aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not really looking into temps, but judging by what I see through 54 euro isn't gonna do it. Gotta see more. Edit to mention I do think it will be a trend in the right direction though. Honestly...you are all over the place....let it run a bit before commenting...don't be a mind reader...or model predictor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Honestly...you are all over the place....let it run a bit before commenting...don't be a mind reader...or model predictor +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The euro looks horrible, and that doesn't take predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS is going to start caving soon. Was fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Bob, What's the house penalty for changing bets? Let's see...NAM is amped up. Shocker GFS is toasty Euro laughs at us. Going to stay positive. Tuesday 0z is make or break for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro this run looked more like GFS at h5, but its just not a good solution. Surface sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The euro looks horrible, and that doesn't take predicting. Thought it trended in the right direction...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 JMA looks like it has joined CAMP GFS through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 A middle ground between all of the models could go in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Bob,What's the house penalty for changing bets?Let's see...NAM is amped up. ShockerGFS is toastyEuro laughs at us.Going to stay positive. Tuesday 0z is make or break for me. I'm out all afternoon with no interest on models. Euro didn't happen so we're good. Euro is a terrible model anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Thought it trended in the right direction...... he said "he thought it was heading in the right direction thru 54 hrs" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS usually dosnet lose storms at 72-84 hours out though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 While the EURO doesn't really show anything "good" it made a significant change from its 00z run which tells me not to put complete stock in it yet. Though, things aren't looking too great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 he said "he thought it was heading in the right direction thru 54 hrs" Let me clarify, because I'm speaking 2 different manners. at the surface, it is horrible. h5 looks better. one better, one worse, I guess h5 means more, overall you take what you want from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 While the EURO doesn't really show anything "good" it made a significant change from its 00z run which tells me not to put complete stock in it yet. Though, things aren't looking too great. What was the change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 What was the change? it held a lot more energy back and H5 looks much better compared to 00z which was basically nada...I don't think it would take a big jump to get precip into DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 he said "he thought it was heading in the right direction thru 54 hrs" I was just joking....and making light of what leesburg said about letting it run.....back to watching people go overboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Pretty good beastly trough over the East Day 6-7 with energy hitting the Northwest. Could we get a snow threat around the 20th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 looks like we could miss out on the three or so threats before Feb 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 looks like we could miss out on the three or so threats before Feb 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 looks like we could miss out on the three or so threats before Feb 25 Higher probability that we miss them than we get 2"> before Feb 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 18z GFS can come soon enough to flush out some of the negativity around the place. Chill people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 One big thing is the jma trended from the same flat euro solution to a big mid Atlantic hit. Last time jma and Gfs destroyed the euro was feb 2006 storm as it took euro a few days to catch on. This is a huge trend IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 My gut says euro always wins but I'm sticking with Gfs jma on this one. Even nogaps has a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 My gut says euro always wins but I'm sticking with Gfs jma on this one. Even nogaps has a hit But the GFS is not great for us either temp wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 But the GFS is not great for us either temp wise. You may be right, but would you rather have a shot with good dynamics or the gfs trend colder, or have 0 qpf and no shot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 You may be right, but would you rather have a shot with good dynamics or the gfs trend colder, or have 0 qpf and no shot? Obviously the former, but right now being realistic it does not look great for us. As it stands now, there is probably only a 20% chance we get more than 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The EURO is very believable, rain tomorrow and then the VD system is sheared. Not even a close call for VD, clouds and maybe virga to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The EURO is very believable, rain tomorrow and then the VD system is sheared. Not even a close call for VD, clouds and maybe virga to the south. So are you saying the GFS is not believable? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 When will the GFS cave to the euro? I'll say 0z tonight. I say it will not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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