Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this panel is drunk.. snow poss into central fl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaHoo Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I've seen this movie before. It stars Jake Gyllenhall and Randy Quaid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 DC snow climo says we see 2 car toppers next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I refuse to be negative about it, what else is new, but I'm not going to allow myself to be drawn in yet. I'm so afraid of that final kick to the nuts. Theyre so sore right now, one more might sterilize me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I know it has been said and most know this - but it's important to remember that the way the model is progging PD at this point will NOT happen exactly like that. Things will be worked out after our storm next week. Can't be said enough...just fun to look at for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. I honestly wouldnt fret that at all yet. Nice vort passes can do wonders. It's not like were torching beforehand. Central va is very much in this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this panel is drunk.. snow poss into central fl gfs_namer_189_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif 1993 super storm had this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. Looks plenty cold 117-120hrs. Once again SW and western Virginia look to be almost all snow. I wouldn't worry about temps too much right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. Well verbatim (i.e., huge grain of salt!), it looks offhand like heavy rain to snow even for DCA/BWI, or something like that. Not exactly the greatest. But as others have said, the fact that a huge storm is there is what we need to look at now, parse details later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What is the state of the NAO for the two storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 1993 super storm had this Wait until the nam has key west getting 1-3 until we talk about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 with these 3 storm tracks, I could see IAD getting a 22.8" winter and DCA getting 6.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this panel is drunk.. snow poss into central fl gfs_namer_189_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif You should check BL temps first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What is the state of the NAO for the two storms? Nice blockng forecasted in the Davis straight for PDIII. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/500hgt_comp_sup610.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What is the state of the NAO for the two storms? slightly negative, nothing huge but I haven't checked I think it is a west based Nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 what if we get enough snow in Feb that we end up averaging above normal snow over the past 2 winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I've seen this movie before. It stars Jake Gyllenhall and Randy Quaid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The PDIII threat looks pretty similar on the 0z GFS and the 12z Euro regarding how the steep the trough looks: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_192_500_vort_ht.gif http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeuro500mbHeightAnomalyNA216.gif This one is gonna be BIG for someone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 what happened to our clippers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 what if we get enough snow in Feb that we end up averaging above normal snow over the past 2 winters Will you be satisfied? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Will you be satisfied? no. I basically need it to snow every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Wish I could see the 96 hr map of the UKIE on meteocentre... but its not there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 no. I basically need it to snow every day You might be happy 4-5 out of the next 15 days. Almost as good as a prescription. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Anyone have the clown maps for the VDay snow just for fun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You should check BL temps first. i knew a purest would show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Why is Wes being so dam quiet. It's making me nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 what if we get enough snow in Feb that we end up averaging above normal snow over the past 2 winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 So, if give up the Nemo storm to cash in on the P and Q storm, I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Anyone have the clown maps for the VDay snow just for fun? Not out yet- but here's the link out to 144. http://204.2.104.196/gfs/CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_144HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You have as much a chance of being in a spc slight risk as receiving a 6+ inch snowstorm at this time frame. Big trough is coming in but this can cut way west. Ji needs to move to ALASKA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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