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February 2013 mid-long range disco thread


Fozz

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Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. 

Well verbatim (i.e., huge grain of salt!), it looks offhand like heavy rain to snow even for DCA/BWI, or something like that.  Not exactly the greatest.  But as others have said, the fact that a huge storm is there is what we need to look at now, parse details later on.

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The PDIII threat looks pretty similar on the 0z GFS and the 12z Euro regarding how the steep the trough looks:

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer&param=500_vort_ht&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_192_500_vort_ht.gif

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeuro500mbHeightAnomalyNA216.gif

 

This one is gonna be BIG for someone!

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