Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Euro has given us several fantasy storms this year only to have the GFS - correctly - rain on our parade. Now the roles are reversed. What is the axiom, the model which gives us the least snow tends to be the right one? Well since you definitively punted this one a little while ago this post fits your decision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Euro has given us several fantasy storms this year only to have the GFS - correctly - rain on our parade. Now the roles are reversed. What is the axiom, the model which gives us the least snow tends to be the right one? It's only one run of the GFS either way. The Euro showed that 'event' as snow a few days back. Whatever your fancy is you want some continuity and agreement other than the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well since you definitively punted this one a little while ago this post fits your decision. Very true. For the record, my post in the banter thread was just that... banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It's only one run of the GFS either way. The Euro showed that 'event' as snow a few days back. Whatever your fancy is you want some continuity and agreement other than the GGEM. Guess the Uk doesn't hurt either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 euro has to have this by tomorrow or I am punting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 one hell of a storm brewing for the 17th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 one hell of a storm brewing for the 17th HECS for SE VA and flurries for DC? Whatta winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 JMA is more supressed than the Euro. The 2 best models have nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 HECS for SE VA and flurries for DC? Whatta winter. That would be the icing on the cake, wouldn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 HECS for SE VA and flurries for DC? Whatta winter. I would lose it if that happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If we didn't have get a monster and a significant storm out of the way first I probably put more stock in any model. One the flip side, if the next 2 runs of the gfs keep it up in some form or fashion then I would expect the euro to start caving even though that would upset dt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 one hell of a storm brewing for the 17th i want that storm to miss us. I am playing guitar that weekend with band and dont want it cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That would be the icing on the cake, wouldn't it? SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" right where we want it attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" Is that the end of the run (i.e. 17th) is 240? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 right where we want it attm true. yes, end of run yoder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 right where we want it attm North trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" wouldnt be surprised...its either south of us or north of us..and it rotates. Next one would be a miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 so both storms miss us 2 our south after this HECS missed us to our north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SE VA 8-12".. DC 1".. NW 0" If I have to road trip to Newport News or Norfolk I may bring a gun with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ducks on the pond, ducks on the pond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 so both storms miss us 2 our south after this HECS missed us to our north? gotta look on the bright side. Better than missing north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 wouldnt be surprised...its either south of us or north of us..and it rotates. Next one would be a miller B everyone will end up with a passable winter except DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ducks on the pond, ducks on the pond. Yes, dead bloated duck corpses on the pond. Gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If I have to road trip to Newport News or Norfolk I may bring a gun with me. This really is divine punishment for 09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 There is no way this misses us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This really is divine punishment for 09-10. thats what we get for punting 4-6 inch events that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 euro has to have this by tomorrow or I am punting EURO had this storm nailed five days ago. So that will be my benchmark. And I'm not so sure there was anything worth worrying about prior to this storm to nail the EURO with. Besides, the EURO is very close to the solution the GFS has already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 EURO had this storm nailed five days ago. So that will be my benchmark. And I'm not so sure there was anything worth worrying about prior to this storm to nail the EURO with. Besides, the EURO is very close to the solution the GFS has already. ya but the JMA which blows everything up was supressed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 There is no way this misses us the 500 low is pretty far south. but it is day forever away... so whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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