Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Even without a strong HP to the north, there will be some sort of in-situ wedge down the apps. I guess my perspective is slightly skewed since I live west of town by about 40 miles. BL could certainly be an issue...especially closer to I-95 and east. True but look at the surface overall. Even an in-situ wedge doesn't have much cold to draw on. It's going to be a wet snow (if any snow). Surface won't be friendly until the 850 clears our latitude. But I agree with N-W because that's always the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 as some other have mentioned, 2-3" would be just fine with me...hopefully we get a solution that dumps that at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Bob's eternal optimism is rubbing off on you. It's a sickness but I thought the same thing about the NAm for what the 84hr NAM is worth. While we are in a lull, the sickness idea needs addressing. It's a sickness that I think some of us are born with. There's no cure, no ridding ourselves of it, regardless of what Leesburg says. There are times in life when other things might push it to the background, but it's always there. People like me, Bob, Ji, Matt, dd, Fozz, Randy, Ian, and others including I think Wes, are eat up with it. There's no therapy, no cure, only a temporary fix every now an then. And you know what, that's perfectly OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I love the chase and the mental workout. It's totally fun. Sicknesses usually only cause pain and suffering. Not getting snow doesn't count as either. lol.. at least for most....well, some....ah, we're sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 vort's digging deeper than 6z @ 39/45. Everything else looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 While we are in a lull, the sickness idea needs addressing. It's a sickness that I think some of us are born with. There's no cure, no ridding ourselves of it, regardless of what Leesburg says. There are times in life when other things might push it to the background, but it's always there. People like me, Bob, Ji, Matt, dd, Fozz, Randy, Ian, and others including I think Wes, are eat up with it. There's no therapy, no cure, only a temporary fix every now an then. And you know what, that's perfectly OK. But my disorder is only seasonal as I also have a sickness for fishing. lol, I also supect you've left off a few from the list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 While we are in a lull, the sickness idea needs addressing. It's a sickness that I think some of us are born with. There's no cure, no ridding ourselves of it, regardless of what Leesburg says. There are times in life when other things might push it to the background, but it's always there. People like me, Bob, Ji, Matt, dd, Fozz, Randy, Ian, and others including I think Wes, are eat up with it. There's no therapy, no cure, only a temporary fix every now an then. And you know what, that's perfectly OK. I think a more accurate term for what you ascribe to you and your buds is compulsive behavior - "defined as performing an act persistently and repetitively without it leading to an actual reward or pleasure" Pretty good description of the last two years if you like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The President's day set up seems pretty "easy" as well... the low will not cut into the lakes with a block forecasted into the Baffin/Davis Straight area at that time... we'll battle a R/S/PL line somewhere in this region, but needless to say the Feb 13 and 17 storms will be fun to track. It's truly the thrill of the hunt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I think a more accurate term for what you ascribe to you and your buds is compulsive behavior - "defined as performing an act persistently and repetitively without it leading to an actual reward or pleasure" Pretty good description of the last two years if you like snow. And I've also watched practically every skins game over the last 10+ years. Snow has brought more pleasure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 But my disorder is only seasonal as I also have a sickness for fishing. lol, I also supect you've left off a few from the list Seasonal Snow Disorder- SSD Many here have it, myself included Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 And I've also watched practically every skins game over the last 10+ years. Snow has brought more pleasure. Try watching the Browns for 10 years! At least the 'Skins have been in the playoffs a couple or so times in there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Try watching the Browns for 10 years! At least the 'Skins have been in the playoffs a couple or so times in there! Skins have MDSD... Metastatic Dan Snyder Disease...no hope of a cure until it is cut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I might be blinded by blatent weeinieism but h5 is looking damn good @ 72. Better than 0z and 6z. This is going to be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3dcg Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Skins have MDSD... Metastatic Dan Snyder Disease...no hope of a cure until it is cut out. LOL - that's rough a la Orioles with Mr. Angelos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Looks like the NAM and GFS handle the northern s/w differently... NAM starts to phase it in by the end of the run and the GFS is a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 hmm maybe not so easy damn you snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This is when the euro will then show a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 More chance of wet than white verbatim. H85 tracks across us. Need to keep that sucker to the south a little farther. Way to marginal to be toying with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 hmm maybe not so easy damn you snow! What? It's easy as crap to lose out on snow around here. Honestly, the difference a minor. Low get's crankin a hair later. Euro will show a bomb so we're good. And it's easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 hmm maybe not so easy damn you snow! The GFS looks like a leesburg special to me with us getting dc-ized. Luckily, it's still far enough out in time things will change and for this storm, that is a much bigger deal for us than the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GFS laughs at us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 It's still alright but this is going to be a fight.. as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The GFS looks like a leesburg special to me with us getting dc-ized. Luckily, it's still far enough out in time things will change and for this storm, that is a much bigger deal for us than the last. DC might be the worst snow town ever On to the simple HECS for PDAY!!1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I mean n/s waves as Dr.no said have been evolving and deepening more than usual, I'd expect our low would crank enough for dynamics to do their work assuming we can get a good 850 track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What? It's easy as crap to lose out on snow around here. Honestly, the difference a minor. Low get's crankin a hair later. Euro will show a bomb so we're good. And it's easy. With the fast flow, I feel like later seems more feasible. Perhaps that's just my frustrations due to my friends and family digging out while I'm staring at brown grass. Hmm... Probably the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GFS laughs at us and rightfully so, around here it is rarely easy. This is close enough to watch but not yet worth getting excited about unless the Euro comes north and keeps us cold. The lack of a high is a problem. I think we need the deformation zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 and rightfully so, around here it is rarely easy. This is close enough to watch but not yet worth getting excited about unless the Euro comes north and keeps us cold. The lack of a high is a problem. I think we need the deformation zone.haven't looked at QPF, how much on this run? On my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 haven't looked at QPF, how much on this run? On my phone. .5 - .75 across the area, but toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 DC might be the worst snow town ever On to the simple HECS for PDAY!!1! The superens D+11 and D+8 analogs have been averaging 2 to 3 events if you center them 3 days either side of the centered mean even with the negative NAO. That suggests that it never is easy unless you get a 2009-2010 pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 haven't looked at QPF, how much on this run? On my phone. Qpf is bad for your phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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