Subtropics Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not event close. You haven't lived until you've seen a sculpted supercell, listened to its hail roar then watched it drop a tornado. Even if you spend 20 days finding just one. Haven't seen the described. Did however catch a waterspout in the bay while I was driving over the bay bridge. It was ball park 3/4 mile away and still scared me big time. I was with my grandmother too and it was a bond we shared thereafter as no one we told believed us. She passed a couple years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not event close. You haven't lived until you've seen a sculpted supercell, listened to its hail roar then watched it drop a tornado. Even if you spend 20 days finding just one. Our ideas of fun are apparently world's apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is by far the best D+11 of the season and it's not even close. This is the kind of pattern where we can get a decent snowstorm during the 7 day window centered on Feb 17th. This is an improvement from yesterday in that we now are getting low heights south of nova scotia extending backwards towards us. NO wonder the models are picking up on so many threats. We finally are getting Bob's, Matt's and HMs better than average pattern. Note how we fainally have above normal heights across the Baffin bay area and canada. That makes it much easier for the southern stream to be the main player. It's about time you starting talking dirty to me Wes after all your foreplay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Our ideas of fun are apparently world's apart.snow is for the commoner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 snow is for the commoner I really have to join the elite I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I really have to join the elite I guess.im pretty sure ellinwood won't allow that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 im pretty sure ellinwood won't allow that. Good point he hates me, but I do have cash so I am sure he would make an exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vern Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not event close. You haven't lived until you've seen a sculpted supercell, listened to its hail roar then watched it drop a tornado. Even if you spend 20 days finding just one. I lived that for much of my life (Kansas City). There is no adrenaline rush quite like running from a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I lived that for much of my life (Kansas City). There is no adrenaline rush quite like running from a tornado. Yes of course because you are running for your life. But I would rather not risk my life and enjoy a long lasting 24 hour mega snow storm and 60 MPH winds blowing it all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm already calling Feb 5-10 give or take a week next year. I'm a fricken wizard. Money.. although I'm going give or take a decade Take it to the bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not event close. You haven't lived until you've seen a sculpted supercell, listened to its hail roar then watched it drop a tornado. Even if you spend 20 days finding just one. This is by far the best D+11 of the season and it's not even close. This is the kind of pattern where we can get a decent snowstorm during the 7 day window centered on Feb 17th. This is an improvement from yesterday in that we now are getting low heights south of nova scotia extending backwards towards us. NO wonder the models are picking up on so many threats. We finally are getting Bob's, Matt's and HMs better than average pattern. Note how we fainally have above normal heights across the Baffin bay area and canada. That makes it much easier for the southern stream to be the main player. Feb_6_2013_500hgt_comp_sup814.gif That's bad ass...... both quotes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS looks like it's trying to do something with Monday. Still warm, but bringing DCA .6" qpf and getting fairly close to frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is by far the best D+11 of the season and it's not even close. This is the kind of pattern where we can get a decent snowstorm during the 7 day window centered on Feb 17th. This is an improvement from yesterday in that we now are getting low heights south of nova scotia extending backwards towards us. NO wonder the models are picking up on so many threats. We finally are getting Bob's, Matt's and HMs better than average pattern. Note how we finally have above normal heights across the Baffin bay area and canada. That makes it much easier for the southern stream to be the main player. I love when you talk dirty snowy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS looks like it's trying to do something with Monday. Still warm, but bringing DCA .6" qpf and getting fairly close to frozen. Save the brain for the next couple. The setup requires a cold antecedent air mass that won't be there. Glaze is the most we can expect. Odds of flakes are powerballish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is by far the best D+11 of the season and it's not even close. This is the kind of pattern where we can get a decent snowstorm during the 7 day window centered on Feb 17th. This is an improvement from yesterday in that we now are getting low heights south of nova scotia extending backwards towards us. NO wonder the models are picking up on so many threats. We finally are getting Bob's, Matt's and HMs better than average pattern. Note how we fainally have above normal heights across the Baffin bay area and canada. That makes it much easier for the southern stream to be the main player. Feb_6_2013_500hgt_comp_sup814.gif this gets me so excited, I could post a water vapor loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 vday storm is gonna be tough i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 00z GFS looks boring till late in the run way out there... oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 00z GFS looks boring till late in the run way out there... oh well It has like a 3 day event near 300 tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 vday storm is gonna be tough i think. Nah, I am ready to punt it... I am looking after. Vday has no cold air nearby, no HP, and a LP in Canada. Yes, the low develops to our SW, but its just not strong enough or good enough to bring in the cold for snow for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It has like a 3 day event near 300 tho 300 = way out there Presidents day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ggem destroys us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ggem destroys us Your analysis is so amazing. You say destroys us but you do not even say when . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Your analysis is so amazing. You say destroys us but you do not even say when . This is the mid to long range thread. Figure it out. Hint. Feb 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is the mid to long range thread. Figure it out. Hint. Feb 13 Im not so bright, now please give me any Euro snowflakes that you see for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro has nothing for 10 days for us past the weekend event (not that it is an "event" for us) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 vday storm is gonna be tough i think. washed out and diffuse but still a week away and these things always trend better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the gfs is still pretty good even last night on the bad run. they are just whiny babies whose lives are based off how much snow they get. Maybe we can get something going on that front at 123 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 New GFS already much different at day 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Maybe we can get something going on that front at 123 hours. vday looks marginally better it seems so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 vday looks marginally better it seems so far. Looks like we actually have a shot at some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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