Solo2 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Threat 1 I am in on, but 2 seems crazy at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this is a Feb 2010 run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Sub-994mb at truncation in NC. Closed 500 low at the GA/TN border. 850s are bad, but that's not something to worry about right now. I think it's safe to say a monster storm is coming PD weekend at this point. Whether it cuts west or east of 95 will determine our fate but this will be a historic storm for whoever it hits. I hate to say it but 500 mb and surface are eerily similar to march 1993. I don't know if many folks on here are old enough to remember that monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Get the first storm out of the way before you worry about a 200HR BECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The PDIII storm is going to be massive for someone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 And anybody who is taking the second threat verbatim needs to take 3 steps back from the computer. Get that trough in here first and history will be made for someone after. I'm very skeptical Lets get through the V-Day threat first... then we can look at how big the second one will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I don't remember seeing a trough that sharp and narrow before. It would be very easy to phase a bomb. Heck a vort coming down could be grabbed by one going up. Can that even happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The overall map looks nice the occlusion makes the map look a ton better than it actually is. Great potential though and the agreement between models of a high amplitude event is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 So this is what living in Canada northeast of the PV would be like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 poo poo that 2nd storm, but that mega trough was on the 6z, 12z and 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Lets get through the V-Day threat first... then we can look at how big the second one will be I love the v-day threat, love the one after for a huge storm. Thats where I stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 lolz Just buy a case of cheezits and an extra battery for your phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm telling you guys.... the wild solutions spell historic when all is said and done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 We are going to have one hell of a week on here. I could see mass 5-postings as the first storm hits and we turn our eyes to the second threat. Ji might die... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Get the first storm out of the way before you worry about a 200HR BECS. THis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I know we can't split hairs on the details, but the 850 temps going from ~+2 to -2 as the 850 low center goes right over us certainly seems unusual (from 192h to 204h). The cold air just collapses in it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Lets get through the V-Day threat first... then we can look at how big the second one will be Oh no doubt. U know how I roll. Vday is going to give me arthritis. Pd3 is just a comic book for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Oh no doubt. U know how I roll. Vday is going to give me arthritis. Pd3 is just a comic book for now Arthritis followed by amputation or frequent carpel tunnel surgeries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Another monster toward the end of the run. Again, I wouldn't be concerned with exact details. Great thing is the possibilities are awesome for the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm telling you guys.... the wild solutions spell historic when all is said and done You have as much a chance of being in a spc slight risk as receiving a 6+ inch snowstorm at this time frame. Big trough is coming in but this can cut way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 February may be setting up for a significant negative temperature departure against the averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this panel is drunk.. snow poss into central fl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaHoo Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I've seen this movie before. It stars Jake Gyllenhall and Randy Quaid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 DC snow climo says we see 2 car toppers next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I refuse to be negative about it, what else is new, but I'm not going to allow myself to be drawn in yet. I'm so afraid of that final kick to the nuts. Theyre so sore right now, one more might sterilize me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I know it has been said and most know this - but it's important to remember that the way the model is progging PD at this point will NOT happen exactly like that. Things will be worked out after our storm next week. Can't be said enough...just fun to look at for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. I honestly wouldnt fret that at all yet. Nice vort passes can do wonders. It's not like were torching beforehand. Central va is very much in this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this panel is drunk.. snow poss into central fl gfs_namer_189_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif 1993 super storm had this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Unfortunately even though this a great run for DCA, Balt, etc. It looks like Central VA is just too warm for most of the event. Unless we get some cold air from somewhere else this might be a tough one for most of VA. Looks plenty cold 117-120hrs. Once again SW and western Virginia look to be almost all snow. I wouldn't worry about temps too much right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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