Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 but you still remember milli vanilli I am Germany you are from French Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Next. No improvements from 12Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Mitch, for years it only matters what it shows for the yard. It could be an accidental 4z run of the gfs that shows the most snow and the euro is forgotten like milli vanilli Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is about half the qpf than the NAM and GFS for the Monday rain not saying it means anything but it is about 1/2 what those models show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Next. Which site is out that far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Rob and Fab were forgotten? Not in my house! You know its true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Next. I don't want a next; if this misses I honestly want want spring. Enough is enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I don't want a next; if this misses I honestly want want spring. Enough is enough. Okydoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is worse since it speeds up the southern vort and lets it get hampered by the useless northern stream vort....disappointing trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is worse since it speeds up the southern vort and lets it get hampered by the useless northern stream vort....disappointing trend. And I guessed that. Sad that you can do that in this winter. American models trying to school the euro here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is worse since it speeds up the southern vort and lets it get hampered by the useless northern stream vort....disappointing trend. Thanks Will I really thought this would start going towards the GFS. We all know how it usually goes when it is the Euro vs the GFS . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is worse since it speeds up the southern vort and lets it get hampered by the useless northern stream vort....disappointing trend. run maybe, but not necessarily a trend we'll find that out tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Surpressed and crippled, and all points were headed positive, until dr. no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Not good for us. We need Euro onboard...our snowless winter may continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS on its own when it has no snow is always right, when Euro has none, it is. Gotta break that trend sooner or later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Euro is worse since it speeds up the southern vort and lets it get hampered by the useless northern stream vort....disappointing trend. Yeah, that kinda sucks. Tricky situation, will just have to wait and see. Euro doing anything at all with the possible "PD3" event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 run maybe, but not necessarily a trend we'll find that out tomorrow Yeah it was just one run...that is true, the previous 4 had trended slightly better...but this nullified that. Hopefully this is a 12/5/09 where the NAM out-paced the Euro with its 84h forecast....but I'm not counting on that. It still remains tracklable since it won't take a massive improvement to get something better than a coating there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Bed for me, appreciate the help in here as always Will. I still like the threat, but the NCEP models are more on their own here. Hope the euro ensembles do a nice job for restoring confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Oh well. Really needed this one. Another day of Dr. No and we will free ourselves of any delusions of a 2 inch event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowloverchris Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 AS we all know it is early and many more runs to go, But man I hate to see the Euro be right this time when the gfs has been king this season and it shows a good storm just to have the Euro be right and stick it to us BUTagain it is early and keep up the faith. Dam it we are due! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 At least it's close. I'm not letting this run discourage me too much. Still brought a hint of precip to DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Ggem jma all supressed too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I think gfs is going to be south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The GFS has held serve, just not as amped. The path of the surface low is almost identical to the 0z run. The 500 vort is still in a pretty good location. GFS vs Euro. Which to have faith in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It went south a bit but not enough to miss us but enough to make me nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 If euro does not around by this time tomorrow..I'm bailing. I'll bail even earlier if any of the Gfs runs look like euro today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Nogaps and Cmc monsters for pd3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I have seen verification reports posted here comparing the models and the Euro was usually at the top. Not all the time but fairly consistent. But the GFS was usually pretty darn close. Yet the general thinking on the board is that if the Euro says no, then the hell with what any of the other models say. So, why do we even follow any model beside the Euro? It could be the world vs the Euro. And which do we choose? The Euro. I guess it's a lot like the NAM. We all know that passed 36 to 48 hours it is a pretty weak model, yet we are consistently taking it to 84 and then extrapolating beyond that. Go figure. We're all sick. I'm hugging the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Nam is fun to look at but nobody takes it seriously past 24 hours. It's usually the last model to come around and then it overcompensates. How can we go against the euro? To me there is no storm right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Cmc has pd3 but its early next week after pd3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.