yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 HECS for SE VA and flurries for DC? Whatta winter. I would lose it if that happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If we didn't have get a monster and a significant storm out of the way first I probably put more stock in any model. One the flip side, if the next 2 runs of the gfs keep it up in some form or fashion then I would expect the euro to start caving even though that would upset dt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 one hell of a storm brewing for the 17th i want that storm to miss us. I am playing guitar that weekend with band and dont want it cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That would be the icing on the cake, wouldn't it? SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" right where we want it attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" Is that the end of the run (i.e. 17th) is 240? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 right where we want it attm true. yes, end of run yoder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 right where we want it attm North trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" wouldnt be surprised...its either south of us or north of us..and it rotates. Next one would be a miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 so both storms miss us 2 our south after this HECS missed us to our north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" If I have to road trip to Newport News or Norfolk I may bring a gun with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ducks on the pond, ducks on the pond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 so both storms miss us 2 our south after this HECS missed us to our north? gotta look on the bright side. Better than missing north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 wouldnt be surprised...its either south of us or north of us..and it rotates. Next one would be a miller B everyone will end up with a passable winter except DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ducks on the pond, ducks on the pond. Yes, dead bloated duck corpses on the pond. Gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If I have to road trip to Newport News or Norfolk I may bring a gun with me. This really is divine punishment for 09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 There is no way this misses us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This really is divine punishment for 09-10. thats what we get for punting 4-6 inch events that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 euro has to have this by tomorrow or I am punting EURO had this storm nailed five days ago. So that will be my benchmark. And I'm not so sure there was anything worth worrying about prior to this storm to nail the EURO with. Besides, the EURO is very close to the solution the GFS has already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 EURO had this storm nailed five days ago. So that will be my benchmark. And I'm not so sure there was anything worth worrying about prior to this storm to nail the EURO with. Besides, the EURO is very close to the solution the GFS has already. ya but the JMA which blows everything up was supressed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 There is no way this misses us the 500 low is pretty far south. but it is day forever away... so whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the 500 low is pretty far south. but it is day forever away... so whatever. Just that much more time and distance to pull from the gulf and the gulf stream. We're going to have our first F2 in the middle of a blizzard. Boston Schmoston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm not ready yet to completely destroy what is left of my credibility. When Jason asks me to do an article on it then maybe I'll be ready to doom it. I am interested in your thoughts about the setup though. Seems like a moneymaker in the grand scheme. Fraught with strength and timing of course but getting close to a classic look for a modest event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I am interested in your thoughts about the setup though. Seems like a moneymaker in the grand scheme. Fraught with strength and timing of course but getting close to a classic look for a modest event. I don't like today's D+11 quite as much as the one from the last two but it still got a nice negative nao but now the pac ridge seems to have hifted west a little. Still not bad and better than earlier in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I believe Mr. Chill pointed out something very smart. The EURO is at its best with the "big ones". It nailed Sandy in a way eerily similiar to this. Once locked it, it did not waver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 false alarm on the JMA. Cache issues....i found it very odd that it was supressed but that was yesterday run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 168 on accuweather does go up the coast...and get us with good snow but a bit too far east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It also has a monster developing at 192. I think the PD storm is all but a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Feb. 22-24, 1989 was used as possible analog for the threat on the 17th. Can anyone tell me where I can find access to snowfall maps from prior storms? I remember some big snows in the 80's but not sure about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Feb. 22-24, 1989 was used as possible analog for the threat on the 17th. Can anyone tell me where I can find access to snowfall maps from prior storms? I remember some big snows in the 80's but not sure about this one. yeah..2/23/89 was a major bust..ORF got like 100" and we got zip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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