Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 we survive till 0z run I think but writing on the wall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The shortwave is more sheared like the Euro. The track of the shortwave is pretty decent, but we'd need to see it trend back to less sheared for a solid system in DC. Its still better than the Euro though. Hopefully the Euro comes back a little more amped tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 that northern stream sw chill wasn't worried about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 next there is no next. were about out of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 0.25 to maybe 0.3 QPF... impressive... cartopper it is again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 looks like a cartopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Still a decent event verbatim for DC. Colder than previous runs? More of the QPF might be snow than previous runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I like the orientation of the trough for the 2nd storm...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It's ugly, but I'm gonna hang in there until tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 it is the 18z punt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 This winter really makes me wonder how the heck parts of NYC and SNE were able to pull off a miracle HECS and we can't get accum snow worth sh*t down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It's ugly, but I'm gonna hang in there until tomorrow night. yeah me too, maybe its just a hiccup on an off run, now if it continues that trend at 00z then maybe euro was onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 This track seems ideal 72 hours out or so in my opinion. It gives room for slight shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Still a decent event verbatim for DC. Colder than previous runs? More of the QPF might be snow than previous runs? Oh. Surface temps and low rates = bah humbug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Still a decent event verbatim for DC. Colder than previous runs? More of the QPF might be snow than previous runs? that's how i see it. i'd actually rather be on the far northern side of this if it means cooler temps. maybe this is the solution the models settle in on for now. if so, i'd take that over the .05 qpf we had with the clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 This winter really makes me wonder how the heck parts of NYC and SNE were able to pull off a miracle HECS and we can't get accum snow worth sh*t down here new england getting a huge snowstorm isnt that big of deal lol they always get it, im not mad about it, i just with theyd share lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 it is the 18z punt it 18z usually best run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 This winter really makes me wonder how the heck parts of NYC and SNE were able to pull off a miracle HECS and we can't get accum snow worth sh*t down herePhasing is the bomb Get it? Hahahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Tried to warn Chill Will this morning the writing was on the wall. Thanks for playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 maybe this will humble Bob chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Oh. Surface temps and low rates = bah humbug. don't forget that nice Mid-Feb sun angle.. .5" QPF could easily add up to nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 exactly europe sucks they'll never let us get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 don't forget that nice Mid-Feb sun angle.. .5" QPF could easily add up to nothing with temps around freezing ratios would probably be maybe 8 to 1 if its a wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not paying attention until the Euro gives us a storm. Scratch that... Not paying attention until everything gives us a storm because until now whatever model gave us nothing has been correct. How is severe season looking Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 don't forget that nice Mid-Feb sun angle.. .5" QPF could easily add up to nothing it looks like this could be an overnight event though, if it happens...which might help...maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 00z GFS will officially bury this POS. Is the grave for PD3 being dug as we speak or is it showing signs of life? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 supposedly euro ensembles bullish on pdpunt3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowloverchris Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Still time for things to get its act together! As usual the ones always throwing the towel in early will be back for the new model runs. If you given up why come back, you already said its over why waste your time. but I do enjoy the comical relief. I aint saying it is going to happen or not but i am not giving in yet.Wait until next runs might be a differnt story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 supposedly euro ensembles bullish on pdpunt3 looks better than the op but not sure if it's just because of smoothing. low develops a bit quicker so we might get more than a what looks like a frontal squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 looks better than the op but not sure if it's just because of smoothing. low develops a bit quicker so we might get more than a what looks like a frontal squall. At least there will be a legit trough with cold air, although the way it looks to evolve favors areas to the north. Still, I am more interested in this period and beyond than the Wed night chance of a couple inches of sloppy wet snow followed by two days with highs around 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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