mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I live vicariously through other people's cars. Plus there are no trashcans super close anymore. try a dumpster....they usually have more of a choice anyway oh, no, never mind....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 we are in a good cartopper pattern for the next 5-6 days....hopefully we get something to look at We are through about Tuesday or Wed. I could see someone getting a half inch tonight though most of us will see less. The weekend is trickier because of the boundary layer issues assuming we even get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Pretty much the same here too. At least they've never teased us with anything "decent" leading up. Any flakes will be nice and it one of them drops an inch then it's a smashing success in my book. Looks like around the 15th we build the western ridge again which probably will put us back in clipper land. This week of cold week of warm back and forth is very nina-ish. So is the crappy storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Yea, no kidding. 4 distinct chances. Well, at least on the gfs anyways. Pattern is ripe for it. I guess the thing to watch is how each one evolves way up north. If the the flow gets carved properly we could have one of these take a nice rounded turn below us with some weak waa. I know it's a low prob situation but each approaching little system won't be fully resolved until the departing one is figured out. Makes for entertaining model watching if nothing else. That's what chaps me. We seemingly get the same path every, single time. When we do get one to pass below us, it's too far and we get partly cloudy. I don't know if it's this year, or climo, but it seems like every time I look at a model for one of these little clipper type deals, I see exactly the same solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 One of the four-lane roads in my area is pre-treated, so that must mean we have a big snowfall coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 GFS looks better than NAM for tonight and Sunday in my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 That's what chaps me. We seemingly get the same path every, single time. When we do get one to pass below us, it's too far and we get partly cloudy. I don't know if it's this year, or climo, but it seems like every time I look at a model for one of these little clipper type deals, I see exactly the same solution. I like the way your GFS looks in the longer range with a lot of moisture to our south and cold air just to our north. It seems that we haven't seen that this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I looked at gfs nam. It seems to suggest weenie flakes for the area. Nice burst of fronto on nam banding page for metros on east to delmarva suggests maybe a steady band for a small area somewhere. Gets a nice boost just as it gets close to the water with a boost of omega. Id forecast t-1" with great possibility of no flakes at all. Best chance of flakes is over Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Nam digs south with s/w and subsequently that model is better to south of bwi/dca while gfs sends s/w over york/mason dixon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro map shows nothing for tonight tho maybe it's just less than .05" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 looks better for weekend thru 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro map shows nothing for tonight tho maybe it's just less than .05" liquid. Not encouraging. It's 18z then maybe a peek at the hi res options. Hope for at best a coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro map shows nothing for tonight tho maybe it's just less than .05" liquid. .01" at DCA and .02" at BWI = flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 shows nothing (or sub .05" again) for the weekend but it looks better at 500 and the sfc than 0z .. some potential there maybe... sfc low right across area or even south of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 .01" at DCA and .02" at BWI = flurries 50:1 could get me 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 shows nothing (or sub .05" again) for the weekend but it looks better at 500 and the sfc than 0z .. some potential there maybe... sfc low right across area or even south of dc what's that definition of being crazy....doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result? this pattern won't break until the end of FEB or early MAR and then it will likely be too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 One of the four-lane roads in my area is pre-treated, so that must mean we have a big snowfall coming up. Salt accumulation doubled snowfall accumulation during the last event. I guess there is an expiration date on that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what's that definition of being crazy....doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result? this pattern won't break until the end of FEB or early MAR and then it will likely be too warm it's gotta give at some point. i've mostly surrendered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Salt accumulation doubled snowfall accumulation during the last event. I guess there is an expiration date on that stuff. I've never seen the local gov't people so scared of being second guessed, so they just waste our money putting down salt, etc. to protect themselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 what's that definition of being crazy....doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result? this pattern won't break until the end of FEB or early MAR and then it will likely be too warm These really zero basis to call things dead until march. 10-15 day is still really uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro gets about .1" into western parts of DC area Mon night into Tue. .05"+ areawide (N Va and Md) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro gets about .1" into western parts of DC area Mon night into Tue. .05"+ areawide (N Va and Md) hmm, more after .. .1"+ whole area thru eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 hmm, more after .. .1"+ whole area thru eve sort of did that last night's run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 hmm, more after .. .1"+ whole area thru eve Sounds like it held serve with the low going to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Sounds like it held serve with the low going to our south. yeah.. havent looked at much recently. looks fairly similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 gives BWI around .22" for the 1 day period with .15" coming during 6 hrs ending Tuesday 7PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 gives BWI around .22" for the 1 day period with .15" coming during 6 hrs ending Tuesday 7PM blizzard for this yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 yeah.. havent looked at much recently. looks fairly similar. It's tough when the best snow chance through the 1st half of feb is maybe getting an inch from a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 blizzard for this yr The 500h vort isn't bad a 144hrs If it were correct someone would get a stripe of 1-3 so. Of course, it's so far on its own and it lokies to jazz things up at times. Still, I'm not willing to poo-poo it to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Euro gets about .1" into western parts of DC area Mon night into Tue. .05"+ areawide (N Va and Md) Woo hoo. Inching my way to a 25 dollar gift card. But really, squinting at the computer hoping for something more is just depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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