Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 5-6SD winds at 925MB. Very rare to see. It will be inverted, but man could be nuts across SE MA and areas like Blue Hill.The entire region is going to roar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The entire region is going to roar I'm not sure how strong it will be inland, but a place Robyn circle may do fairly well. The LLJ really cranks into SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I'm not sure how strong it will be inland, but a place Robyn circle may do fairly well. The LLJ really cranks into SE areas.Lol at the street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 46/46 south wind and foggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I love how anytime you post something that doesn't include Northeast Connecticut Kevin comes in immediately after and posts something that says it'll be all over southern New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I think he despises being left out of the game more than anyone on this board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 33 and -RA We will probably hold the cold until late afternoon or evening. Hopefully the heaviest rain falls west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I was sick of all of this snow anyways... :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I think he despises being left out of the game more than anyone on this board Imagine what he would be like in my shoes for the last 15 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 NBD for NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 NBD for NE CT.Yeah. Probably only 50% outages this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Up to 47F here. The fog and warm temperatures will wipe out the snowcover long before the rain gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Yeah. Probably only 50% outages this time. LOL CTs 4th largest outage? LOL at near 110kts at 850 on the NAM over Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Despite 100 knots almost down to 900mbs....I'm not sure this will be much anywhere - down here included. It's tough with that much wind off the deck not to get interested but the temp profiles are overly meh. And relying on convective elements or precip drag is a crapshoot. It's definitely going to howl but I'm just not confident on what the high end is. Given 65-75 knots aloft is more typical in these and typically leads to gusts of 48-53 mph at the surface I think 60 is attainable but I'm hesitant to go much more than that. The lower resolution of the gfs of course has sustained winds of line 45 knots lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Just checking the Mesonet, warm front looks to be along SW CT coast, just E of HFD to just S of BOS. Temps up to low 50s S of the front in E CT, RI and SE Mass. DP in ORH up to 46. That plus fog will make quick work of any snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The end is really close now-- 31.8/31. sniff sniff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Despite 100 knots almost down to 900mbs....I'm not sure this will be much anywhere - down here included. It's tough with that much wind off the deck not to get interested but the temp profiles are overly meh. And relying on convective elements or precip drag is a crapshoot. It's definitely going to howl but I'm just not confident on what the high end is. Given 65-75 knots aloft is more typical in these and typically leads to gusts of 48-53 mph at the surface I think 60 is attainable but I'm hesitant to go much more than that. The lower resolution of the gfs of course has sustained winds of line 45 knots lol Yeah it's inverted for sure. I do think 60 gusts will happen in the typical areas of SE MA away from the water where it may be closer to 60. It's eye opening to see winds that strong so low though...I don't remember seeing winds like that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Yeah it's inverted for sure. I do think 60 gusts will happen in the typical areas of SE MA away from the water where it may be closer to 60. It's eye opening to see winds that strong so low though...I don't remember seeing winds like that before. That's the key. HWW is likely needed there. Advisories should cover most everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Yeah it's inverted for sure. I do think 60 gusts will happen in the typical areas of SE MA away from the water where it may be closer to 60. It's eye opening to see winds that strong so low though...I don't remember seeing winds like that before. yeah that's the part that gives me pause / concern. it's very strong. seeing 925 winds of 90 knots is pretty amazing. i want that on a NE wind with a 950 low over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 yeah that's the part that gives me pause / concern. it's very strong. seeing 925 winds of 90 knots is pretty amazing. i want that on a NE wind with a 950 low over the BM. Ha, I thought the same. BUFKIT NAM which is wicked inverted still had like 45kt sustained at ACK. We all know how srly wind events usually perform...but hopefully we can get more 60ish gusts instead of the typical; 50mph or so crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Ha, I thought the same. BUFKIT NAM which is wicked inverted still had like 45kt sustained at ACK. We all know how srly wind events usually perform...but hopefully we can get more 60ish gusts instead of the typical; 50mph or so crap. ACK will rip. i'm pretty confident on that one. they do well compared to the Cape in the S flow with the airport right on the south side of the island like that and probably just being slightly closer to the warmer water S of the region. if we can get a really big temp spike that could help to. i don't know. it's interesting for sure. i agree 60 is more in reach than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 ACK will rip. i'm pretty confident on that one. they do well compared to the Cape in the S flow with the airport right on the south side of the island like that and probably just being slightly closer to the warmer water S of the region. if we can get a really big temp spike that could help to. i don't know. it's interesting for sure. i agree 60 is more in reach than usual. Yeah thinking about gusts >50kts near 12z there tomorrow. Fun TAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I bet most of the interior ends up with higher gusts after the FROPA than the southerly LLJ before it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I bet most of the interior ends up with higher gusts after the FROPA than the southerly LLJ before it. Yeah I wouldn't be shocked even at BOS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Northern pioneer Valley holding the cold. I'm still flirting with freezing going back and forth from 31 to 33. Just walked the dog and boy and the side streets are still a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I bet most of the interior ends up with higher gusts after the FROPA than the southerly LLJ before it. Agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 scooter - how often do the airlines change / delay / cancel arrivals and departures out of Logan in a situation like this? i only ask because i know someone flying out of Logan tonight at midnight and they were asking me my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 We be movin on up here with the temperature just shy of 50F at 49F and climbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 scooter - how often do the airlines change / delay / cancel arrivals and departures out of Logan in a situation like this? i only ask because i know someone flying out of Logan tonight at midnight and they were asking me my thoughts. Midnight will be fine I think. Tomorrow morning could have a ton of delays...and hopefully winds stay under 50kts. Huge turbulence issues tomorrow morning I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Sunny, 53.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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