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February 2-3rd 2013 Clipper/Redeveloper

USCAPEWEATHERAF

By USCAPEWEATHERAF,
in New England

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HM

HM

Posted
Posted

 

Bold! About half the storms the models have had as cutters became supressed or whiffs. I don't see that statement above as providing anything but more of the same.

No offense but we keep hearing how much better things look and end up getting less and less snow :)

 

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

  

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

 

 

That's a bullish call now.

hmm

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

Like when you call us/me nutjobs for looking at the water vapor on the one threat that nobody was forecasting that actually turned into something?

You haven't been right at a percentage that's higher than anyone else, probably no need to be mocking people or getting all wound up when someone points out the obvious which is that about half the 7-10 day systems that were west ended up underneath us including a bunch that ended up being nothing at all. No offense, smiley inserted. :)

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Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
Posted

  

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

 

Your thoughts have not gone unnoticed. This system as well as the past few have trended away from favorable solutions to nothing more than flurries to a couple inches.  Not what we expect up here historically in the heart of winter and in a respectable cold pattern.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

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Like when you call us/me nutjobs for looking at the water vapor on the one threat that nobody was forecasting that actually turned into something?

You haven't been right about much of anything this winter. No offense, smiley inserted. :)

 

 

That thing gave the outer cape 3" and even where you are got less than an inch. Making that threat a total non-event except a Cape Scraper was perfectly valid.

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Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

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I don't think so at all. The clipper this morning leads me to believe I'm on the right track

 

Keep finding stuff to support your call.  Just look to the last few events when we were within a couple days of them and look how they trended as we got within that 48h period.  This thing is going that way as well.

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mahk_webstah

mahk_webstah

Posted
Posted

  

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

This has always been the best subforum for frequent, ongoing quality discussion I think, but we have degraded due to frustration.  The dialogue is good and has improved a lot in a lot of the other sub forums now.  I think we are in a temporary funk now due to frustration.  On this forum, when there is frustration, people don't leave...they just express their frustration here.  It gets difficult.

 

The models have just been cruel to us.  You said 3 weeks ago that they would suck and that is what I am pinning my hopes on.  They have sucked when they've shown storms and hopefully they suck today in showing not much.  I don't believe we have a cold dry 7-10 in front of us, no matter what a model shows.  HPC says overrunning comes to the NE in the 5-6 day timeframe I think.

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N. OF PIKE

N. OF PIKE

Posted
Posted

  

This post is a great example of why this subforum has become very difficult to participate in. I have a whole slew of posts over the last few days that explain my thoughts and why I think the data is doing what it is doing. At no point in the last few days did I ever consider or want to consider your perception of what you think you're hearing. In fact, the kind of information you might be looking for (not just straight model reading) is at your fingertips. So, just do us a favor: start reading more and shut up already. <insert smiley to make it sound humorous>

did you whiff on the event this am?

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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Posted

That thing gave the outer cape 3" and even where you are got less than an inch. Making that threat a total non-event except a Cape Scraper was perfectly valid.

 

Not the point Will and you should know by now I really don't care about MBY if I did and it was about snow I wouldn't live where I do, I'd live in Kevin's garage.

 

Those 1-3, and I thought there were some 4" reports would make it one of the larger storms of the winter.  Just because it didn't hit Boston or Worcester.... it'll probably have provided more snow than what's now a 30 page thread on a cloud passing event.  ;)

 

NOBODY has had an exceptional year pro or otherwise forecasting.   About the only one I've seen with a real thumb on things is QVector.   I was tongue and cheek with the person posting about an event 7-10 days away and it is probably just about a 50/50 proposition that half the forecast cutters ended up under us or gonzo.   It wasn't a shot at HM, simple statement that I don't think at day 7-10 in this pattern anyone has really had a strong handle on things.

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Zeus

Zeus

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Posted

If we got the snowfall kevin forecasts for every event this winter, we wouldn't be so frustrated.  :lmao:

 

That's correct, because we'd be dead.

 

It's like having an overly optimistic young child or person with severe mental disabilities happily running around a room full of fully-functional adults. His cheery nonsense is tolerable in good times, but when things run dry, everyone just kind of wants to wind up and bitchslap the runt of the logical litter that won't shut up.

 

Of course, this is one of the finest types of moments in this subforum, at least for comedy value; another coulda-woulda-shoulda been event withers in the models from what once seemed promising, and even many of the usually-stoic posters take on a thirst for blood.

 

Then somebody gets eaten, the posts get cleaned out, a threat appears around day five, and the circle of weather board life continues.

 

Delicious.

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HM

HM

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Not the point Will and you should know by now I really don't care about MBY if I did and it was about snow I wouldn't live where I do, I'd live in Kevin's garage.

 

Those 1-3, and I thought there were some 4" reports would make it one of the larger storms of the winter.  Just because it didn't hit Boston or Worcester.... it'll probably have provided more snow than what's now a 30 page thread on a cloud passing event.  ;)

 

NOBODY has had an exceptional year pro or otherwise forecasting.   About the only one I've seen with a real thumb on things is QVector.   I was tongue and cheek with the person posting about an event 7-10 days away and it is probably just about a 50/50 proposition that half the forecast cutters ended up under us or gonzo.   It wasn't a shot at HM, simple statement that I don't think at day 7-10 in this pattern anyone has really had a strong handle on things.

 

You got angry and said how you really feel: you think my forecasting has sucked this year which is a shot at me. Once again you continue to distort reality over and over and post about your distorted reality of things over and over again to the point where good conversation about the weather gets lost. You are in NO position to make a comment about medium range accuracy, period. In fact, you should feel privileged to be part of a forum that openly discusses possibilities beyond day 3. The reason you are in no position to make a comment about accuracy is because you clearly don't understand where the science is and what forecasting is capable of beyond a certain point. You lack the basics of chaos theory, modeling etc. and you probably don't pay for long range forecasts (but maybe you do, I don't know).

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