powderfreak Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Mount Mansfield has hit 48F for a high today... Only 2F from tying the all-time January record of 50F set in 1959. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 What time does this front get through its in no hurry, still 58 in Cleveland with a gusty south wind. Prob between 7-10am from west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Prob between 7-10am from west to east. Thanks Will, temp crash or gentle tickle, I find many times in these set ups that for especially down slope dandy locales its a gentle tickle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Box going massive damage HOWEVER...WINDS OF THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES SO WE ARE CONCERNED. Scattered tree and power outages does sound like massive, massive damage incoming. Probably best to sleep in the basement tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Wow that looks like a gully washer coming on radar... snowpack cancel lol Damn straight. I'd hold out a little hope for a light covering remaining if we were just dealing with the temps and dews. That deluge will put the nail in the coffin. Still healthy now. It'll be a different landscape come morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Scattered tree and power outages does sound like massive, massive damage incoming. Probably best to sleep in the basement tonight.Will the resort have to close for the season? I'd imagine most trails are bare by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Box going massive damage 000 FXUS61 KBOX 302125 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 425 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 .SYNOPSIS... STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THURSDAY...ALONG WITH A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING...BRINGING WITH MORE WINDY CONDITIONS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. A COUPLE OF RELATIVELY FAST MOVING SYSTEMS MAY PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... ***STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THURSDAY*** A POTENT SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING TO OUR WEST WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON OUR WEATHER LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THURSDAY. THERE ARE SEVERAL WEATHER HAZARDS WE ARE CONCERNED ABOUT WITH THE BIG ONE BEING STRONG TO DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS. WILL GO OVER ALL THE CONCERNS IN THE NEXT FEW PARAGRAPHS. 1) STRONG DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS: WE OPTED TO CONVERT ALL HIGH WIND WATCHES OVER TO WARNING FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOK TO OCCUR BETWEEN 2 AM AND 9 AM...WITH 50 TO 60 MPH EXPECTED AND PERHAPS EVEN A BIT STRONGER IN SOME LOCALES. NOW THERE IS ALWAYS UNCERTAINTY IN THESE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET CASES BECAUSE OF THE STRONG INVERSION AND HOW MUCH WIND WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN. ITS OFTEN BEST TO BE CONSERVATIVE IN THESE SITUATIONS. HOWEVER...IN THIS CASE THE LOW LEVEL JET IS SO STRONG WE HAD TO GO WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. ONE TRICK THAT WILL SOMETIMES GET YOU IN THE BALLBARK ON WIND GUSTS IS TO LOOK AT THE 850 MB JET AND TAKE HALF FOR THE MAX WIND GUSTS. IN THIS CASE...THE NAM INDICATES OVER 100 KNOTS AT THIS LEVEL! HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS INTERIOR RHODE ISLAND/SOUTHEAST MA...WHERE TEMPS MAY BREAK 60 ALLOWING FOR BETTER MIXING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED FOR SOME OF THESE LOCATIONS TO SEE WIND GUSTS OF 65 MPH. HOWEVER...EVEN IN THE INTERIOR THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR A FEW HOURS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY IF A FINE LINE DEVELOPS. THE ONE THING TO KEEP IN MIND ABOUT THESE LOW LEVEL JET CASES IS THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS USUALLY ON LAST 1 TO 3 HOURS IN A GIVEN LOCATION. HOWEVER...WINDS OF THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES SO WE ARE CONCERNED. Concern to be sure as described. But, there are "scooter caution flags" hurled all over that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Probably best to sleep in the basement tonight. Don't forget the motorcycle helmet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 Scattered tree and power outages does sound like massive, massive damage incoming. Probably best to sleep in the basement tonight. My basement will be wet tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I wonder if tomorrow's accumulation in the zone forecast is meant to be total rain and not total snow: Thursday Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain in the morning... then a chance of snow or rain showers in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Breezy with highs in the lower 40s. Temperature falling into the lower 30s in the afternoon. West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Will the resort have to close for the season? I'd imagine most trails are bare by morning Yep...winter is over. If all the millions of gallons of water tied up in snowmaking melts tonight, this town is going to have problems come morning, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 For the Pit's snowpack loss: THE MAIN PLAYER THOUGH LOOKS TO BE THE FINE LINE WHICH COULD RESULT IN A BAND OF LOCALLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR WESTERN ZONES...ESPECIALLY THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Its going to be a warm and wet night, long for those that still have there cherished pack, good luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 For the Pit's snowpack loss: THE MAIN PLAYER THOUGH LOOKS TO BE THE FINE LINE WHICH COULD RESULT IN A BAND OF LOCALLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR WESTERN ZONES...ESPECIALLY THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. The benefit of living in the hills is more snow than the valleys in a lot of events, but on the flip side it also means more rain when it's warm. The mountains are going to wring it out tonight with that sort of low level jet induced orographics and near record PWATS. No QPF issues tonight unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 post frontal winds look impressive nam bufkit for bdl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 bos: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 Winter 2012-2013 - Where rain is measured in inches and snow in...??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Still 34.3F in Plymouth NH. Temp actually dropped a few tenths. Snow is still melting at a decent rate though with a dp of 34. edit: 2 minutes later and its tickling down even more. 34.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 The benefit of living in the hills is more snow than the valleys in a lot of events, but on the flip side it also means more rain when it's warm. The mountains are going to wring it out tonight with that sort of low level jet induced orographics and near record PWATS. No QPF issues tonight unfortunately. LOL--no indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 where is this jet coming from Mesoanalysis is currently Meh and surface reports are too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Pretty meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 where is this jet coming from Mesoanalysis is currently Meh and surface reports are too Blows up over the Jersey Shore later tonight. Winds already gusting to 45kt at Blue Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Steve has been doing everything in his power to downplay the snow melt, warm temps, and winds with this event. Its been entertaining to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Steve has been doing everything in his power to downplay the snow melt, warm temps, and winds with this event. Its been entertaining to watch. You know what dude I am just trying to learn, ever think of that. You can see why Blue hill is windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 where is this jet coming from Mesoanalysis is currently Meh and surface reports are too Well, I've already been gusting over 30mph. 33mph peak thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 You know what dude I am just trying to learn, ever think of that. You can see why Blue hill is windy LOL ok Steve........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I don't even know how ski country has managed to survive these last couple winters. Just BRUTAL...this is not going to help things a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2013 Author Share Posted January 30, 2013 Well, I've already been gusting over 30mph. 33mph peak thus far. Local WxBug has hit 37mph. But that is on a roof of a school on a hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Is there a way to look up when the last high wind warning was for a given area? It seems like forever for here. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2012-O-NEW-KGYX-HW-W-0001/USCOMP-N0Q-201210291800 Looks like 10/29/12 for you with Sandy. But that site is great for looking up past headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Well, I've already been gusting over 30mph. 33mph peak thus far. well look at the Meso, the 925 winds have max right near you, look to your west and surface obs. I just want to know what make the LLJ strengthen, that is all . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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