Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 132 hours away is way better than 240 hours out. By tomorrow at this time, its 108 hours out.... the most important stuff is inside 120 or earlier....the setup in the maritimes by hr 120 really favors a good vort track for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is this the new model?..sh-it the bed most of the winter and get a 2/11/06, 3/1/09, 1/26/11 to kind of salvage winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the most important stuff is inside 120 or earlier....the setup in the maritimes by hr 120 really favors a good vort track for us. By 114 its evident we end up snowy, after that its gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is this the new model?..sh-it the bed most of the winter and get a 2/11/06, 3/1/09, 1/26/11, 2/14/13 to kind of salvage winter? FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is this the new model?..sh-it the bed most of the winter and get a 2/11/06, 3/1/09, 1/26/11 to kind of salvage winter? if we escape February without seeing a 3 inch snow.......I am banking on 15-25 inches from Feb 13 through March. More if we get a 1993 type superstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Maybe I don't have a great memory but having a closed 500 low form over the dakotas and then wobble around the midwest happens about never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 i was kind of kidding about PD3 It is an ok pattern..the biggest problem with both storms is the 50-50 region though it is better with the 1st one...there is at least some bagginess where we need it that gigantic 500 low to our west doesn't seem to be something i recall with many snowstorms locally. but it might not even be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 that gigantic 500 low to our west doesn't seem to be something i recall with many snowstorms locally. but it might not even be there. i dont think the models have a handle on feb 18-19 yet. I have seen some really wild solutions. Look at the GGEm last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 6-7 inches for most by 12z thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How will DR. No screw us? A) no storm/OTS b-) strong primary to the west/mostly rain C) late transfer/dryslot D) Inland runner that barrels right over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 6-7 inches for most by 12z thurs That's a sight for sore eyes and would knock a lot of folks out of the contest. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How will DR. No screw us? A) no storm/OTS b-) strong primary to the west/mostly rain C) late transfer/dryslot D) Inland runner that barrels right over us A hedge towards C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 A. No storm/OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The OTS possibility for Feb 13/14 is the one that I seems most plausible based on the set up and the last couple days of runs. Euro has bounced around with that idea as have the Euro ensembles and some of the GEFS members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm so glad people read the thread before posting whats the difference?...snow maps are silly and they always will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My guess is the euro goes inland runner. It's going to hang the energy back and be a little more amped that the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 whats the difference?...snow maps are silly and they always will be Exactly why we don't need to see it twice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My guess is the euro goes inland runner. It's going to hang the energy back and be a little more amped that the gfs.It likes to do that, Good news. Ukmet panels look really good, canadian has. 995 off ocmd, dgex a nice hit to go along with gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It likes to do that, Good news. Ukmet panels look really good, canadian has. 995 off ocmd, dgex a nice hit to go along with gfs. See Ian? Its not me all the time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 See Ian? Its not me all the time! I had to add to the concensus yoder! Like you said, only talk about it when it might be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 See Ian? Its not me all the time! lol- all the secondary models are good when you are looking to back up the majors but not the other way around (not saying you do that) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 A. How will DR. No screw us?A) no storm/OTSb-) strong primary to the west/mostly rainC) late transfer/dryslotD) Inland runner that barrels right over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Bob chill really thinks E, it wont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 UKIE does look interesting enough in that at 120 it has a 1000 L over ATL (or slightly west) and at 144 its a 984 L looks like over the BM for SNE (which sucks I know) And I will just say it... GGEM at 132 has a 995 L NE of HSE but ESE of ORF... so it looks like it is in a good position as it moves ENE/NE after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GEFS mean looks like it's going to scoot it off the SE coast, but then salvages a baggy coastal at 132. I imagine there's a mix of members that have an Op-like solution and those that have an OTS solution. Based on the mean, doesn't look like the Apps runner solution is well-represented, if at all. 16th/17th looks nothing like the Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ryan Maue on twitter just posted a map of the GFS Accumulated Snowfall Map valid from Feb 8 to Feb 16. If one believes....shows us all under a snugly blanket of snow. No cartoppers I can see. Maybe someone else has access to this and can post it? I tried to copy and paste. Didn't work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ryan Maue on twitter just posted a map of the GFS Accumulated Snowfall Map valid from Feb 8 to Feb 16. If one believes....shows us all under a snugly blanket of snow. No cartoppers I can see. Maybe someone else has access to this and can post it? I tried to copy and paste. Didn't work. Just read earlier in this thread. Or look up the clown map from the GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks like a quick cold shot follows the 16-17 storm that goes over us on the GEFS as it goes to a 994 over ALB.. would screw SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just read earlier in this thread. Or look up the clown map from the GFS run. I saw it already. Just didn't know if everyone else did. Trying to keep up with the threads (and work) at the same time...not easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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