Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 where are you? a got almost 6" of snow with 1.3" qpf a couple of degrees would have got me what you had I was in Northeast Philadelphia, that was my fav storm since 1996. Wasn't as much as some of the others but the rates were incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Jan 2011 also went rain to snow, turned to heavy snow after the vort passed Yes, I remember rain changing to chunks of ice (almost literally), then to huge flakes. I think temps were just above freezing through the event, or maybe right at 32. There's also Jan. 25, 2007, another marginal temperature event, when we got 5-6" of heavy, wet snow. It was essentially an isothermal profile right around freezing up to 850 if I recall correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 very distressed about pd3. what happened to the strong sw that was on the maps yesterday You looking past a storm is usually a decent sign it will perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 very distressed about pd3. what happened to the strong sw that was on the maps yesterday It is over 8 days away what is wrong with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Yes, I remember rain changing to chunks of ice (almost literally), then to huge flakes. I think temps were just above freezing through the event, or maybe right at 32. There's also Jan. 25, 2007, another marginal temperature event, when we got 5-6" of heavy, wet snow. It was essentially an isothermal profile right around freezing up to 850 if I recall correctly. Ahh, that was the one we had winter storm warnings for ice right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It is over 8 days away what is wrong with you. You guys take Ji too serious, I think he's the funniest poster on these boards. He has me rolling on the floor sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 You guys take Ji too serious, I think he's the funniest poster on these boards. He has me rolling on the floor sometimes. He is seriously bi polar though. But he should definitely be the first entrant to the weenie hall of fame here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Ahh, that was the one we had winter storm warnings for ice right? Which one? If you mean Feb. 25, 2007, I think they were expecting ice and we ended up with the heavy wet snow. Sterling was playing catch-up on the accumulations, and a general 4-6" or so fell over the metro area. (Edit: Sorry, I should clarify my question. Since I referenced both the Jan. 2011 and Feb. 2007 events, I wasn't quite sure which one you meant, but I assumed you were asking about the Feb. 25, 2007 one). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Which one? If you mean Feb. 25, 2007, I think they were expecting ice and we ended up with the heavy wet snow. Sterling was playing catch-up on the accumulations, and a general 4-6" or so fell over the metro area. Yes, boy it thumped here, huge aggregates, those were some serious flakes man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It is over 8 days away what is wrong with you. come on man, we don't have all night to hear that answer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Yes, boy it thumped here, huge aggregates, those were some serious flakes man. I was driving back from visiting family in Philly that day...a Sunday morning. Left early because I knew there was going to be ice or snow or something. When I got to the BW Parkway it was pouring snow. Really nice! It stuck to everything, almost looked like a thick paste with flakes pounding the wind shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 very distressed about pd3. what happened to the strong sw that was on the maps yesterday there's a lot of potential energy with that massive trough all we need is the right "kink" somewhere to get it to buckle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 But you said yourself that winter events trend bigger in AGW It was one of many variables that he listed, not the only one. It's a litany of factors with agw, including more available water vapor in the atmosphere. This one looks like a typical set up for potential MA snow, but it's not perfect and it's only a modeled solution 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I was driving back from visiting family in Philly that day...a Sunday morning. Left early because I knew there was going to be ice or snow or something. When I got to the BW Parkway it was pouring snow. Really nice! It stuck to everything, almost looked like a thick paste with flakes pounding the wind shield. It was a little snow bomb, 1-2" an hr here for a bit, loved that surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It was a little snow bomb, 1-2" an hr here for a bit, loved that surprise. Yes, in a way it was similar to the Jan. 26, 2011 event, but not quite as dynamic. I remember looking at the radar during the Jan. 2011 event and thinking it looked like summertime thunderstorms popping up all over! Which it almost was, only snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS shows a nice little event for VD Day, as has been discussed for a while. It seems to take the usual climatology track with nothing frozen S and E of DC and something measurable north and west. Then, that ginormous trough asserts itself and perhaps something will please us in the 2/20 to 20/25 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 there's a lot of potential energy with that massive trough all we need is the right "kink" somewhere to get it to buckle At the bare minimum it looks like it will get pretty cold. Crazy feed directly from the arctic. Vorts a plenty but whole trough way too positively tilted at 180. Bah, I'm heading back over to Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 there's a lot of potential energy with that massive trough all we need is the right "kink" somewhere to get it to buckle Is Ji pre-emptively punting the PD3 potential? (Some alliteration there for you all! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 cartopper Yah. Could be. We are ready for anything here. No jaded weenies as far as I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 But you said yourself that winter events trend bigger in AGW poor reading....and completely contradictory to the narrative of the last 2 winters where the average event is a cartopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 According to will, the ukmet looks a bit better than the gfs, which is good, probably means for his area, but would bode well for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 00z UKIE h5 at 72... 1007 SLP in S MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 00z UKIE h5 at 72... 1007 SLP in S MS 00zUKIE5hmapFeb102013.gif Looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 what is the max potential of this storm? 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 6-10 Same as I said, glad we agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I would gather that the UKIE has a track from S MS at 72 to a 1001 L off of somewhere in NC between HSE and ILM and moves ENE or slightly NE... precip stops at 72 so unknown what we would see. Looks like an okay track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Fun part is the snow maps from the 0z gfs kinda screw dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Streak is in jeopardy. Thread tomorrow sometime. Anybody can start it. Except for those who have punted VD or declared winter is over. You know who you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Fun part is the snow maps from the 0z gfs kinda screw dc thx deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Streak is in jeopardy. Thread tomorrow sometime. Anybody can start it. Except for those who have punted VD or declared winter is over. You know who you are. Wes has to start it, this way even if it ends up sucking for us he will be forced to lie for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.