Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 nice hit out here. that's what i was hoping to see i guess. similar to its previous run but a bit more amped. Looks good. Progressive flow favors you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Is it the lead southern s/w screwing the pooch? Don't have access yet to 500mb. The lead s/w initiates cyclogenesis, but if we can get that more defined and not have the jet kick out east of HSE, that would really blow up. It still could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Safe to say entire region minimally sees 1-3 from this. Western area do better with snow coming up from mid atl with vort and maybe eastern folks get brushed with the coastal. Either way everyone has pack back by kickoff Sunday eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Late hook this run but way better then 0z Yep its a clipper flipper, looks like a 2-4 and much more for you and a little less for CC than you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Looks good. Progressive flow favors you. You're fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Safe to say entire region minimally sees 1-3 from this. Western area do better with snow coming up from mid atl with vort and maybe eastern folks get brushed with the coastal. Either way everyone has pack back by kickoff Sunday eve I hesitate to use the word pack just yet...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Looks good. Progressive flow favors you. lol...do you still live right near the canal? it's not like i'm 50 miles SE of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 EURO made a step in the right direction as far as I'm concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 I'd favor the NCEP model group over the foreign model group at this time, especially with the foreign models making good trends today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 The lead s/w initiates cyclogenesis, but if we can get that more defined and not have the jet kick out east of HSE, that would really blow up. It still could. Thanks. That's what I am pulling for. Slow that sucker down or have it dig further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 lol...do you still live right near the canal? it's not like i'm 50 miles SE of you. It's all about the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 If we can grab that leading vort and phase it a bit with the main energy coming SE, this coul dbe very good...it would cause the late violent hook left we see further north and somewhat down this direction on the GFS solution. I definitely like the trends on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Every man for himself on this...this needs to come west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 allright now just need models to keep storm close by. i just want my grass covered. i have no disillusions of a whopper winter. just snow baby, just snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro has two distinct vortmaxs screwing it up. Yes, the GFS phased them in by hr 72-78...euro is mighty close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 Jackpot imo sits from Cape Cod, MA to Downeast ME, 1.25" of QPF right now on models will be 2.0" of QPF after 00z runs tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Jackpot imo sits from Cape Cod, MA to Downeast ME, 1.25" of QPF right now on models will be 2.0" of QPF after 00z runs tonight. what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2013 Author Share Posted January 31, 2013 Thats all we need at this time range is too be close to a phase, not necessarily needing a phase now, but in later runs trends towards a phasing solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what? he graduated from blizz school of meteorology not modelology go big or go home. This baby is gonna go boom when it hits the.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what? Lol...did he multiply the mean model qpf by like 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what? Thank God for the Gulf Stream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Jackpot imo sits from Cape Cod, MA to Downeast ME, 1.25" of QPF right now on models will be 2.0" of QPF after 00z runs tonight. Are you for real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Jackpot imo sits from Cape Cod, MA to Downeast ME, 1.25" of QPF right now on models will be 2.0" of QPF after 00z runs tonight. Good Lord we have an alter boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 The trend is good, I will say that..the flow is fast moving, but it can be timed right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 euro is close to pulling off a good storm on the 5/6th too. bit too late still but inching closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 euro is close to pulling off a good storm on the 5/6th too. bit too late still but inching closer. What's it got verbatim for that? Can't see qpf at the moment...but just curious even though it doesn't really matter. The upper levels looked a bit better from what I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 The trend is our friend gentlemen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 If we can grab that leading vort and phase it a bit with the main energy coming SE, this coul dbe very good...it would cause the late violent hook left we see further north and somewhat down this direction on the GFS solution. I definitely like the trends on it. Yes to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 What's it got verbatim for that? Can't see qpf at the moment...but just curious even though it doesn't really matter. The upper levels looked a bit better from what I can see. it's very minimal right now. like .1" across S CT/S RI and then the same over E MA as it starts to pivot. but it's close to being a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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