TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Ahh yeah Ill take that vort path and hope for sure. Would prob favor NW tho the Euro needs to come aboard more. Could still be a fringer.. I won't hate on the GFS but I'm not going to buy it wholeheartedly either. Wes is passed out after seeing the DGEX, secretly predicts it to be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 if memory serves, the DGEX for us looks like what it showed for NE in today's storm in a similar time frame, so that's encouraging <hoping it remains good with this pattern> Should read DT update from earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I like this post. Some should read it a couple of times. thanks...being bullish about big snow events here is pretty unrewarding and futile....i think verbatim GFS would drop 2-3" in dc proper....just need a nice thump and temp will drop to 33-34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I like this post. Some should read it a couple of times. "AGW" causing bigger events...what's AGW?? I'm assuming the G W stands for global warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 "AGW" causing bigger events...what's AGW?? I'm assuming the G W stands for global warming accelerated global warming if im right? wait anthropogenic IIRC. I'm pretty sure its anthropogenic, I've done some looking into GW so I should know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 i didnt wait 2 years for a 2-3 inch event. its insulting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 i didnt wait 2 years for a 2-3 inch event. its insulting So is you punting a potential streak breaker in a wretched extended period of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 i didnt wait 2 years for a 2-3 inch event. its insulting You've already had 2-3's this year man. Sheesh...family sized bag of wtf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You've already had 2-3's this year man. Sheesh...family sized bag of wtf... the gfs took us from 8-12 to 2-3 in a matter of one day and everyone is giddy. Dont get it. We deserve more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 thanks...being bullish about big snow events here is pretty unrewarding and futile....i think verbatim GFS would drop 2-3" in dc proper....just need a nice thump and temp will drop to 33-34 Watching all the news footage out of NE is tough but if someone said that I could have a 3" snow this week or chance it for door #1 or 2 with the idea that one choice is better than 3" and the other is worse, I take the 3". It's only weather but wanting more than what the pattern is able to give is psychologically risky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On the VD storm, I liked the 12z GFS a little better because the L off Hatteras was hugging the coast. Thus, the 18z GFS edged closer to the EURO. I think this run is colder only because the L is further off Hatteras. We need a stronger L off Hatteras to pull in the cold air AND close enough to the coast so the precip doesn't slide off the coast. Thus thread the needle a bit. The current GFS has a tight gradient on the back-end so if it does slide a little to the east, the DC area (points west) get nothing. Overall, I still like the set-up, and will stick with my 2-4 inches starting as rain and changing over to snow in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 i didnt wait 2 years for a 2-3 inch event. its insulting Right now a 2-3" is a PD3. This is how all our storms go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 the gfs took us from 8-12 to 2-3 in a matter of one day and everyone is giddy. Dont get it. We deserve more You will take your 3" and like it my friend. I get my 40th dusting of the year. 2013 is rockin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 0z will be rockin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 0z will be rockin! Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 0z will be rockin! Days and days of dustings! And a little rain....and Sun angle....this is soo kewl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Days and days of dustings! And a little rain....and Sun angle....this is soo kewl! I'm reporting 35" for ct blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The hunt is less fun when we know nothing will ever work out....this isn't like pro football where you know you are probably good for 3 or 4 wins even if you suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I think the chase will be more fun once it is proven that it can actually snow more than an inch here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The hunt is less fun when we know nothing will ever work out....this isn't like pro football where you know you are probably good for 3 or 4 wins even if you suck A little more fun when Bob bets future posting privileges, his retirement fund, his children's bikes, randy's fund (who has also bet bob's retirement fund), his neighbors' title, and the suggestions he should bet his mother in law as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I'm reporting 35" for ct blizz I went into their thread yesterday to wish them luck and mentioned how Leesburg got 34" in the 2/5/10 I knew right then he would report at least 1 more inch than that when the storm was over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I went into their thread yesterday to wish them luck and mentioned how Leesburg got 34" in the 2/5/10 I knew right then he would report at least 1 more inch than that when the storm was over Its okay Dave, they got less than us that winter They can never take that away from us... well DCA tries to and is devising a plan with BWI for that winter, but they can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I went into their thread yesterday to wish them luck and mentioned how Leesburg got 34" in the 2/5/10 I knew right then he would report at least 1 more inch than that when the storm was over apparently he's getting made fun of by the nbc crew there. everybody slantsticks every now and then. #weeniepower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I think the chase will be more fun once it is proven that it can actually snow more than an inch here.... the chase is still fun imo.. just not as much from 5 days+ out -- we need a really legit threat within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 apparently he's getting made fun of by the nbc crew there. everybody slantsticks every now and then. #weeniepower Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 the chase is still fun imo.. just not as much from 5 days+ out -- we need a really legit threat within 48 hours.right? I just want models to get this to a 4-6" storm by tomorrow night and to tuesday so that we can be confident on a storm for once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 La-la land of the 21z SREFs look interesting in regards to the SLP and h5 placement... individuals should be interesting to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The hunt is less fun when we know nothing will ever work out....this isn't like pro football where you know you are probably good for 3 or 4 wins even if you suck i think that's part of the reason why some people jokingly put down this hobby, and i do it too. even if you're a wizards fan, you know you can still get some wins, but around here, you can literally go a whole season without a legitimate snowstorm. that's what makes it tough. if we averaged 40" of snow per year, i think people would find this hobby less draining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89166'>ImageUploadedByTapatalk1360458088.838908.jpg I should have trademarked that when I coined it for the Euro. spreaded like wildfire around this place. I need the cash.....because as Bob Chill knows, I'll likely lose my kids' college fund by next week's end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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