TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 yesI'm in but that point is what worries me. Bob chills storm though so were good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks great but this thing has been all over the place. It has but the goal posts have been set for the most part. We just need to hope things trend toward being inside the uprights sill = accum snow. I'm pretty confident in the streak ending here but I'm not a fool either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hey, I never punted this one. I'm putting my chips all in. based on one run 5 days out?...ok.....I mean this storm has been on the radar and models for a while now but there is still a lot of uncertainty about formation, track, transfer, precip issues, etc...I seriously dont get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm in but that point is what worries me. Bob chills storm though so were good! Never say that again. This is OUR storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 yes A little wiggle room at least tho this is perhaps as close to perfect on that type of scenario as we should expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well there goes all hope for productivity next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 based on one run 5 days out?...ok.....I mean this storm has been on the radar and models for a while now but there is still a lot of uncertainty about formation, track, transfer, precip issues, etc...I seriously dont get it I hate transfers, made it so easy for my nemopunt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think just hoping for a potential modest snow event is all we should be doing now...talking about warning criteria snows 5-6 days out is a little silly imo...I think it is good to still broad brush the pattern and potential a bit Eh, that's just, what, 4-6 inches? That's what I want. You are probably right to be hoping for more like 2-4, but I want to cash one in (low end warning criteria). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 A little wiggle room at least tho this is perhaps as close to perfect on that type of scenario as we should expect. should we be talking about anything more than having the potential for a solid accumulating snow event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I want over 2 inches, anything over 4 would be awesome as shiat. Excited to track this one with all so we can bring it home together. Better bob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 based on one run 5 days out?...ok.....I mean this storm has been on the radar and models for a while now but there is still a lot of uncertainty about formation, track, transfer, precip issues, etc...I seriously dont get it Yup. This looks like the best threat out of them all so far. It's going to go back to looking horrible a few times. But I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I want over 2 inches, anything over 4 would be awesome as shiat. Excited to track this one with all so we can bring it home together. Better bob? Just don't put my name on a storm. I'm in permanent retirement. One and done. I'm a modest weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It has but the goal posts have been set for the most part. We just need to hope things trend toward being inside the uprights sill = accum snow. I'm pretty confident in the streak ending here but I'm not a fool either. I dislike the Euro huggers but I'd bet on it over the GFS. Hopefully it moves at 12z. One run doesn't make a snowstorm sadly.. Or we'd have a crapload of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I dislike the Euro huggers but I'd bet on it over the GFS. Hopefully it moves at 12z. One run doesn't make a snowstorm sadly.. I've been watching what happens at 500 for days though. GFS is insistent on leaving something behind and having some additional energy dive in. It's been consistent and realistic. Euro will be on board today in some form or another. We're not going to like it as much as the gfs but the ingredients will be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I dislike the Euro huggers but I'd bet on it over the GFS. Hopefully it moves at 12z. One run doesn't make a snowstorm sadly.. Or we'd have a crapload of snow. as long as it shows some potential, I dont really care what the solution is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 should we be talking about anything more than having the potential for a solid accumulating snow event? probably not.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 as long as it shows some potential, I dont really care what the solution is potential after that storm is there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 potential after that storm is there too yeah...2 days later is PD3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I still like the 18th the best, but this GFS run has my interest for the V-day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I've been watching what happens at 500 for days though. GFS is insistent on leaving something behind and having some additional energy dive in. It's been consistent and realistic. Euro will be on board today in some form or another. We're not going to like it as much as the gfs but the ingredients will be there. the euro is in the same ballpark it just doesn't work the same magic with that vort .. keeps the flow more progressive etc. there are a few small moves that could make the gfs better for DC but overall it's about a perfect run. so it's probably got some issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Breaking News--Orko is already on the boards. Guessing its the West storm. So looks like Plato then Q. Hahahah. Redonkulous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 yeah...2 days later is PD3 kind of a nasty 500 pattern for a big storm here no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 kind of a nasty 500 pattern for a big storm here no? almost cutoff with little pieces coming under and up right where it would keep producing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 heh, looked at the sfc.. good luck with that storm happening. of course the model will change 1200 times before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the euro is in the same ballpark it just doesn't work the same magic with that vort .. keeps the flow more progressive etc. there are a few small moves that could make the gfs better for DC but overall it's about a perfect run. so it's probably got some issues. One of these days I'll pony up for pay euro. I'm over the 24 hour panels. I couldn't agree more that it can only go downhill from here unless something blows up further south and tracks the coast. I'll take any solution that breaks the streak and be happy. Even if it's messy. I'm not a chooser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 132 hours away is way better than 240 hours out. By tomorrow at this time, its 108 hours out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 16th/17th storm on the GFS is a hot mess. That's not PD3 for us unless you like chilly rain with backend flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 heh, looked at the sfc.. good luck with that storm happening. of course the model will change 1200 times before then. what happens on the sfc is overrated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 kind of a nasty 500 pattern for a big storm here no? i was kind of kidding about PD3 It is an ok pattern..the biggest problem with both storms is the 50-50 region though it is better with the 1st one...there is at least some bagginess where we need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well there goes all hope for productivity next week. I head back to work Monday and know I will be swamped, but yeah... Multi-tasking ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.