mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 We are getting close to those sw pieces phasing, no? Of course it could be wrong, as could my hypothesis. that's the way I see it but why would we think the northern stream could screw us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 in my opinion the NAM at 84 hrs is as accurate as the experts predicting the Ravens to lose the superbowl I agree, but when it shows us getting screwed in the same manner that we have been for 2 years, it's hard for me to completely disregard it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 We are getting close to those sw pieces phasing, no? Of course it could be wrong, as could my hypothesis. your hypothesis would = cold rain followed by dryslot followed by sne destruction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 it all comes down to the NAM delaying the southern vort if it's closer to right than wrong, we got problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 id rather than NAM solution than the euro solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I'd rather the NAM look like this then ots like the EURO. Gives credence that the EURO is too surpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Just take from the NAM that it supports a more amped-up solution and not some lame OTS scraper and move on. Specifics on the NAM are useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 id rather than NAM solution than the euro solution Agree. I am tired of being fringed north, south, east, and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 it all comes down to the NAM delaying the southern vort if it's closer to right than wrong, we got problems The delay in time isn't very significant. The nam is on roids over tx/ok. Closing the vort off causes the nw solution more than anything. And it's a nam bias so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Did anyone discover any helpful trends in the Euro ensembles after 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Just take from the NAM that it supports a more amped-up solution and not some lame OTS scraper and move on. Specifics on the NAM are useless. I'd like to believe that the specifics are useless but it's just so d@mn familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Did anyone discover any helpful trends in the Euro ensembles after 0z? somebody posted that they gave DCA .25-.3" qpf, which was substantially more than the operational more down your way I would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Chill I know your confident on this one...but by 3pm today your tune may change. Hope for your rep you verify...maybe they will name a storm for you You should post significantly less. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I agree, but when it shows us getting screwed in the same manner that we have been for 2 years, it's hard for me to completely disregard it yeah i never thought of it that way.. i guess in that sense u got to look at every thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Just caught up with this thread after waking up...dear lord it could use a good cleaning and it's a shame we do not still use weenie tags. There are some people on here who really should take a break from posting How many times are we going to rehash that the 84 hour NAM can be and usually is lol-worthy? Okay - back to lurking and watching for Wes', Bob's and others great analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 12z GFS h5 looks okay through 57 in the TX panhandle about to head into OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The 42hr GFS looks like it is slower and a little deeper with the southern stream vort possibly giving it more room to come north. I'm not sure that is a good thing. Plus my guess about what the slower southern stream might mean could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 for everyone who "knows it all and obviously don't need the models", NAM and GFS are darn close with the vort at 57 hrs but the GFS has the northern stream energy further back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Just caught up with this thread after waking up...dear lord it could use a good cleaning and it's a shame we do not still use weenie tags. There are some people on here who really should take a break from posting How many times are we going to rehash that the 84 hour NAM can be and usually is lol-worthy? Okay - back to lurking and watching for Wes', Bob's and others great analysis. Wes was talking about the NAM. Weenie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 at 66 hrs. GFS is flatter than the NAM while the NAM had a closed vort locations of the southern vort are very close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Ugh, Ian is up. Happy Bday! NAM looks scary....it looks like it's gonna TRY to redevelop in time,. but torchy re: NAM talk....yeah, it's a sh*t model at that range and I don't think anybody is really betting chips on it...but I think it's fine to discuss in light of the fact that a kick ass met brought it up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 gfs looks great. ns vort further behind and weaker than 6z gfs. way better than fantasynam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 gfs looks great. ns vort further behind and weaker than 6z gfs. way better than fantasynamStrongly agree... also h5 vort is slower by a lil on 12z compared to 6z. 6z at 78 had it in E AR... 12z at 72 has it in W AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 gfs looks great. ns vort further behind and weaker than 6z gfs. way better than fantasynam Nice temporary 50/50 at 72 hours. I wish it would stay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Wes was talking about the NAM. Weenie... I was referring more to the continual posts that say "NAM at 84 is worthless" etc - we don't need to keep being told that. Wasn't referring to the actual references to the model run itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Nice temporary 50/50 at 72 hours. I wish it would stay. We're going to love the vort pass. May be the best one yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS seems to be slowing the southern vort down some at 81 hrs, there's a 999 Low in the Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS seems to be slowing the southern vort down some at 81 hrs, there's a 999 Low in the Midwest Um what low in the Midwest? You mean way up in the Northern Plains in ND? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 We're going to love the vort pass. May be the best one yet. I hope ur right because I'm not convinced yet w/that nrt vort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Um what low in the Midwest? You mean way up in the Northern Plains in ND? Dakotas/MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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