WEATHER53 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks like a well positioned low and that 1035+mb high has to drop 250 miles further south. It can do it. I like following these kind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Maybe it's back to back flukes or maybe it isn't. 0z & 6z gfs pop a big -nao (in a nice spot) towards the end of the runs. Best look all winter and plenty of time for it to dissolve into thin air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 i dont get why the european coastal is so warm for us especially after a long stretch of cold weather. Frustrating It's the story of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I hope it's all in liquid form on Thursday night, and that we get enough rain to wash away the ridiculous amount of salt and chemicals put down on the roads for our snow flurry events. Tired of that crap getting on my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I hope it's all in liquid form on Thursday night, and that we get enough rain to wash away the ridiculous amount of salt and chemicals put down on the roads for our snow flurry events. Tired of that crap getting on my car. Couldn't have said it better myself. The parking lot here at the museum looks like it has snow cover on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The northern branch system blows our thermal profiles to hell before the southern system can begin to amplify. Our only shot would be for the northern branch to weaken thus cause less ridging in front, and then have the southern system bomb out fast. Its a super long shot as with less ridging from the northern branch we also have a more hostile environment for the stj to work with. Either way its pick your poison. On a positive note I really think the better pattern that keeps popping up in the Feb 20th time period on GFS runs could be real. The pattern evolution makes sense with the shortening wavelengths and with the MJO progression. I thought we would get our last real shot around mid February but the MJO progression has been super slow, and perhaps now it is the last week of Feb and early March that may hold our one shot at something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I hope it's all in liquid form on Thursday night, and that we get enough rain to wash away the ridiculous amount of salt and chemicals put down on the roads for our snow flurry events. Tired of that crap getting on my car. Go the car wash!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Go the car wash!!! That is a waste of time and money until the roads get washed clear because everytime you end up behind a truck all the salt from the road is kicked up onto your car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The northern branch system blows our thermal profiles to hell before the southern system can begin to amplify. Our only shot would be for the northern branch to weaken thus cause less ridging in front, and then have the southern system bomb out fast. Its a super long shot as with less ridging from the northern branch we also have a more hostile environment for the stj to work with. Either way its pick your poison. On a positive note I really think the better pattern that keeps popping up in the Feb 20th time period on GFS runs could be real. The pattern evolution makes sense with the shortening wavelengths and with the MJO progression. I thought we would get our last real shot around mid February but the MJO progression has been super slow, and perhaps now it is the last week of Feb and early March that may hold our one shot at something. Winter is ending, folks. Once we are looking at early March to save us we are pretty much toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 If we can get the split flow the GFS keeps advertising, we have a small window to get something even with a bad Atlantic...it might be into a rotting air mass, but that could be serviceable in early February Models were pretty good with this setup from 10 days out....It probably wont help us except some front end maybe, but 40N might do pretty well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Winter is ending, folks. Once we are looking at early March to save us we are pretty much toast. lol...it's february 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 one thing i learned from the last week is that weak clippers do nothing for me. manitoba maulers...sure...but the ones we got, i will pass on...they are just too much of a nuisance in my opinion. i don't know about you guys, but i'm looking forward to a week off from the clipper train. maybe the pattern re-shuffles itself in the next week or so and we can get some better opportunities going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 lol...it's february 5th We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Snowstorm next wed on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Snowstorm next wed on the Euro is that our consolation prize? I had Feb 13-15 as a snow window on Facebook for a while lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 When the Euro shows a snowstorm over a week out, LOCK IT IN. How much QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 is that our consolation prize? I had Feb 13-15 as a snow window on Facebook for a while lol looks pretty nice.. 4-8" for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 well, not for wes.. sorry wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 looks pretty nice.. 4-8" for all! Still snowing Valentines day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 well, not for wes.. sorry wes Then DC better worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 wait, west gets in on the end.. we all win. what a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Still snowing Valentines day? it's outta here prob around midnight on the 13th. the low track is pretty close. prob mix DC and SE at the least tho we get good comma head action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Then DC better worry. BL is an issue, but nice to see a low from the south dump QPF on us...wouldnt be an all rain event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 blizzard of 96 radar: http://mesonet.agron...our=12&minute=0 i want 25% of this. that's not asking too much, i don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 992mb 40 mi east of Cape May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 992mb 40 mi east of Cape May as classic a track as you can get Mont AL to Macon GA to Clemson SC to ORF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 pretty dirty pattern at day 10....Huge +PNA, 50-50low, -NAO, storm over 4-corners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 992mb 40 mi east of Cape May are you buying this or do you think its too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 are you buying this or do you think its too early? come on dude.. bullseye at d8 is always win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 as classic a track as you can get Mont AL to Macon GA to Clemson SC to ORF The vort track is pretty classic. Hopefully it's not the euro being too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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