dryslot Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 7.5" Cape May. Unfooking real. Nice, They need it, I don't know for what though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Nice, They need it Those are my favorite. 3-4hrs of 2-3"/hr snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Could the 12z GFS be more boring through D10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Should we lock it or wait for the 18z run.................. roll the dice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Those are my favorite. 3-4hrs of 2-3"/hr snows. Almost a mini-2/7/03 for them this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Still living in fantasy world.Check out each and every model. You'll find one you like sooner or later. Just forecast off models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 7.5" Cape May. Unfooking real.You like looking at models. Which one had that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Could the 12z GFS be more boring through D10 D15? Nope - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 @MattNoyesNECN: At least a couple of inches of snow likely for many Sunday...perhaps more Eastern areas...more coming this eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Those are my favorite. 3-4hrs of 2-3"/hr snows. It looked great on radar this am, It was just displaced 300 miles or so to far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 7.5" Cape May. Unfooking real.You like looking at models. Which one had that? Double Bunner. Guess I should lock in my foot of snow because a model busted a couple hundred miles south of here On a different storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 I just want another 12/29/12. Best event since 10/27/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 <sarcasm> This is the biggest Euro run of our lives!!!!! <sarcasm> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 I just want another 12/29/12. Best event since 10/27/11. That was one storm that came back in our favor after trending sour inside of 4 days. Final 24 hours brought it back. Except the RPM nailed it from 60 hours out, lol. I don't think there is enough room for this one to amplify like that one did though. There's a bit more room for 2/6 to amplify, but its going to need a little help from the PV to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 <sarcasm> This is the biggest Euro run of our lives!!!!! <sarcasm> 0Z actually had like .25 at CHH... Would be happy if it would hold serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 0Z actually had like .25 at CHH... Would be happy if it would hold serve Had a sharp cutoff though, the rest of us had like 0.03" or something, lol. So at least for most of us, it really can't get worse. I guess it could give us zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 GFS is not boring at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Check out each and every model. You'll find one you like sooner or later. Just forecast off models. Models did blow it up near Cape May and had the potential burst of snow. We have nothing going for us except Noyes weenie tweets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Cape May hmm 1979 ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 0Z actually had like .25 at CHH... Would be happy if it would hold serve sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Nothing here also. I'm only at 5.9 inches on the season. Places to my south in SNJ are receiving accumulating snow right now. Some places have picked up over 5 inches of snow from the clipper. Dover DE got this in about 4 hours this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 GFS is not boring at all... SPEAK!!!!! We needs a pick me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 It's only 2/1. Plenty of time left for major snows and all signs point towards cold and stormy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 1, 2013 Author Share Posted February 1, 2013 Models tend to bring these storms more to the southeast with time as we get closer to an event. With a western ridge and eastern trough, likelihood for a major east coast snowstorm increases, but there are finite details that go unsolved until the day of an event. Models tend to fluctuate with a bunch of timing issues between disturbances as such a fluid situation will not allow finite details to be resolved ahead of time. As little as the handling of the western circulation of the mid latitude cyclone is abysmal, I like my chances with a much better in hand comma head, one that resembles a rapidly intensifying cyclone as well as cold conveyor belt that lashes the eastern New England coastline with copious amounts of snow. Now with the models's handling of every small shortwave disturbance ever so important, one tick off in timing will lead to upstream consequences we did not yet see, so as for the next 24 hours of computer model runs ticking time I would venture to guess a comma head that is more circular in nature will come out and play. Greatest pressure falls and to the northwest is where the heaviest snows will occur, question is too far offshore, or right on shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 It's only 2/1. Plenty of time left for major snows and all signs point towards cold and stormy. Were the signs written in pencil? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Dover DE got this in about 4 hours this morning. Which is really sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Models tend to bring these storms more to the southeast with time as we get closer to an event. With a western ridge and eastern trough, likelihood for a major east coast snowstorm increases, but there are finite details that go unsolved until the day of an event. Models tend to fluctuate with a bunch of timing issues between disturbances as such a fluid situation will not allow finite details to be resolved ahead of time. As little as the handling of the western circulation of the mid latitude cyclone is abysmal, I like my chances with a much better in hand comma head, one that resembles a rapidly intensifying cyclone as well as cold conveyor belt that lashes the eastern New England coastline with copious amounts of snow. Now with the models's handling of every small shortwave disturbance ever so important, one tick off in timing will lead to upstream consequences we did not yet see, so as for the next 24 hours of computer model runs ticking time I would venture to guess a comma head that is more circular in nature will come out and play. Greatest pressure falls and to the northwest is where the heaviest snows will occur, question is too far offshore, or right on shore?Tip Jr. The first lesson today is put the models away and make a forecast not using them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Tip Jr. The first lesson today is put the models away and make a forecast not using them break out the weather rope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Were the signs written in pencil? I'm trying to offset the negativity. Ryan says the gfs is boring, HM says no. Scooter joined the crew or whale wars this morning so he can see actual snow, Tip wrote a follow up to the Iliad, Jerry is having daytime nightmares about fat squirrels and Steve is trying to find an analog for this catastrophe that turns positive. The pattern has played out pretty much like I thought. Warm and wet cold and dry. I think that changes in 8-10 or so days. But we have another week or so of tracking cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 It's only 2/1. Plenty of time left for major snows and all signs point towards cold and stormy. Uh huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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