CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 that is the higher probability. However do not be surprised if all of a sudden an hour before fropa you get your doors ripped off and there are 20k without power. That popped into my mind as an analog....1/18/06. I think this is a hair stronger, but that day also had a wee bit of daytime heating. I had BINOVC that day, but I'm close to thinking gust near 50kts at BOS. Gonna be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 That popped into my mind as an analog....1/18/06. I think this is a hair stronger, but that day also had a wee bit of daytime heating. I had BINOVC that day, but I'm close to thinking gust near 50kts at BOS. Gonna be close. The 950mb winds at BOS get to about 55 knots it looks like. Over 70 knots on the Cape, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Someone mentioned earlier that it seems like every big cutter brings record warmth to someone, and that's the way it seems to me too. Meanwhile, I honestly can't remember the last time PWM set a new record low. I noted in another thread last week that the top 17 lowest temps recorded there occurred prior to 1981.Seems like the warmth almost always over-performs, while the cold is muted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Taunton 61 Plymouth 58 Willamantic 57 TORCH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Someone mentioned earlier that it seems like every big cutter brings record warmth to someone, and that's the way it seems to me too. Meanwhile, I honestly can't remember the last time PWM set a new record low. I noted in another thread last week that the top 17 lowest temps recorded there occurred prior to 1981.Seems like the warmth almost always over-performs, while the cold is muted. The last record low at PWM was May 11, 2010...low of 29F. Most of our record lows will be prior to 1981 anyway given how much colder we were in the 1950s-1970s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The 950mb winds at BOS get to about 55 knots it looks like. Over 70 knots on the Cape, lol. Yeah that's impressive, considering it's just off the deck with the air pressure so low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 How many trees will I lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 pretty cool seeing the fog form on the snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 How many trees will I lose? how much gas is left if your chainsaw? i mean if you cut really fast, you could probably take down a bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Up to 55F here now and the fog has cleared away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The south coast here in CT may have a bit of trouble. Temperatures have leveled off on the coast into the U40s/near 50 while areas just inland have torched into the M/U 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Someone mentioned earlier that it seems like every big cutter brings record warmth to someone, and that's the way it seems to me too. Meanwhile, I honestly can't remember the last time PWM set a new record low. I noted in another thread last week that the top 17 lowest temps recorded there occurred prior to 1981.Seems like the warmth almost always over-performs, while the cold is muted. Peeked at my PWM data. Shows that their coldest 23 readings happened 1984 or earlier. Temp # days Most recent -20/lower 15 1980 (Day after Christmas) -19/ " 23 1984 -18/ " 33 1994 -17/ " 42 2003 -16/ " 58 2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The south coast here in CT may have a bit of trouble. Temperatures have leveled off on the coast into the U40s/near 50 while areas just inland have torched into the M/U 50s. Sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 47 at HYA and 59 at FMH. that's a big difference over a fairly short distance. wind off the water vs just a few more miles away from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 If I go for a run at 5:00 am tomorrow, will trees be coming down on me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Peeked at my PWM data. Shows that their coldest 23 readings happened 1984 or earlier. Temp # days Most recent -20/lower 15 1980 (Day after Christmas) -19/ " 23 1984 -18/ " 33 1994 -17/ " 42 2003 -16/ " 58 2009 Thanks. Funny -- I have no recollection of that 2009 reading. I must have been traveling. Anyway, hoping for some decent wind and maybe a rumble of thunder tonight so we'll at least get some entertainment out of this torch. I've got no interest in losing power, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 If I go for a run at 5:00 am tomorrow, will trees be coming down on me? Strap that chainsaw to your bareback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Thanks. Funny -- I have no recollection of that 2009 reading. I must have been traveling. Anyway, hoping for some decent wind and maybe a rumble of thunder tonight so we'll at least get some entertainment out of this torch. I've got no interest in losing power, though. May have to move the generator to the front of the shed just in case, Can't afford to have the sump pumps not working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Strap that chainsaw to your bareback.Im def gonna run. That should be epicenter of the damaging winds time wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 impressive....CHH: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Thanks. Funny -- I have no recollection of that 2009 reading. I must have been traveling. Big Black River - minus 50. 12z gfs has PWM winds at 12z tomorrow 90k at 850, almost 80k at 925, surface pressure at 983. Three hr later, EPO winds are 6-8k stronger with a slightly lower bar. Can't remember seeing 925 winds in Maine this strong before, tho I'm sure it's happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 61.3 while cloudy...torcharoosky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Well, about 10mins ago the wind suddenly started getting really gusty. I wonder if the stronger winds aloft will mix down easier than originally thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Well, about 10mins ago the wind suddenly started getting really gusty. I wonder if the stronger winds aloft will mix down easier than originally thought? Just heard my 1st gust here at wok as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Record High temp at orh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Record High temp at orh Pretty easy call yesterday IMHO: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39078-jan-30-rain-event-toasty-temps/?p=2054423 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 its been pretty gusty for the past hour or see here Well, about 10mins ago the wind suddenly started getting really gusty. I wonder if the stronger winds aloft will mix down easier than originally thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 its been pretty gusty for the past hour or see here Wind is dead calm here and the fog has moved back in again. The temperature has leveled off at 53F after a high of 55F so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 North Adams 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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