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Jan 30 Rain Event- Toasty temps Mt Tolland blows away


HoarfrostHubb

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Well we're seeing right now on the mesoanalysis is really leftover LLJ from the convection that was going on all night.

We're going to see this low pressure quickly develop as it tracks NW of the area. Euro for instance takes it to 982ish by 06z, approaching 970 by 12z. Check out the winds at 500 on up through 300, huge jet streak rounding this trough and big time diffluence aloft. All this mass leaving the column will be replaced by something, that will be the reinvigorated LLJ that kicks up tonight.

Mind you I just woke up, but I think that's about as well as I can explain it.

thanks I am learning.
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just stoppin by, latest box disco poo poo's any hope of much at all on sun or tues in the future, super fast flow, no blocking, lack of abundant moisture source, lower than advisory level snows.

 

With all that being said, it's a wonder what an inch of snow cover and cold temps can do for creating a winter wonderland. Here's hoping one returns superbowl sunday for a bit. Enjoy the winds tonite. It's 60F and gustin like a mother.

 

KTAN totally on the ball as usual.  Agree with everything.  Models have had a hard time grasping the progressive nature of the flow until inside of about 70-80 hours of the threat, kind of expect they'll do the same on the 2/3 soon.

 

OVERVIEW...

AS ALLUDED TO YESTERDAY...PRESENT AND FORECASTED TELECONNECTIONS

WITHIN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE REMAIN POSITIVE. EXPECTING A

PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN /LITTLE BLOCKING/ WITH THE WESTERN PACIFIC

RIDGE DISCERNED FROM SATELLITE/UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS TO GRADUALLY MOVE

EAST...AHEAD OF WHICH A BROAD TROUGH WITH INCIPIENT WAVES OF ENERGY

THROUGH THE LONG-WAVE FLOW PATTERN WILL IMPACT THE EASTERN CONUS.

THE TROUGH IS FAIRLY BROAD WITH LITTLE AMPLIFICATION. SUBSEQUENTLY

THE INCIPIENT SHORTWAVES ACT AS CLIPPER DISTURBANCES WITH LITTLE

AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS THE FETCH IS DELAYED INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC

BY THE BUILDING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AGREE WITH THE PREVIOUS

FORECASTER FOR THE LONG-TERM...DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH NEW

ENGLAND WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH VERY LITTLE MOISTURE LOOKING TO BE

UNDER ADVISORY THRESHOLDS SHOULD THE MOISTURE FALL IN THE FORM OF

SNOW. WILL HIT UP THE DAY-BY-DAY DETAILS BELOW.

 

FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

MODELS AGREE UPON AN INCIPIENT SHORTWAVE SWEEPING THROUGH THE

DELMARVE PENINSULA AND INVIGORATING A SURFACE LOW TO THE SOUTH AND

EAST ALONG THE STALLED SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BETTER

BAROCLINIC FLOW. WITH NEW ENGLAND TO THE REAR OF THE DISTURANCE...

SUBSIDENCE SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE COLUMN. PERHAPS SOME FLURRIES

FOR THE SOUTH COAST...OTHERWISE CONTINUED BREEZY W/NW WINDS WITH

BROKEN CLOUD DECKS...BECOMING SCATTERED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

 

SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...

CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS WASHES OUT AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE

CENTRAL PLAINS AND SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE A WEAK CLIPPER

LOW LOOKS TO PASS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND /ASSOCIATED WITH VERY

LITTLE INVIGORATION THROUGH THE BROAD FLOW/. SNOW LOOKS TO BE

POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND...BUT ANTICIPATING

JUST FLURRIES...NO ACCUMULATION. OTHERWISE...ANTICIPATING SEASONABLE

TEMPERATURES UNDER WESTERLY FLOW.

 

SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...

DISCREPANCIES AMONGST MODEL SOLUTIONS CONCERNING THE DEFINITION OF

THE TROUGH WITH AN ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE. NEVERTHELESS IT

APPEARS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ONCE AGAIN SOUTH AND EAST

OF NEW ENGLAND ALONG THE BETTER BAROCLINIC FLOW. BUT FEEL WITH THE

CYCLONIC FLOW AND SUBSEQUENT LIFT ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD WARRANT

SNOW CHANCES. MOISTURE STILL APPEARS LIMITED /THE BEST ASSOCIATED

WITH THE SURFACE LOW/ SO THE EXPECTATION IS FOR SNOW SHOWERS WITH

LITTLE ACCUMULATION.

 

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Could be a pocket that hasn't flushed out yet. I was still stuck at 40F til about 5pm. Still have full snow pack but its now getting vaporized.

Yeah I was wondering were the fifties were worked outside all afternoon pressure washing and waiting for the warmth that never arrived

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This is brutal lol.

Low to mid 50s everywhere in the RT 100 corridor up and down the east slopes of the Greens.

Over 70 degree difference from one week ago.

Currently:

4000ft...47F

1500ft...54F

750ft...56F

Forecast at Lyndon tomorrow is for a 41 degree swing from the afternoon to evening.

 

http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:05851.1.99999

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Already roaring pretty nicely out of Sw. Peak gust of 36

 

Just walked out to get the mail.  Driveway is now snow-free as is the road.  Several inches still spread across the yard, but with the temp/dew now up to 47.4/47 and light rain, I know it's on borrowed time.  No wind at all just makes it worse.  At least then there'd be something to report.

 

Total misery for now.

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Just walked out to get the mail. Driveway is now snow-free as is the road. Several inches still spread across the yard, but with the temp/dew now up to 47.4/47 and light rain, I know it's on borrowed time. No wind at all just makes it worse. At least then there'd be something to report.

Total misery for now.

It'll wake you up and give you something to report around 3 -5 am lol

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http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2012-O-NEW-KGYX-HW-W-0001/USCOMP-N0Q-201210291800

 

Looks like 10/29/12 for you with Sandy. But that site is great for looking up past headlines.

Fantastic link!! Thank you.

 

I was in Florida for Sandy, so that's why I don't remember.  Looks like prior to that one, the last one for me was back on 4/16/07.

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if i lived within a half hour of rev i would drive by his house and throw some ICE MELT on his snowbanks and front yard to decimate his pack, earth friendly ice melt mind you, but it would be hilarious.

 

 

Why would you do that? His snow piles are already getting decimated without it, lol.

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