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 A lot of the 6z GFS ensemble members hit eastern SNE pretty good http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_6z/ensprsloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Red tagger bullying FTL This event is toast for most cept the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Enjoy your inch or less. I am 100% guaranteeing most of SNE sees 1-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Even though Phil and Scooter have been pretty nasty to me the last few days..i do hope they can cash in this weekend with a nice moderate snowfal. Nice to see some modelling now supporting my forecast. This has the look of a long duration light to moderate event from west to east. Also the norlun signal is still very strong..I'm not sure where it sets up..but it's not going to be in your typical spot of NE Mass. Somewhere between E CT and NYC /WLI is best guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 Phil I think its quite possible we get into the 8"+ snow amounts from this system. Comma head will likely continue to correct wetter in the guidance and a tad further westward, I think BOS gets in the 4"+ amounts as well. Intensity is likely underdone near the Benchmark and likely underdone at our latitude. Therefore believe this will only get better for coastal SE New England as well as portions of downeast ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 All weenies back on the Storm Train - all aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Phil I think its quite possible we get into the 8"+ snow amounts from this system. Comma head will likely continue to correct wetter in the guidance and a tad further westward, I think BOS gets in the 4"+ amounts as well. Intensity is likely underdone near the Benchmark and likely underdone at our latitude. Therefore believe this will only get better for coastal SE New England as well as portions of downeast ME. i hear what you are saying. but...if you actually had to make a call...you wouldn't go for 8" amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 All weenies back on the Storm Train - all aboard! Your user name suggests maybe you possess some powers to push this one a little closer to the coast for all to enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 i hear what you are saying. but...if you actually had to make a call...you wouldn't go for 8" amounts. LOl no way, should be a pretty scene down your way with the snow a little pastier. 2-4 seems nicer when its pasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 If BOS gets 4" I will eat Punxatawny Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 i hear what you are saying. but...if you actually had to make a call...you wouldn't go for 8" amounts. Instead if I were to make a call now, I would go with CHH - 4" and BOS 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 And Blizz, Norluns are so tricky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 You can't ignore the 6z trend, and 12z will be telling once the runs come through. From 41N to 43N along the 68th W longitude the storm deepens remarkably from 991mb to 960mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 The lead shortwave and secondary (arctic) shortwave are interesting to watch unfold on water vapor imagery and within the models, not saying anything significant will come of it, but the second shortwave looks faster in its dive southeastward. Just making a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Closer, yes, deeper, yes Not sure if it will be enough. Needs a hook and not seeing what would do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 9z SREFS are better too, As crappy as they are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 9z SREFS are better too, As crappy as they areKiss of deathWe need Ryan Jr to post them and we are done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Yeah Phil you definitely are on the cusp there I agree. Just unsure here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 If BOS gets 4" I will eat Punxatawny Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Even though Phil and Scooter have been pretty nasty to me the last few days..i do hope they can cash in this weekend with a nice moderate snowfal. Nice to see some modelling now supporting my forecast. This has the look of a long duration light to moderate event from west to east. Also the norlun signal is still very strong..I'm not sure where it sets up..but it's not going to be in your typical spot of NE Mass. Somewhere between E CT and NYC /WLI is best guess I think many areas may barely get an inch though so all of SNE seeing 1-3 doesn't tell the story. I could be wrong, but just my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Yeah Phil you definitely are on the cusp there I agree. Just unsure here right now. Mixing on the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Kiss of death We need Ryan Jr to post them and we are done Lol considered not even mentioning them. They have given me like 40" over the last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Did the rodent see his shadow? I wish that thing would come out foaming at the mouth and maul that idiot in the top hat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 My wife and kids just let me go back to sleep for two hours,,,,,,that's a miracle and a wonderful omen 1-3 somebody tickles 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I think many areas may barely get an inch though so all of SNE seeing 1-3 doesn't tell the story. I could be wrong, but just my guess.I don't see how anyone sees less than one inch. Plus we have to figure out where norlun sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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